Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

12.4%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$26

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-14 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

87% 41% -$884

Sports

9% 54% +$565

Politics

3% 33% +$52

Crypto

1% 43% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+120	$20	16¢	$19	-$2	09-18 14:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+50	$10	15¢	$7	-$3	09-20 14:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$6	4¢	$0	-$6	09-22 19:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$10.4K	6,830	6,830	+0	Yes	-$529	03-23 12:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	37	$1.9K	1,265	1,265	+0	Yes	-$24	07-28 09:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	21	$1.2K	1,107	1,099	+8	Yes	-$32	04-12 23:10
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	7	$790	873	873	+0	No	-$109	03-25 20:44
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$524	1,055	1,055	+0	No	+$342	07-19 16:18
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	15	$430	370	370	+0	No	-$70	03-17 21:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$326	466	239	+227	No	+$77	03-24 20:43
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	5	$214	118	118	+0	Messi	+$14	06-28 07:52
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	15	$211	190	190	+0	Yes	-$6	03-23 11:15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$199	340	0	+340	Yes	+$141	03-22 21:16
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$178	140	140	+0	Yes	+$74	06-19 17:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$171	178	178	+0	No	-$4	09-11 14:38
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$162	240	0	+240	No	+$78	05-13 10:31
crint ind zaf 2026 02 22	3	$150	384	0	+384	South Africa	-$150	02-22 16:00
Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?	13	$131	221	57	+164	No	-$19	09-05 22:47
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	3	$125	70	70	+0	Yes	+$15	01-25 18:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$115	490	490	+0	Yes	+$4	07-06 20:04
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$99	90	90	+0	No	-$5	07-15 14:55
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	2	$86	136	136	+0	No	-$14	01-31 18:35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$83	38	864	-826	No	+$73	04-14 19:34
Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$80	99	0	+99	open	—	10-14 14:42
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$75	150	150	+0	No	-$24	03-06 05:27
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$63	43	43	+0	Yes	+$23	03-07 22:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$55	80	80	+0	No	-$25	03-10 17:04
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$55	333	333	+0	No	-$7	07-03 01:26
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	14	$49	151	151	+0	open	—	10-01 18:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	8	$47	135	135	+0	open	—	09-22 19:38
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$45	74	0	+74	No	-$45	01-18 20:32
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	29	$45	2,841	0	+2,841	No	-$45	03-27 18:22
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	2	$39	60	0	+60	Yes	+$21	02-01 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:42:09	Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x5039b6…
10-01 18:28:15	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x22ba4d…
10-01 18:27:41	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0x64c971…
09-29 11:20:59	Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xba9013…
09-23 13:59:31	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xaf7960…
09-22 19:38:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x78309e…
09-22 19:05:52	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x44427c…
09-22 19:05:34	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x8a6acd…
09-22 18:46:40	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0xee5e22…
09-21 13:16:11	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x50b173…
09-20 16:10:09	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x6c057e…
09-20 14:02:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xf50502…
09-20 13:51:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa98f44…
09-20 12:53:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x0f0133…
09-18 14:48:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xb0d27a…
09-17 12:09:31	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x57e8b8…
09-16 22:44:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xdf4978…
09-16 10:42:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa5351b…
09-13 12:00:21	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d02e6…
09-13 11:59:46	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x31670b…
09-11 14:38:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x3988b4…
09-11 00:27:07	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x93afbe…
09-11 00:27:04	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x992622…
09-11 00:25:43	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x6c3d37…
09-11 00:25:43	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x21c65c…
09-11 00:02:10	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xfd1f5a…
09-11 00:02:10	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x590713…
09-10 23:33:19	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x73b9a6…
09-10 15:09:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x38e373…
09-10 04:58:19	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x5d3cba…
09-09 22:05:13	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x06e6ed…
09-09 21:54:25	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9f5b73…
09-09 18:45:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xdef0ad…
09-08 19:01:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x29f5e5…
09-05 22:47:18	Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x2200c5…
09-05 14:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc36eed…
09-04 11:19:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	60¢	$22	0x94843d…
09-03 10:55:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	75	50¢	$38	0x0cea2a…
08-30 22:05:21	Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x147ee2…
08-28 15:18:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa87ca3…
08-28 14:47:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x717c99…
08-28 14:42:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x92e783…
08-27 07:52:46	Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x986e87…
08-27 03:14:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x318b12…
08-20 16:01:36	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x7a51f5…
08-20 16:00:10	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x2ae8ad…
08-19 05:48:49	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xccf095…
08-18 02:55:34	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x5a36d7…
08-16 07:31:34	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	BUY	34	37¢	$13	0x442fab…
08-16 05:39:45	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	BUY	66	37¢	$24	0x8e17fa…
08-16 03:01:51	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x96e507…
08-16 03:01:51	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x492701…
08-14 12:50:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x22569c…
08-11 16:23:10	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xac9a58…
08-11 06:00:00	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xa87438…
07-29 11:20:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	83	11¢	$9	0x92f6cd…
07-29 10:35:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x15ee94…
07-28 09:54:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x7fec3f…
07-28 09:54:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0xce1c95…
07-27 16:59:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x99aa11…
07-27 14:35:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	135	73¢	$98	0xd41a8e…
07-27 14:35:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	365	73¢	$266	0xc7fbf1…
07-27 14:35:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	73¢	$47	0x4845fe…
07-27 14:35:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa3beb6…
07-27 14:34:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x7b8d7b…
07-26 19:08:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xcd7ed9…
07-26 18:42:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf85fe5…
07-26 18:35:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x397b2e…
07-25 14:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x437564…
07-25 13:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ae049…
07-25 13:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0ba142…
07-25 13:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc65196…
07-25 13:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x63adfa…
07-25 13:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63c548…
07-25 13:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x92e1b2…
07-25 13:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x90b7f4…
07-25 13:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xeab77e…
07-25 13:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x229d2d…
07-25 13:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5bcba6…
07-25 13:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0c6066…
07-25 13:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x22baf3…
07-25 13:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x899fc0…
07-25 13:01:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x15b936…
07-25 12:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x48cf6e…
07-25 12:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x77c7db…
07-25 12:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x71fc30…
07-25 12:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c4311…
07-25 12:38:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$7	0x7ed3a7…
07-25 12:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x34ed0d…
07-23 13:09:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x075f71…
07-23 00:12:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x318046…
07-22 22:56:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xca8c81…
07-22 18:16:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xbe9b87…
07-19 16:18:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	528	41¢	$217	0x0426a5…
07-19 16:16:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	169	41¢	$69	0xe47a5b…
07-19 16:16:21	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	95	41¢	$39	0xe816f3…
07-19 13:22:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	264	41¢	$108	0xf5b0d8…
07-15 14:55:26	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	52¢	$47	0x173189…
07-14 22:27:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	58¢	$52	0x743ff9…
07-14 16:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x320135…