Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
26.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
7,875
lifetime
Volume
$144.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$157
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-20 10:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
44% 29% +$32
Other
42% 67% +$0
Crypto
7%
Sports
6% 0% $-2
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 501 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +54 $53 100¢ $54 +$0 06-17 00:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -40 $-34 100¢ $-40 $-6 06-14 22:00
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $-0 05-30 18:07
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $-0 05-31 21:40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +16 $18 99¢ $16 $-2 06-20 14:42
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-14 23:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 05-30 15:03
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-15 09:45