Speedy-Upgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$100

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 09-13 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

39% 100% +$0

Other

29% 88% +$0

Crypto

22% 100% +$0

Sports

10% 67% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+100	$90	96¢	$96	+$6	06-21 14:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+100	$9	4¢	$4	-$5	06-20 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	11	$240	285	285	+0	open	—	08-24 20:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$208	210	210	+0	open	—	07-11 20:48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$200	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-15 23:29
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$189	190	190	+0	open	—	09-13 08:52
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	09-13 13:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$180	180	180	+0	No	+$0	07-15 12:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$99	200	0	+200	open	—	06-21 14:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-19 19:40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	04-26 21:26
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$52	103	103	+0	open	—	06-04 19:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	05-25 22:10
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 22:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	05-05 10:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-05 10:08
bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	07-04 21:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-29 21:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-13 10:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 21:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-20 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-13 10:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-29 21:28
bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-04 21:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-29 21:37
israel closes its airspace by july 7	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-04 21:16
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-25 20:07
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-25 22:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-26 21:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	09-13 08:55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-20 09:31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-26 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 13:24:58	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xde5533…
09-13 08:55:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x036e74…
09-13 08:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0xb49699…
08-24 20:46:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x852fd0…
08-24 20:45:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xed6cdb…
08-13 09:10:18	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x0ab539…
08-13 06:58:25	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x892070…
08-13 05:12:07	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	49	77¢	$38	0xa059f6…
08-12 20:09:18	mlb bal min 2026 08 12	Minnesota Twins	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd63d88…
08-06 09:21:05	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xf5759c…
08-04 03:56:42	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	56	28¢	$15	0x5d260a…
08-03 22:31:14	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xc9551d…
08-03 21:38:35	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x624034…
08-01 20:52:30	mlb stl tor 2026 08 01	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd3606c…
07-28 22:55:49	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x9c36b0…
07-25 20:07:37	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa1275…
07-21 17:25:24	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x4c392c…
07-21 12:00:30	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x0910ef…
07-20 09:31:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3970f4…
07-20 09:28:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2a1951…
07-15 12:28:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xb64933…
07-14 12:35:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x52970d…
07-13 20:06:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa05741…
07-13 16:59:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xe7c1bd…
07-11 21:46:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xe8c492…
07-11 20:48:02	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	105	12¢	$12	0xa4200b…
07-09 17:48:43	mlb atl pit 2026 07 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbd1fd0…
07-05 03:16:02	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x01f50e…
07-05 02:17:25	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	65	26¢	$17	0x644958…
07-04 21:16:43	atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04	Alexander Bublik	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9216bc…
07-04 21:16:19	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x790753…
07-04 21:15:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x804faf…
07-04 21:14:43	bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3212e5…
07-02 09:44:14	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	85	26¢	$22	0xcb5803…
07-02 09:24:41	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0ed66c…
06-27 21:52:17	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	105	86¢	$91	0x207b85…
06-27 19:27:29	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9c6d4d…
06-23 02:31:31	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	105	84¢	$89	0xfe2153…
06-22 11:27:05	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0x7d05b6…
06-21 14:16:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe48be3…
06-20 02:22:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x33c551…
06-15 23:29:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xe811fd…
06-15 22:02:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x42cf8e…
06-15 14:53:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x570586…
06-14 21:58:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xf28792…
06-04 19:15:39	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	103	25¢	$26	0xda807d…
06-04 14:05:28	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xcaccad…
06-04 14:00:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	64	26¢	$17	0xa72ade…
06-04 13:55:40	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x9ae5b8…
06-04 13:55:33	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xbf7dc7…
05-25 22:10:37	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x7d6fab…
05-25 22:10:21	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa46e3e…
05-25 22:10:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xebbeca…
05-21 10:25:21	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xad7931…
05-20 09:47:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa4a722…
05-19 19:40:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x3b2f4f…
05-13 10:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x968410…
05-13 10:19:28	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c31ef…
05-13 10:18:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xba8d9a…
05-13 10:18:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc7750c…
05-05 10:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0ee7d…
05-05 10:09:16	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6cfc4…
05-05 10:08:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6c540f…
05-05 10:07:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe4dd8d…
04-29 21:58:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x25ff68…
04-29 21:37:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e90ea…
04-29 21:35:38	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x292e23…
04-29 21:31:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc61e5c…
04-29 21:28:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x588824…
04-29 21:27:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x75b9b8…
04-29 21:26:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x43e6ca…
04-26 21:29:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcad00…
04-26 21:29:10	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa8a568…
04-26 21:28:54	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x641d33…
04-26 21:28:22	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xee7aeb…
04-26 21:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x254aa4…
04-26 21:26:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x70b1b3…