(anonymous) 0xb654f4…c467d4
cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$211
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
33
Trades
1,120
lifetime
Volume
$60.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$52.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $0
Other
28% — —
Sports
21% 44% -$1,708
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +12,539 $12,196 98¢ $12.3K +$98 10-16 23:35
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,181 $6,055 99¢ $6.1K +$86 10-16 16:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,630 $4,329 94¢ $4.4K +$46 10-18 21:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +4,027 $3,933 99¢ $4.0K +$64 10-16 15:48
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,992 $3,869 100¢ $4.0K +$113 10-09 02:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,557 $3,462 97¢ $3.5K +$1 10-27 05:36
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,283 $3,205 98¢ $3.2K -$4 10-15 21:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +3,592 $3,115 86¢ $3.1K -$8 10-27 07:36
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,118 $1,769 82¢ $1.7K -$42 10-26 21:01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,600 $1,556 96¢ $1.5K -$15 10-05 16:20
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,080 $1,015 94¢ $1.0K -$5 10-26 20:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,039 $943 91¢ $942 -$1 10-25 16:28
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +966 $899 94¢ $904 +$5 10-17 19:53
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +903 $854 93¢ $844 -$11 10-19 08:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +894 $791 86¢ $773 -$18 10-10 13:38
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +679 $573 86¢ $587 +$14 10-25 18:22
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +546 $536 97¢ $529 -$6 10-18 05:36
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +517 $508 98¢ $507 -$1 10-19 20:10
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +444 $434 98¢ $435 +$1 10-18 21:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,043 $406 14¢ $411 +$4 10-24 14:44
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,940 $331 18¢ $359 +$28 10-26 22:53
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +277 $263 95¢ $263 +$0 10-23 02:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +4,630 $301 6¢ $255 -$46 10-20 08:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +12,539 $342 2¢ $245 -$98 10-19 09:03
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +219 $214 99¢ $217 +$3 09-27 00:35
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,190 $178 14¢ $161 -$16 10-25 23:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +894 $108 14¢ $121 +$13 10-08 19:16
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,455 $85 6¢ $95 +$10 10-27 08:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,431 $91 3¢ $91 $0 10-26 18:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,283 $86 2¢ $82 -$4 10-20 02:58