Wiry-Apple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$43.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

$141

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-08 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$5

Politics

47% 100% +$12

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No		+141	$138	99¢	$140	+$1	06-03 05:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes		+141	$1	1¢	$1	$-0	06-08 03:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	27	$10.4K	5,254	5,254	+0	open	—	03-26 02:52
trump out as president by march 31	8	$4.4K	2,210	2,210	+0	open	—	03-24 15:29
will trump visit china by march 31	10	$3.8K	1,588	2,288	-700	open	—	03-25 12:50
will trump say oil gas gasoline at the nrcc dinner on march 25 143	4	$2.3K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	03-26 02:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$2.2K	1,177	1,177	-0	Yes	+$5	04-10 14:24
will trump say israel israeli at the nrcc dinner on march 25 639	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-26 05:58
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 30corhigher	1	$2.0K	1,958	0	+1,958	open	—	03-25 14:25
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,901	0	+1,901	open	—	03-23 15:07
will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	7	$1.3K	699	600	+99	open	—	03-26 06:21
will trump say hell 8 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	2	$1.2K	1,239	0	+1,239	open	—	03-26 02:54
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	3	$1.2K	1,203	0	+1,203	open	—	03-24 01:58
will trump say no no no at the nrcc dinner on march 25 766	2	$1.0K	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	03-26 06:57
will trump say job 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	5	$935	470	470	+0	open	—	03-26 03:15
will melania say challenge during fostering the future together event on march 24	2	$671	679	0	+679	open	—	03-25 05:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	5	$571	287	287	+0	open	—	04-23 16:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	5	$553	285	285	+0	open	—	05-11 17:12
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$365	226	143	+83	open	—	04-26 05:58
will trump say snap food stamp at the nrcc dinner on march 25 552	1	$339	342	0	+342	open	—	03-26 05:02
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$285	144	144	+0	open	—	05-04 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	3	$285	143	143	+0	open	—	04-18 15:47
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$266	134	134	+0	open	—	03-29 14:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	8	$263	135	135	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
will melania say department of state during fostering the future together event on march 24	2	$248	249	0	+249	open	—	03-25 04:05
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	4	$230	154	77	+77	open	—	01-21 00:04
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	16	$227	0	231	-231	open	—	05-15 08:29
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	5	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	03-23 13:07
will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	2	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	03-26 02:23
will trump say mental institution at the nrcc dinner on march 25 298	2	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	03-26 04:21
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	01-09 15:56
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	02-13 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:20:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x8d1d20…
06-08 03:14:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x2c1778…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$138	0x6accc8…
06-03 03:45:27	Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	Yes	BUY	67	63¢	$42	0xb6cb5a…
05-23 17:11:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d6cc0…
05-23 13:45:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5102f2…
05-22 07:50:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa28889…
05-21 14:09:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf27304…
05-21 05:25:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e7334…
05-18 13:58:36	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe51585…
05-18 13:13:23	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1f33ba…
05-16 15:24:08	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x99e161…
05-16 14:06:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb5a11d…
05-16 14:03:56	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ee83e…
05-16 14:01:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8c858c…
05-16 14:01:08	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe87cdd…
05-15 08:29:42	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0x692f5f…
05-15 07:54:26	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x2c90e5…
05-15 07:22:56	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xafbb74…
05-15 06:52:57	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6d1b04…
05-15 06:51:21	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x148a88…
05-15 06:04:04	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x36bf5e…
05-15 06:03:55	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcb6821…
05-15 06:03:55	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4c5ef3…
05-15 06:03:45	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe1c607…
05-15 06:03:43	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3ea8c5…
05-15 06:03:38	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69de01…
05-15 06:03:36	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x56c7bc…
05-15 06:03:29	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x177d3c…
05-15 06:03:27	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x553386…
05-15 05:39:55	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2c1833…
05-15 05:38:17	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xe5aaca…
05-11 17:12:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x146d8b…
05-10 12:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$135	0x93bb9a…
