Cold-Harmony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-12 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Politics

3% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-15 10:46
bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	2	$2.8K	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	06-11 14:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-27 11:56
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-09 00:55
bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	2	$1.3K	675	675	+0	open	—	06-13 01:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-28 14:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-15 11:23
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	4	$845	852	0	+852	open	—	04-19 14:44
bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	4	$693	348	348	+0	open	—	06-27 16:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$692	0	700	-700	open	—	05-22 11:13
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	2	$596	300	300	+0	open	—	07-12 17:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	7	$580	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 06:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 07:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 01:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 03:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 06:04
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	4	$394	220	220	+0	open	—	05-03 13:51
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	7	$364	200	167	+33	open	—	05-08 15:04
bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	8	$363	183	183	+0	open	—	06-28 08:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	15	$342	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-05 13:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 12:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 15:12
bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	5	$228	115	115	+0	open	—	06-28 09:06
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 21:02
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	04-25 17:00
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	04-25 17:00
nba orl det 2026 04 19	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	04-19 13:06
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	2	$87	134	0	+134	open	—	04-18 03:00
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	1	$61	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 17:11
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	1	$61	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 17:24:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x6e8ca1…
07-12 04:34:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x7b78c7…
06-28 09:06:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xa46fb4…
06-28 08:05:19	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x5096f4…
06-28 07:13:28	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9eed4e…
06-28 05:13:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xea1fa1…
06-28 04:23:22	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x178da7…
06-28 04:00:23	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x56965f…
06-28 03:58:58	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a097f…
06-28 03:58:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x72205d…
06-28 03:54:22	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x940286…
06-28 03:51:50	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6084ac…
06-28 03:50:19	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xb1fe29…
06-27 16:30:26	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0xa23426…
06-27 13:22:29	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x10db3c…
06-27 03:05:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x1a3f50…
06-27 03:04:38	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x43e380…
06-27 03:04:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x5eb6c7…
06-27 03:02:58	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0xb2362a…
06-25 17:11:08	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x3fd607…
06-25 16:59:10	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x7491e4…
06-25 16:55:58	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x7cead0…
06-24 09:57:13	will aurlien tchouamni score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1b3908…
06-24 02:30:20	will federico valverde score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x85dadc…
06-23 20:40:08	will aurlien tchouamni score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xecfee8…
06-14 20:37:43	will martin zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x167417…
06-14 15:10:27	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b66d1…
06-13 01:09:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	675	100¢	$674	0xc0a3c5…
06-12 13:31:49	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	675	100¢	$674	0x0e8ecb…
06-11 14:55:24	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	SELL	1,409	100¢	$1,405	0xaf7020…
06-11 06:52:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	1,409	100¢	$1,402	0x30f00e…
06-10 21:27:25	will federico valverde score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x97d878…
06-09 14:17:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa4aef4…
06-09 12:14:18	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xbfd682…
06-09 12:12:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x26e4b7…
06-09 12:00:19	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x38abc3…
06-09 00:55:52	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	605	100¢	$603	0x3960a0…
06-09 00:13:00	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x4a4d46…
06-09 00:03:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x746533…
06-08 15:12:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	800	99¢	$793	0x23233f…
06-05 23:38:04	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xe642e4…
06-05 23:37:18	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x2f6e95…
06-05 23:34:49	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x26334e…
06-05 20:31:31	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x6154b7…
06-05 18:02:42	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe1b14a…
06-05 17:16:03	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x57fde9…
06-05 16:52:37	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xce3074…
06-05 11:13:34	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x7a879f…
06-05 10:34:30	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xd01294…
06-05 10:20:28	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x1181df…
05-28 14:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfe6b4e…
05-28 13:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0xa908b4…
05-28 13:24:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$344	0x4b281a…
05-28 08:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0xff8f3b…
05-27 11:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0x8e1492…
05-27 05:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0xd7eea3…
05-26 12:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x492fda…
05-26 09:11:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0x000fa6…
05-22 11:13:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$692	0xd29b04…
05-15 11:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xaebfc7…
05-15 10:46:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0x360e67…
05-11 03:28:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x02989e…
05-10 14:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0x47b9b2…
05-09 05:49:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x71bc6f…
05-08 15:04:19	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x37915a…
05-08 14:40:56	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xf38123…
05-08 14:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xb12c18…
05-08 12:55:30	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaf39bf…
05-08 12:17:12	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x7e94a0…
05-08 11:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x104cb5…
05-07 12:30:43	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x12ace4…
05-07 12:30:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xfb9cd0…
05-05 13:23:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0x69b1e9…
05-05 13:23:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x37a952…
05-05 13:18:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xb4444a…
05-05 13:10:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x240986…
05-05 13:10:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0x3be628…
05-05 13:09:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x124e33…
05-05 13:07:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x95d59b…
05-05 13:07:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x7599dc…
05-05 13:07:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x3d4722…
05-05 13:07:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x2a975b…
05-04 15:12:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xbe4fb9…
05-04 10:33:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x8ee136…
05-04 10:33:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x7701a5…
05-04 10:33:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x89b1b0…
05-04 10:33:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xfe7ce8…
05-04 10:03:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xf2efbe…
05-03 13:51:14	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x18a9e2…
05-03 09:39:22	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x50c676…
05-03 09:24:16	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x130d18…
05-03 08:06:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	73¢	$74	0x32e276…
05-03 07:27:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x40f86e…
05-03 07:24:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xfe4a75…
05-03 07:11:52	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x42d1c0…
04-30 03:04:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x92a3c8…
04-30 02:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc63690…
04-30 02:22:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x285eb2…
04-30 01:47:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6689f9…
04-30 01:41:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x6a6178…