Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
90
lifetime
Volume
$2.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$193
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 07-14 09:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69%
Other
31%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +57 $40 76¢ $43 +$3 06-18 11:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +66 $35 61¢ $40 +$5 06-04 13:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +27 $24 90¢ $24 $-0 07-13 14:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +22 $5 98¢ $21 +$16 07-02 21:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $20 47¢ $20 +$0 06-18 04:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17 $15 80¢ $14 $-1 07-05 09:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +17 $14 80¢ $13 $-0 07-02 06:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -10 $-16 82¢ $-8 +$8 07-13 14:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-17 17:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-4 53¢ $-4 +$0 06-18 04:21