05-10 04:10:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x46847c…
05-09 01:24:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfce766…
05-07 07:10:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x25c2d4…
05-04 19:51:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x4bff5e…
05-03 15:54:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0x9d3d15…
04-30 03:58:58	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xab5f93…
04-26 05:58:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7d641b…
04-26 04:39:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xa77068…
04-23 16:51:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$143	0x42eb4b…
04-21 03:45:26	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xb5ab5a…
04-20 17:07:02	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xc4847a…
04-20 17:07:02	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x514585…
04-19 08:57:28	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x9a70f0…
04-18 15:47:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x784f05…
04-17 12:54:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xe87703…
04-17 12:26:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x248207…
04-16 11:26:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x89f3a1…
04-16 11:26:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x746279…
04-15 21:53:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x3b7475…
04-11 05:19:19	will construction be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 851	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa222ca…
04-11 03:35:09	will construction be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 851	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd33a6d…
04-10 14:24:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xf96f37…
04-10 14:24:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xd6c598…
04-10 14:24:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0x8e9613…
04-09 21:51:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	146	94¢	$138	0xed9f75…
04-08 14:25:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x045f23…
04-07 22:36:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	115	97¢	$112	0x73d089…
04-07 22:36:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x51bee8…
04-07 04:53:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0f63b4…
04-05 04:14:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d5520…
04-05 04:14:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xf08ebe…
04-05 04:14:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5d2f46…
04-05 04:13:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xd3cac9…
04-05 04:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdf8c4c…
04-05 04:13:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x61e5b1…
03-29 14:46:48	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x40ec85…
03-26 12:58:47	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xbba969…
03-26 06:57:45	will trump say no no no at the nrcc dinner on march 25 766	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1c92a3…
03-26 06:48:57	will trump say no no no at the nrcc dinner on march 25 766	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xeee790…
03-26 06:21:37	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	BUY	351	99¢	$349	0x7f489f…
03-26 05:58:13	will trump say israel israeli at the nrcc dinner on march 25 639	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0c608d…
03-26 05:37:51	will trump say israel israeli at the nrcc dinner on march 25 639	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$981	0xdb90da…
03-26 05:09:33	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	SELL	584	100¢	$583	0x0b1dc0…
03-26 05:02:47	will trump say snap food stamp at the nrcc dinner on march 25 552	No	BUY	342	99¢	$339	0xc8bebd…
03-26 04:22:03	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0a5aa1…
03-26 04:21:45	will trump say mental institution at the nrcc dinner on march 25 298	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf70b2c…
03-26 04:15:21	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x0cba81…
03-26 03:51:57	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x9d88ec…
03-26 03:43:15	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xe4a8d1…
03-26 03:42:27	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xe3338c…
03-26 03:32:35	will trump say beautiful woman woman beautiful at the nrcc dinner on march 25 633	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0x099148…
03-26 03:32:05	will trump say filibuster at the nrcc dinner on march 25 925	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x3fcf85…
03-26 03:15:59	will trump say job 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0x46dc7e…
03-26 03:13:55	will trump say job 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xdab0b1…
03-26 03:09:11	will trump say job 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3f4b89…
03-26 03:06:05	will trump say job 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x2becc1…
03-26 02:54:25	will trump say hell 8 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	Yes	BUY	913	100¢	$912	0x5686a6…
03-26 02:52:49	will trump say hell 8 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	Yes	BUY	327	100¢	$326	0x82a785…
03-26 02:52:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfce818…
03-26 02:47:57	will trump say oil gas gasoline at the nrcc dinner on march 25 143	Yes	SELL	730	100¢	$729	0x495300…
03-26 02:45:11	will trump say oil gas gasoline at the nrcc dinner on march 25 143	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x70a141…
03-26 02:42:07	will trump say oil gas gasoline at the nrcc dinner on march 25 143	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x39d513…
03-26 02:40:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeb1bce…
03-26 02:39:39	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x22dc3c…
03-26 02:23:57	will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x97b57b…
03-26 02:12:45	will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xa90976…