Experienced-Specialist 0xb943c9…079bbe
9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$887
Unrealized P&L
-$469
Hit rate
92.4%
Resolved
27
Trades
131
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$5.55K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 10-29 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
76% 81% +$608
Other
21% 80% +$86
Sports
3% 100% +$193
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,117 $1,016 94¢ $1.1K +$39 10-28 16:09
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +1,252 $1,007 68¢ $858 -$150 10-29 22:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,137 $501 72¢ $813 +$312 10-23 15:37
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +879 $666 86¢ $751 +$85 10-26 12:31
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,170 $1,001 12¢ $480 -$521 09-21 13:14
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,907 $500 14¢ $422 -$78 09-21 18:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +405 $300 72¢ $294 -$6 10-14 18:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +201 $103 74¢ $148 +$45 08-14 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +178 $114 78¢ $139 +$26 09-12 13:26
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +177 $120 72¢ $126 +$6 09-24 17:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,021 $96 10¢ $105 +$9 08-02 17:07
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +111 $100 94¢ $104 +$4 10-06 17:40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,819 $100 3¢ $86 -$14 09-21 18:25
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +161 $100 52¢ $84 -$16 09-21 18:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +55 $45 94¢ $52 +$7 05-20 20:37
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +307 $200 8¢ $25 -$175 07-01 06:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +91 $48 8¢ $8 -$40 06-13 18:38