Realized P&L
-$5.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$89
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
594
Trades
1,820
lifetime
Volume
$119.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$950
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-27 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
66% 62% +$1,533
Sports
19% 58% +$2,701
Politics
8% 33% -$9,777
Crypto
6% 40% -$35
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +2,473 $430 16¢ $383 -$47 10-24 00:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +156 $100 66¢ $102 +$2 10-21 13:09
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +119 $103 86¢ $102 -$1 10-27 09:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +121 $84 84¢ $101 +$17 10-19 04:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +75 $49 66¢ $50 +$0 10-07 15:11
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +828 $19 5¢ $38 +$18 10-23 13:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +32 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 10-25 20:36
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $20 98¢ $23 +$2 10-06 08:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +256 $56 8¢ $19 -$37 10-19 19:22
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +940 $49 2¢ $18 -$30 10-07 10:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +17 $3 96¢ $16 +$14 10-21 19:00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 10-21 19:01
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +12 $10 80¢ $10 $0 10-06 19:42
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +82 $11 12¢ $9 -$1 10-05 20:39
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +493 $14 2¢ $9 -$5 10-13 04:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +82 $9 10¢ $8 -$1 10-27 09:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +8 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 10-23 06:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +29 $5 9¢ $3 -$2 10-21 15:16
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $3 5¢ $3 $0 10-16 06:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +41 $9 6¢ $2 -$7 10-25 07:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +57 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-11 18:57
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 10-21 14:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-17 13:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 $0 10-11 18:33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $9 9¢ $0 -$9 10-26 06:29