Brilliant-Heavy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$311

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-11 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

19% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1	$-1	68¢	$-1	$-0	06-11 03:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		-1	$-0	32¢	$-0	+$0	06-11 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	11	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 07:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-10 09:39
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-05 07:58
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 09:24
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 08:11
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:54
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:32
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 09:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:38
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:34
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 03:38
israel closes its airspace by june 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 03:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 04:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 03:02
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 03:56
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 02:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 03:31
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 03:55
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 04:19:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7ae8c9…
06-11 03:30:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe00cc7…
06-11 03:23:15	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x0bca4e…
06-11 03:22:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x53c3cc…
06-11 03:20:37	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xf60aed…
06-11 03:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x1d5220…
06-09 02:11:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x72b18a…
06-09 02:05:03	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9eba0c…
06-09 01:56:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ca0f3…
06-09 01:54:24	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5da7a0…
06-08 01:49:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x01f847…
06-08 01:36:48	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0d868…
06-06 04:16:48	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x642718…
06-06 03:50:03	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x231060…
06-05 03:29:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x916474…
06-05 03:28:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7826d…
06-05 03:17:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x487f47…
06-05 03:08:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c8b02…
06-04 03:31:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3503a6…
06-04 03:06:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x74c0af…
06-03 03:19:01	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x527028…
06-03 03:08:33	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe3da4a…
06-02 02:51:26	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x972f95…
06-02 02:50:18	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4b9368…
06-02 02:30:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x78a8c4…
06-02 02:26:46	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x291aaa…
06-01 03:38:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7bec90…
06-01 03:36:40	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8ed886…
06-01 03:23:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x87b2b5…
06-01 03:16:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9ef564…
05-29 02:45:03	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9a3f4a…
05-29 02:30:47	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1c5401…
05-28 04:25:20	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ff789…
05-28 04:24:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x187ba0…
05-28 04:14:34	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07eb35…
05-28 03:49:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3af99…
05-27 03:36:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcdd81d…
05-27 03:21:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c3811…
05-26 03:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfdbc07…
05-26 02:55:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7afb35…
05-23 03:10:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x00ffe3…
05-23 02:53:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec9d6b…
05-22 04:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeb8f74…
05-22 04:17:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4c57ff…
05-22 03:43:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3b6c9e…
05-22 03:37:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac472b…
05-20 03:38:01	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x870f8f…
05-20 03:35:40	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x26685f…
05-20 03:21:34	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x50b0e2…
05-20 03:11:27	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x038278…
05-19 03:12:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4352af…
05-19 03:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x106fe8…
05-18 04:22:49	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x757c5a…
05-18 04:21:55	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1933f9…
05-18 04:16:33	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2a0e48…
05-18 04:09:07	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8f9695…
05-16 03:33:16	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3bff9…
05-16 03:25:58	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6d3a1…
05-15 03:26:11	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xff016e…
05-15 03:22:31	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x657a29…
05-15 03:10:38	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b89ba…
05-15 02:57:05	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9d2b41…
05-14 03:32:19	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x78d783…
05-14 03:28:28	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b50a2…
05-14 03:21:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2b3e98…
05-14 02:47:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe8687e…
05-12 04:32:17	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6d71c…
05-12 03:37:43	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa75d52…
05-09 02:32:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6cafda…
05-09 02:22:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef6188…
05-08 03:56:42	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x315371…
05-08 03:55:10	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x27864f…
05-08 03:46:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x437b78…
05-08 03:35:41	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70addb…
05-07 02:19:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x89657e…
05-07 02:09:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3e0f97…
05-06 03:47:14	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdba591…
05-06 03:45:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2bfcfd…
05-06 03:33:28	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2c7389…
05-06 03:28:00	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xedffe5…
05-05 03:01:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x29dfb7…
05-05 03:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xffb736…
05-05 02:50:58	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa87839…
05-05 02:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0197b5…
05-04 02:28:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3dcf11…
05-04 02:07:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8535ad…
04-30 03:48:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d6af5…
04-30 03:46:58	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01bd36…
04-30 03:40:24	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a7b67…
04-30 03:32:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad6782…
04-29 02:59:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6319b1…
04-29 02:58:46	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3c992d…
04-29 02:51:24	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x816c4a…
04-29 02:35:36	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed60d4…
04-28 02:24:06	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x17145e…
04-28 02:22:12	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5b87b6…
04-28 02:20:12	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7e4e89…
04-28 02:16:34	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0aa2bc…
04-27 02:14:34	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2c24d0…
04-27 02:13:18	Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb142f6…