Accurate-Underneath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

909

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-09 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Politics

38% 50% $-9

Other

13% 14% $-18

Tech

1% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	13	$10.8K	5,565	6,210	-645	open	—	05-26 19:59
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	11	$7.0K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	01-17 02:14
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	11	$2.5K	1,398	3,560	-2,162	open	—	05-26 05:18
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 19:57
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	02-27 15:01
war powers resolution passes the senate	17	$194	160	140	+20	open	—	03-07 06:45
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	28	$193	186	190	-4	open	—	03-01 16:51
pltr up or down on february 27 2026	4	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	02-27 16:12
googl up or down on february 27 2026	5	$186	200	200	+0	open	—	02-27 16:16
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	16	$170	160	160	+0	open	—	03-19 19:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	13	$166	120	120	+0	open	—	03-01 17:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	24	$161	180	180	+0	open	—	03-01 16:50
us strikes iraq by february 28	18	$156	160	160	+0	open	—	03-02 09:41
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	16	$138	140	140	+0	open	—	03-17 20:31
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	12	$128	120	120	+0	open	—	03-01 19:32
will uae strike iran by march 31	10	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 09:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	16	$124	140	140	+0	open	—	03-01 09:50
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	19	$119	120	120	+0	open	—	03-01 08:26
will tisza win at least 110 seats	15	$110	113	115	-2	open	—	03-19 19:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	16	$102	140	140	+0	open	—	03-03 10:52
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	11	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 19:43
will fidesz kdnp win at least 100 seats	9	$96	80	80	+0	open	—	03-19 19:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	6	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	04-13 17:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	16	$91	99	100	-1	open	—	03-01 16:50
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	15	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 17:49
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	6	$89	60	60	+0	open	—	03-01 09:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	8	$85	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 16:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	9	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 21:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 169	12	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 20:59
peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	8	$79	80	80	+0	open	—	03-02 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:57:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2a6401…
06-09 14:16:45	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x834cdf…
06-09 12:14:09	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x383e14…
06-09 12:03:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x5821de…
06-09 11:19:43	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x02ee26…
06-09 09:51:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x6ff13a…
06-09 09:36:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x07a3ed…
06-09 09:30:57	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0aaceb…
06-09 08:03:10	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfbcff3…
06-09 07:28:27	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc390bd…
05-26 19:59:40	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6,210	100¢	$6,204	0x49eb38…
05-26 05:18:31	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	7¢	$69	0x16b8b6…
05-25 09:06:42	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	495	72¢	$357	0x409e59…
05-25 09:03:24	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	354	72¢	$256	0x210154…
05-25 08:45:33	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	151	72¢	$109	0xb912f0…
05-25 08:36:52	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	320	71¢	$227	0xcc2fb5…
05-25 02:17:29	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	355	82¢	$291	0x83e9f1…
05-24 19:03:59	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	82	19¢	$16	0xfb7091…
05-21 01:45:57	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$825	0xaf4447…
05-18 13:06:16	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,200	85¢	$1,020	0x467c9b…
05-16 17:01:26	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	88¢	$89	0x138c35…
05-16 14:59:23	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x807598…
05-16 14:55:39	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,476	88¢	$1,305	0x456d83…
05-15 19:26:58	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0xd82e8c…
05-15 17:38:30	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	93	88¢	$82	0x1917ba…
05-15 15:40:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x5a0df4…
05-15 15:39:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x1f5164…
05-14 20:10:10	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf920d0…
05-14 12:34:14	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x0643fb…
05-14 07:37:47	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x2e8025…
05-13 05:58:36	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x8ec3e4…
05-12 20:41:10	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x8938b8…
05-07 22:30:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x99278a…
05-07 21:41:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x4b2484…
05-07 21:20:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8a5980…
05-07 21:10:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xcae37a…
05-07 21:08:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xe724d6…
05-07 21:08:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x8deace…
05-07 21:08:17	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe359fd…
05-07 21:07:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xad39b2…
05-07 21:07:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdf7fc5…
05-07 21:07:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6fa502…
05-07 11:35:43	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xe74744…
05-07 10:45:03	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa4a16e…
05-07 07:32:07	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf8e03d…
05-07 07:31:46	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x8a501e…
05-07 07:31:23	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xbd209b…
05-07 07:30:22	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x301308…
05-07 07:30:13	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x0b86ab…
05-06 19:36:50	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd4e6b4…
05-06 19:03:42	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8e2731…
05-06 14:49:13	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x18a92d…
05-06 14:45:20	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd689be…
05-06 14:26:51	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc5fa1a…
05-06 14:06:14	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfc2b05…
05-06 12:25:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x901594…
05-06 12:19:36	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x2ebbaa…
05-06 12:04:36	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$7	0xa0f8e7…
05-06 12:00:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd9383a…
05-06 11:57:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa52be2…
05-06 11:48:20	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xa2551c…
05-06 06:17:32	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xfdc619…
05-06 03:01:00	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,560	72¢	$1,843	0x4cdfdf…
05-05 18:35:40	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x934eb5…
05-05 18:05:38	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf9dbcf…
05-05 16:44:24	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x51d978…
05-05 14:54:00	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe4cb1a…
05-05 07:37:40	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x53a2cb…
05-05 01:06:38	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x13c067…
05-04 19:21:02	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xfa408d…
05-04 19:20:24	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xdeac0b…
05-04 19:20:16	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xcbe99f…
05-04 17:48:36	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8c135f…
05-04 12:23:16	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9e16f4…
05-04 12:03:26	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x866f65…
05-04 10:45:32	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5fe4a4…
05-04 09:51:14	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x811b4f…
05-04 09:25:20	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xd2dff4…
05-04 09:25:06	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x45ea26…
05-04 09:23:10	Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xcf018f…
05-04 07:11:30	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc248f7…
05-03 14:40:14	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x11c21d…
05-03 14:19:40	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x89c538…
05-03 12:33:34	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4da690…
05-03 09:24:16	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x130d18…
04-13 17:31:51	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x32beb7…
04-13 17:30:59	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xea8e07…
04-13 17:30:57	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x13d2a8…
04-13 17:30:27	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0bd4d1…
04-13 17:29:25	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$13	0x24bea5…
04-13 17:28:41	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x7c7c73…
04-13 17:10:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x8e5177…
04-13 15:20:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x69d2a6…
04-13 14:59:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x015216…
04-13 14:59:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x1fcb97…
04-13 14:58:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3489b3…
04-13 14:58:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xca34f6…
04-13 14:58:31	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x4bc8ad…
04-13 14:58:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x8e2d3d…
04-13 14:58:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xfe3e3c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	149	$3.71M	11,595	06-10 05:14
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	116	$159.5K	13,622	05-04 05:49
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	114	$353.5K	8,624	06-09 21:24
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	106	$120.6K	12,332	03-31 11:21
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	104	$34.5K	7,189	05-07 10:51
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	103	$15.7K	753	06-09 19:27
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	100	$10.7K	2,068	06-10 02:16
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	96	$35.1K	1,170	06-10 02:31