Realized P&L
-$2.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
638
Trades
1,577
lifetime
Volume
$137.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$1.54K
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-05 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
88% 52% -$1,816
Sports
5% 42% -$1,067
Crypto
4% 56% +$4
Politics
3% 33% +$324
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,345 $995 88¢ $1.2K +$195 08-29 07:24
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +124 $99 80¢ $99 -$1 10-28 18:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +55 $50 94¢ $52 +$2 10-28 18:45
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +53 $50 96¢ $52 +$2 10-28 18:59
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? No +57 $50 91¢ $51 +$2 10-28 18:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +172 $50 18¢ $30 -$20 10-28 18:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +214 $50 9¢ $19 -$31 10-28 19:41
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +126 $26 11¢ $13 -$13 10-11 04:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $5 12¢ $8 +$3 10-06 14:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 70¢ $4 -$1 06-15 13:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +29 $6 12¢ $4 -$2 07-30 10:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13 $14 27¢ $4 -$11 11-02 00:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 08-19 12:34
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $0 10-22 11:22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +11 $3 19¢ $2 -$1 07-27 08:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +11 $12 17¢ $2 -$10 11-01 19:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +43 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 08-19 11:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 08-19 14:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $0 08-14 20:59
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 06-27 09:41
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes — +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-13 17:40
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 05-07 14:37