High-Bow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.44K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.96K

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

329

Trades

1,855

lifetime

Volume

$371.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$1.52K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-13 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Sports

44% 50% +$10,444

Crypto

30% 55% +$300

Other

25% 42% -$6,260

Politics

1% 33% -$1,043

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-1,078	-$4,200	96¢	$-1038	+$3,162	09-09 21:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-517	-$1,281	92¢	$-478	+$802	09-09 21:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	30	$16.8K	10,603	11,681	-1,078	open	—	09-09 21:57
Patriots vs. Seahawks	2	$15.4K	24,904	0	+24,904	Seahawks	+$9,463	09-09 22:06
Steelers vs. Browns	8	$10.9K	8,025	8,025	+0	Browns	+$3,868	10-02 03:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	49	$10.8K	9,259	9,777	-517	open	—	09-09 21:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$6.7K	5,231	5,231	+0	No	+$942	03-19 09:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6.7K	9,173	9,173	+0	Yes	+$3,903	07-16 10:00
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	7	$5.7K	3,472	3,472	+0	No	+$650	03-28 01:34
Rockets vs. Lakers	22	$5.5K	9,713	4,294	+5,419	Rockets	-$3,810	04-30 04:31
nba lal sac 2026 01 12	29	$5.3K	3,574	2,935	+639	Kings	+$528	01-13 06:21
nba por phx 2026 04 14	22	$5.1K	5,669	5,598	+71	Trail Blazers	-$1,477	04-15 04:13
Bills vs. Rams	9	$4.9K	8,315	0	+8,315	Bills	-$4,900	10-13 01:11
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	23	$4.7K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$1,179	06-24 21:15
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	8	$4.5K	5,408	1,363	+4,044	Yes	+$1,238	06-28 04:32
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	3	$3.9K	8,058	0	+8,058	Yes	+$4,110	05-06 08:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$3.9K	3,195	3,195	+0	open	—	09-09 21:56
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	2	$3.7K	6,900	0	+6,900	No	-$3,726	07-19 07:57
nba sas bos 2026 01 10	23	$3.7K	5,207	1,044	+4,163	Spurs	-$919	01-11 03:14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$3.6K	6,644	6,644	+0	No	+$562	06-11 08:58
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 3pt5	3	$3.3K	5,709	0	+5,709	Jordan	+$2,362	06-28 02:37
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	11	$3.3K	4,291	3,644	+647	Michigan Wolverines	-$454	04-05 02:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 10:45 UTC	24	$3.2K	2,363	2,363	+0	Down	+$262	01-03 10:59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.0K	11,301	0	+11,301	No	-$3,005	07-13 08:42
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$3.0K	2,783	2,783	+0	Yes	+$1,403	06-06 21:48
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	6	$2.9K	5,570	0	+5,570	Duke Blue Devils	+$1,255	03-28 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 10:00 UTC	20	$2.9K	4,544	2,026	+2,518	Down	-$484	01-13 10:14
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	23	$2.8K	3,515	1,784	+1,732	Steelers	-$1,273	01-05 04:27
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	21	$2.8K	4,175	0	+4,175	Yes	+$1,415	02-16 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 04:15 UTC	19	$2.7K	2,258	2,228	+30	Up	-$6	01-13 04:28
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	12	$2.7K	3,998	0	+3,998	Yes	-$2,685	06-22 09:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 04:00 UTC	14	$2.6K	2,430	2,396	+34	Up	+$208	01-13 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 01:11:00	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xe48656…
10-13 01:10:09	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x434f79…
10-13 01:09:48	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0xbdf4e4…
10-13 01:09:27	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x66e823…
10-13 01:09:08	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa69257…
10-13 01:06:51	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x347a4b…
10-13 01:05:41	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x6fc75d…
10-13 01:04:50	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xb6a69a…
10-13 00:59:20	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,585	63¢	$1,000	0x0e0229…
10-13 00:58:45	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0x2245f8…
10-13 00:58:14	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xc5d21b…
10-13 00:58:08	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	1,887	53¢	$1,000	0x4b57c6…
10-13 00:57:59	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0xf33d07…
10-12 05:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	496	76¢	$377	0xa90b1e…
10-12 05:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	496	65¢	$323	0x7c1d2d…
10-12 05:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	374	27¢	$100	0x4b8675…
10-12 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x3c9cb7…
10-12 05:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x20afd4…
10-11 20:57:49	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	SELL	806	50¢	$403	0x403848…
10-11 19:47:21	Browns vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x26218a…
10-11 19:19:48	Browns vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x0665ba…
10-11 19:05:28	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	932	4¢	$37	0x0c7c6c…
10-11 19:04:07	Texans vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	3,354	3¢	$100	0x5c48f5…
10-11 19:03:31	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	2,614	4¢	$100	0x9a4ef6…
10-11 10:53:15	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x42bb1f…
10-11 10:49:15	Texans vs. Titans	Texans	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x137d6f…
10-11 10:48:54	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x3bd97c…
10-11 10:43:35	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0x28719c…
10-11 10:43:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0xc93665…
