Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
471
Trades
1,254
lifetime
Volume
$18.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$515
29 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 10-26 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
63% 64% -$25
Politics
22% 68% -$20
Crypto
8% 71% +$33
Tech
3% 50% -$22
Sports
3% 44% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +91 $75 89¢ $81 +$5 09-21 18:46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +59 $53 94¢ $55 +$2 10-01 03:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +55 $49 88¢ $48 -$1 10-02 12:59
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +46 $31 68¢ $31 +$0 10-26 14:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +38 $32 82¢ $31 -$1 10-26 14:36
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +29 $25 92¢ $27 +$2 10-02 16:37
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +35 $26 72¢ $25 -$1 10-26 14:36
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +28 $21 87¢ $24 +$3 09-27 10:33
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +29 $21 72¢ $21 +$0 10-26 14:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +24 $17 76¢ $18 +$2 10-04 11:46
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +18 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 10-26 14:37
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026 Yes +18 $14 80¢ $14 +$0 10-01 07:11
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? No +17 $15 84¢ $14 -$1 08-26 18:56
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +17 $15 82¢ $14 -$1 10-26 17:06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 10-17 19:38
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +18 $13 60¢ $11 -$2 10-12 11:59
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 08-02 00:31
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 10-17 19:39
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 10-04 11:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $7 82¢ $6 $0 10-17 19:38
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? Yes +9 $6 57¢ $5 $0 10-03 09:37
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +12 $5 41¢ $5 +$0 10-05 02:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 10-03 03:14
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 10-04 15:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 $0 10-01 03:39
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 10-26 14:37
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 73¢ $4 $0 10-26 17:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +4 $3 86¢ $4 +$0 07-31 15:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $3 45¢ $3 $0 10-05 09:22