Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

29.1%

Resolved

197

Trades

963

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$10

7 positions

First seen

2026-08-26

last 10-26 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

90% 59% -$153

Sports

7% 49% -$184

Politics

2% 33% -$1

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	71¢	$4	+$1	09-12 06:11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+3	$2	72¢	$2	+$0	10-24 12:10
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+4	$1	31¢	$1	+$0	10-22 19:00
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	+1	$1	77¢	$1	+$0	10-22 07:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	08-30 17:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+2	$1	38¢	$1	-$1	10-21 09:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+0	$0	70¢	$0	$0	10-14 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	35	$6.4K	3,254	3,254	+0	No	-$1	08-31 14:36
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	5	$2.1K	1,047	1,047	+0	No	+$8	08-29 21:46
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	3	$1.5K	784	784	+0	open	—	08-29 21:46
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	4	$1.2K	625	625	+0	open	—	08-29 21:46
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	7	$289	295	0	+295	No	+$6	08-27 17:14
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	9	$256	257	257	+0	No	-$3	08-29 21:46
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	3	$221	111	111	+0	No	-$1	08-29 21:46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5	12	$181	384	0	+384	Under	-$181	09-02 19:10
atp jodar bu 2026 09 01	14	$137	228	0	+228	Yunchaokete Bu	-$2	09-02 18:48
US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina	9	$108	184	0	+184	Luciano Darderi	-$22	09-03 16:55
US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo	15	$103	195	0	+195	Francisco Cerundolo	-$36	09-03 16:49
US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse	19	$98	199	0	+199	Ignacio Buse	-$65	09-02 21:09
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov	10	$98	163	0	+163	Karen Khachanov	-$65	09-03 16:57
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	2	$95	48	48	+0	No	$0	08-29 21:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	08-29 21:46
wta paolini cirstea 2026 09 04	13	$77	177	0	+177	Sorana Cirstea	-$12	09-04 16:14
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev	15	$74	140	0	+140	Daniel Merida Aguilar	-$26	09-02 17:33
wta pegula fernand 2026 09 04	10	$72	118	0	+118	Jessica Pegula	+$42	09-04 16:43
US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen	8	$64	117	0	+117	Alex Michelsen	-$14	09-02 16:19
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5	6	$59	109	0	+109	Under	+$50	09-03 16:53
atp kasniko quilez 2026 09 03	10	$55	93	0	+93	Alejo Sanchez Quilez	+$28	09-03 15:34
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds	8	$54	91	0	+91	Cincinnati Reds	-$38	09-02 18:14
atp marcos canas 2026 09 04	14	$53	101	0	+101	Pedro Vives Marcos	+$26	09-04 14:01
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	6	$50	100	0	+100	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$9	09-03 16:53
US Open WTA: Diane Parry vs Sorana Cirstea	8	$48	74	0	+74	Sorana Cirstea	+$9	09-02 16:35
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$48	127	0	+127	Colorado Rockies	+$57	09-02 20:23
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz	4	$47	87	0	+87	Ben Shelton	+$5	09-02 19:04
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar	7	$44	51	0	+51	Madison Keys	+$8	09-03 16:50
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	6	$43	88	0	+88	Over	-$8	09-02 19:23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	1	$37	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	08-26 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:44:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xa14440…
10-26 01:59:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x9f61e7…
10-25 22:05:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x6d71b4…
10-25 20:52:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x75a8fe…
10-25 20:32:38	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x43e461…
10-25 20:32:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xe8ba6c…
10-25 18:10:29	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x9865dc…
10-25 18:10:29	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x8ef50f…
10-25 17:25:24	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x10ff38…
10-25 13:16:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x9c7e2b…
10-25 10:23:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x93cdd4…
10-25 08:58:32	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xb1e8e7…
10-25 06:03:24	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x74b451…
10-25 06:03:24	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x032179…
10-24 12:52:29	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xe8dbb3…
10-24 12:52:29	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xe295e8…
10-24 12:10:00	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4fda72…
10-24 11:45:24	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x9cd89e…
10-24 11:45:23	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xde036a…
10-24 11:45:23	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x1fd0ce…
10-24 07:38:38	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x304bdf…
10-24 07:38:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x531a3d…
10-24 06:59:20	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xac604c…
10-23 18:28:09	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x87a894…
10-23 09:39:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd06d60…
10-23 09:18:11	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe31505…
10-23 09:18:11	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe29d86…
10-23 09:16:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x45d0f8…
10-22 19:00:54	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec36ad…
10-22 14:44:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x2676c5…
10-22 08:58:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x45b0d1…
10-22 07:01:30	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7edc27…
10-21 19:32:29	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xd06ada…
10-21 17:28:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x5e41e6…
10-21 17:28:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x81d5c3…
10-21 09:57:12	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4571bf…
10-21 07:45:44	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xb3e609…
10-20 21:11:05	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x60beeb…
10-20 19:47:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xaf63a1…
10-20 18:57:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x0a3a2b…
10-20 18:57:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xcd652d…
10-20 18:37:42	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x0c1bb9…
10-20 17:32:23	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xb99a97…
10-19 15:25:18	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xaed067…
10-19 12:21:30	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x0f132c…
10-19 08:08:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x760f16…
10-17 19:25:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xb63c65…
10-17 15:40:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x454e20…
10-17 12:44:32	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x8805d7…
10-17 10:17:47	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x2c539e…
10-17 07:30:11	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x11d260…
10-17 05:37:13	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x705af1…
10-17 02:22:14	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf9ac5f…
10-17 02:22:14	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xc38473…
10-16 16:27:03	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0x4dae8b…
10-16 16:23:04	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2e603b…
10-16 16:06:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x1922e7…
10-16 11:16:30	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd5180f…
10-16 07:59:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x37c6ef…
10-16 04:47:28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x810d67…
10-16 04:34:34	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x33d542…
10-16 04:32:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8cff1f…
10-15 21:03:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ad076…
10-15 15:11:46	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x44758c…
10-15 14:46:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2136a4…
10-15 10:31:14	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc8a655…
10-14 23:07:33	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ebe51…
10-14 15:30:52	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xe9f17a…
10-13 10:35:05	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x8fe74b…
10-13 10:34:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x843463…
10-12 20:03:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xfcc736…
10-12 20:03:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x25209d…
10-12 18:51:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6b03d9…
10-10 22:38:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x8a7076…
10-10 20:39:22	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x33caed…
10-08 16:51:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x9b0aee…
10-06 12:43:43	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x457989…
10-05 14:54:05	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xaf1d5c…
10-04 19:56:32	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x40a958…
10-04 14:48:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x68f452…
10-04 14:08:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x30e519…
10-04 13:43:59	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xabece4…
10-04 13:43:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x7af72a…
10-04 12:48:25	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x6554d4…
10-04 12:48:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xf2f09f…
09-30 19:57:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xfc1802…
09-30 19:41:36	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x8c9f53…
09-30 19:41:35	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xcc602b…
09-30 17:50:51	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x93b893…
09-30 09:09:35	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x0787ff…
09-30 07:41:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xf8cae6…
09-30 06:22:59	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd7985e…
09-29 19:04:45	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xaf560f…
09-29 18:28:02	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x5ac9f7…
09-29 16:01:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x273f5b…
09-29 14:34:29	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xf67791…
09-29 14:29:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x420739…
09-29 09:46:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x6c29aa…
09-29 06:29:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xcaf6c5…
09-29 06:29:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x135b82…