10-11 10:43:02	Texans vs. Titans	Texans	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x589bd7…
10-06 08:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	625	17¢	$106	0x3e82e1…
10-06 08:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x7a9ee6…
10-06 08:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	833	75¢	$624	0xbae08e…
10-06 08:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x4c6f12…
10-06 08:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9b2dcd…
10-06 08:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x628183…
10-06 08:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xb91a61…
10-06 03:00:52	Spread: Falcons (-10.5)	Saints	SELL	1,639	11¢	$180	0x21efdb…
10-06 01:37:32	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	SELL	1,709	13¢	$215	0x507889…
10-06 01:08:19	Spread: Falcons (-10.5)	Saints	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0xbf749a…
10-06 00:58:16	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x76d4c1…
10-06 00:58:04	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x47e117…
10-06 00:56:23	Spread: Falcons (-5.5)	Saints	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xbdad47…
10-06 00:56:07	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	1,053	38¢	$400	0x992d28…
10-05 01:15:07	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xb5e37c…
10-05 01:12:52	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x262d0d…
10-05 01:12:43	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	652	46¢	$300	0x7bca57…
10-04 20:59:37	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	2,273	66¢	$1,500	0xbbacac…
10-04 20:58:47	Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	2,939	51¢	$1,500	0x0aeb35…
10-04 20:12:55	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xb38eaf…
10-04 19:50:59	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x77e5a7…
10-04 19:49:01	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xb3b088…
10-04 19:48:34	Cardinals vs. Giants	Cardinals	SELL	536	29¢	$155	0x53f7ac…
10-04 08:28:17	Spread: Ravens (-9.5)	Ravens	BUY	1,735	58¢	$1,000	0xf0cd47…
10-04 08:27:43	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xe665cb…
10-04 08:27:37	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0x09dd78…
10-04 08:27:28	Cardinals vs. Giants	Cardinals	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xd86ac0…
10-04 08:23:37	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0xce2e33…
10-04 08:23:19	Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0xe74ef5…
10-04 08:22:52	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x1e0492…
10-04 08:22:46	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xcff5b3…
10-03 23:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	455	21¢	$94	0x6e4ec4…
10-03 23:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x5e16b5…
10-02 03:41:12	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	SELL	4,514	97¢	$4,379	0x0c4075…
10-02 03:40:51	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	SELL	1,505	96¢	$1,445	0xff90ab…
10-02 03:22:54	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	SELL	2,006	77¢	$1,545	0x4a01f7…
10-02 01:12:06	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0xe777a5…
10-02 01:10:02	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xb6d37a…
10-02 01:06:27	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x26a168…
10-02 01:05:15	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	2,515	40¢	$1,000	0x48e5c7…
10-02 01:04:21	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0x009b40…
09-21 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0xf6a07c…
09-16 09:15:55	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Lions	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0x71c237…
09-16 09:13:04	Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0xe9727d…
09-16 09:11:51	Vikings vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x1bb6ac…
09-16 09:11:37	Panthers vs. Falcons	Panthers	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0x4cc8b9…
09-14 01:59:58	Cowboys vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x103e45…
09-13 23:17:22	Packers vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xc1e238…
09-13 08:45:54	Ravens vs. Colts	Ravens	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x620d09…
09-13 08:45:43	Cowboys vs. Giants	Cowboys	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x6f464b…
09-13 08:35:16	Ravens vs. Colts	Ravens	BUY	2,000	61¢	$1,220	0x3dfab0…
09-09 22:06:40	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	14,904	62¢	$9,240	0xf4bf0f…
09-09 21:58:00	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	10,000	62¢	$6,200	0xbe1236…
09-09 21:57:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11,266	90¢	$10,139	0x3890b3…
09-09 21:57:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,159	85¢	$2,680	0x5c1b67…
09-09 21:56:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,195	82¢	$2,620	0x67fef6…
09-09 21:55:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	402	86¢	$346	0xaf965f…
09-09 21:55:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	91¢	$86	0x022e9a…
08-31 11:38:41	49ers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	620	65¢	$403	0xf75e20…
08-23 09:15:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x54f42f…
08-23 09:14:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	221	90¢	$199	0xe4123f…
08-23 06:28:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	92¢	$1,012	0x0716a4…
07-19 08:46:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	52¢	$26	0x05fb47…
07-19 07:58:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	951	52¢	$494	0xc1927d…
07-19 07:57:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0xacbf87…
07-19 07:52:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	4,900	54¢	$2,646	0xdf251e…
07-16 13:44:19	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	900	61¢	$548	0xfd9e75…
07-16 10:44:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0xff8371…
07-16 10:31:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x204195…
07-16 10:29:53	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	286	61¢	$174	0x4f3f1a…