Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
394
lifetime
Volume
$18.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$890
20 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 10-29 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
49% 60% +$113
Sports
20% — —
Politics
20% 0% -$286
Crypto
9% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +722 $653 86¢ $617 -$36 09-06 05:10
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +189 $100 44¢ $82 -$18 09-06 19:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +87 $55 78¢ $68 +$13 10-27 03:13
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +80 $46 60¢ $48 +$2 10-27 06:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +67 $31 50¢ $33 +$2 10-29 12:12
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +46 $24 36¢ $16 -$7 10-29 23:43
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +210 $18 8¢ $16 -$2 10-28 00:57
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +83 $2 4¢ $4 +$1 10-27 11:38
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +3 $2 92¢ $3 +$1 10-27 19:00
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $1 +$1 10-10 15:39
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$20 93¢ $1 +$21 10-07 00:06
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +2 -$1 25¢ $1 +$2 10-08 20:26
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $0 30¢ $0 $0 09-23 18:27
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +1 $5 12¢ $0 -$5 09-15 23:58
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +0 -$13 7¢ $0 +$13 09-15 13:22
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 09-07 16:28
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-11 04:47
Discord IPO before 2027? No +0 -$2 94¢ $0 +$2 09-30 21:30
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 10-27 11:23
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-01 10:38