Regular-Takeout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,902

lifetime

Volume

$162.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-10 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

44% 29% +$32

Other

43% 67% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	419	$8.6K	4,370	4,405	-34	open	—	05-29 21:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	350	$8.5K	4,354	4,318	+36	open	—	05-27 15:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	286	$6.1K	3,148	3,094	+54	open	—	06-17 00:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	222	$4.6K	2,325	2,380	-55	open	—	05-29 10:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	192	$4.4K	2,246	2,246	+0	open	—	06-28 22:23
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	231	$4.2K	2,153	2,153	+0	open	—	06-24 15:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	142	$3.6K	1,851	1,813	+38	open	—	06-16 09:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	167	$3.5K	1,773	1,820	-47	open	—	05-09 16:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	196	$3.5K	1,779	1,799	-20	open	—	05-29 21:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	192	$3.4K	1,743	1,743	+0	open	—	05-20 06:22
Iran leadership change by May 31?	169	$3.2K	1,655	1,624	+32	open	—	05-29 21:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	172	$3.2K	1,629	1,669	-40	open	—	06-20 22:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	147	$3.2K	1,639	1,634	+5	open	—	05-30 17:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	137	$3.1K	1,643	1,578	+65	open	—	05-13 21:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	141	$2.9K	1,499	1,465	+35	open	—	05-29 22:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	161	$2.7K	1,401	1,411	-10	open	—	05-26 19:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	105	$2.5K	1,310	1,258	+53	No	$-0	05-08 23:56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	107	$2.3K	1,205	1,199	+6	open	—	05-29 00:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	82	$2.2K	1,118	1,118	+0	open	—	05-23 00:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	94	$2.2K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	06-05 21:19
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	141	$2.1K	1,096	1,115	-18	No	$-1	04-27 02:08
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	92	$2.1K	1,069	1,069	+0	open	—	05-15 13:22
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	95	$1.8K	921	921	+0	open	—	07-02 23:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	151	$1.6K	833	833	+0	Yes	+$0	04-25 09:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	70	$1.5K	735	769	-35	open	—	05-14 02:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	71	$1.4K	756	712	+44	open	—	05-29 22:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	98	$1.4K	739	739	+0	No	$-1	05-06 08:58
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	93	$1.4K	739	739	+0	open	—	06-28 15:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	50	$1.2K	624	624	+0	open	—	04-07 18:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	41	$1.2K	611	611	+0	open	—	05-20 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 20:10:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x0c260f…
07-10 19:51:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x6ec060…
07-10 18:27:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xbdd4f6…
07-10 18:25:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x4d0e08…
07-10 18:25:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdc98e3…
07-10 18:25:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x8d3287…
07-10 18:25:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x245ff8…
07-10 18:24:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xaa4a05…
07-10 17:54:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x79b00a…
07-10 17:54:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x12b7dd…
07-10 17:30:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2c893b…
07-10 16:29:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x7b9e13…
07-10 16:27:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x5d52bc…
07-10 16:14:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xab2843…
07-10 15:38:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xc7ab22…
07-10 14:55:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xec65dc…
07-10 14:55:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4ca169…
07-10 14:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x16f05e…
07-10 14:21:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x8246e8…
07-10 13:50:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x5e062e…
07-10 13:20:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x99dc26…
07-10 13:05:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x58084a…
07-10 12:50:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xfbb066…
07-10 12:30:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd77aba…
07-10 11:31:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3968c9…
07-10 11:28:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3c939e…
07-10 11:07:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8ba951…
07-10 11:04:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7bea41…
07-10 10:58:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x31e0ff…
07-10 10:46:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xb3d19e…
07-10 09:07:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x908ead…
07-10 09:05:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xae9c67…
07-10 05:23:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x2ce8b7…
07-10 04:58:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x080860…
07-10 04:57:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x160e5d…
07-10 04:57:32	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xabb95c…
07-10 04:20:32	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe79852…
07-10 04:19:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x701fbe…
07-10 04:06:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x609cee…
07-10 03:54:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x89f816…
07-10 03:47:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb4af10…
07-10 03:24:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x1bebd7…
07-10 03:16:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x541e92…
07-10 03:05:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xbbd180…
07-10 03:01:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x937ab6…
07-10 02:35:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xcc3243…
07-10 02:17:47	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x26cc10…
07-10 02:16:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x6933e1…
07-10 02:08:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x395568…
07-10 01:56:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x204ff3…
07-10 01:35:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x10c04d…
07-10 01:16:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x6bc63f…
07-09 23:47:22	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe59721…
07-09 22:36:05	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbe2bff…
07-09 22:33:13	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x137cc9…
07-09 22:15:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf04f38…
07-09 18:03:04	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xde4eea…
07-09 17:27:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x7e24c0…
07-09 16:51:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x630f9c…
07-09 16:14:22	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x859009…
07-09 16:10:22	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfb57d7…
07-09 16:02:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x3accd4…
07-09 16:01:44	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x966f7c…
07-09 15:32:13	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xef0655…
07-09 15:21:29	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x917b7f…
07-09 14:58:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7031a0…
07-09 14:22:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x813f70…
07-09 14:12:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x125593…
07-09 11:56:23	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x756ed4…
07-09 11:19:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe98f64…
07-09 10:39:38	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x771e71…
07-09 09:40:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4e358a…
07-09 08:29:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 4pt5	England	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3555ba…
07-09 08:25:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 4pt5	England	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc153cf…
07-09 08:16:50	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x96fc18…
07-09 07:56:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x36d4f6…
07-09 07:27:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb3c5e6…
07-09 06:29:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x887bf3…
07-09 06:01:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe0fb26…
07-09 04:40:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1b72d9…
07-09 04:35:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5b4790…
07-09 04:16:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x381296…
07-09 02:54:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x67d1ff…
07-09 02:49:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xbf8b92…
07-09 01:31:37	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xcc7eca…
07-09 01:11:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x389753…
07-09 01:11:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2e4f14…
07-09 00:11:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x463168…
07-09 00:02:50	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x8adafe…
07-08 23:56:04	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x79ec56…
07-08 23:55:32	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x017b96…
07-08 23:43:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4053d9…
07-08 23:36:17	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x8d8e50…
07-08 23:25:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xdadd8e…
07-08 23:20:49	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x08e1b1…
07-08 23:20:28	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xb06ae7…
07-08 23:06:20	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x00b508…
07-08 23:01:53	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xc35ad8…
07-08 22:59:41	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xd3cd9f…
07-08 22:59:17	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xdbb23a…