Thorny-Azimuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$258

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 09-21 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

81% 59% +$107

Politics

18% 0% —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+14	$3	24¢	$3	+$0	09-21 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$6	06-13 08:34
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	2	$983	520	520	+0	No	+$5	06-12 08:24
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	2	$962	490	490	+0	No	+$0	05-12 05:46
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$941	480	480	+0	No	+$0	05-14 07:05
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	3	$934	475	475	+0	No	+$0	05-09 07:49
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	2	$882	475	475	+0	open	—	07-19 02:59
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	2	$879	475	475	+0	open	—	07-19 03:52
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?	2	$725	390	390	+0	No	-$9	06-28 05:01
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	2	$718	370	370	+0	No	+$0	06-28 06:21
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 second half team total home 1pt5	1	$497	540	0	+540	Under	+$43	06-13 08:48
cs2 str4 msc 2026 06 12 game1 round handicap str4 3pt5	1	$493	530	0	+530	MASONIC	+$37	06-12 08:32
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$480	505	0	+505	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	+$25	05-12 05:50
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	1	$473	485	0	+485	Girona FC	+$12	05-14 07:10
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$470	480	0	+480	Sevilla FC	+$10	05-09 07:55
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	1	$428	460	0	+460	Brisbane Roar FC	+$32	04-25 07:19
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$354	365	0	+365	Qingdao Xihaian FC	+$11	04-11 08:14
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	4	$277	200	200	+0	No	-$7	08-07 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$260	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 04:54
lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	1	$199	205	0	+205	Getafe CF	+$6	04-05 07:17
another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	3	$155	970	970	+0	No	+$0	08-05 02:09
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	4	$134	960	960	+0	No	+$0	08-05 03:08
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	2	$55	1,010	0	+1,010	SK Brann	-$55	05-16 07:19
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	4	$37	965	965	+0	open	—	05-16 07:09
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	09-21 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:59:05	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x68001b…
08-07 16:33:04	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x5d761e…
08-07 16:32:51	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	113	75¢	$85	0xfc89b3…
08-07 05:06:27	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	74	55¢	$40	0x9f0b4e…
08-07 02:13:45	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x2913f1…
08-05 03:08:00	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	Yes	SELL	485	7¢	$34	0x9f9c0c…
08-05 03:07:50	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	Yes	SELL	475	7¢	$33	0x74e627…
08-05 02:26:15	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	Yes	BUY	485	7¢	$34	0x08c2cf…
08-05 02:25:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	Yes	BUY	475	7¢	$33	0xac041b…
08-05 02:09:33	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	SELL	970	8¢	$78	0xe4e682…
08-05 01:24:48	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x642eb8…
08-05 01:24:30	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	BUY	470	8¢	$38	0x5f19be…
07-19 03:52:46	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	475	92¢	$437	0xd1b44d…
07-19 03:11:16	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	475	93¢	$442	0x9bcfd5…
07-19 02:59:57	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	475	93¢	$442	0x321718…
07-19 01:50:12	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	475	92¢	$439	0xa6b4c5…
06-28 06:21:07	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	SELL	370	97¢	$359	0x2c0038…
06-28 05:23:01	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	370	97¢	$359	0xf7c0d7…
06-28 05:01:28	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?	No	SELL	390	92¢	$358	0x34105e…
06-28 01:38:32	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?	No	BUY	390	94¢	$367	0xfbea74…
06-13 08:48:48	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 second half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	540	92¢	$497	0x58b9d3…
06-13 08:34:01	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	570	93¢	$530	0x3521bf…
06-13 06:14:04	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	570	94¢	$536	0x02c5ac…
06-12 08:32:01	cs2 str4 msc 2026 06 12 game1 round handicap str4 3pt5	MASONIC	BUY	530	93¢	$493	0xe4eb1b…
06-12 08:24:57	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	SELL	520	95¢	$494	0x256711…
06-12 06:39:28	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	520	94¢	$489	0xfae4ab…
06-01 04:54:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x0e5756…
06-01 04:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x377f69…
06-01 04:28:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x103df0…
05-16 07:19:02	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	BUY	510	5¢	$28	0xc4fb78…
05-16 07:18:34	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0x318d3b…
05-16 07:09:48	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	2¢	$10	0xda74fc…
05-16 07:07:22	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	2¢	$10	0x4c0c80…
05-16 06:29:15	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	2¢	$9	0x60c082…
05-16 06:28:35	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$9	0x9b9fb7…
05-14 07:10:38	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Girona FC	BUY	485	98¢	$473	0xc4e82d…
05-14 07:05:27	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	480	98¢	$470	0x665e88…
05-14 06:35:29	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	480	98¢	$470	0xc64337…
05-12 05:50:36	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	BUY	505	95¢	$480	0x004906…
05-12 05:46:03	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	490	98¢	$481	0x21fe84…
05-12 04:44:01	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	490	98¢	$481	0xc96841…
05-09 07:55:09	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	480	98¢	$470	0x1328bc…
05-09 07:49:10	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$48	0xef7b4b…
05-09 07:48:21	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	426	98¢	$420	0xd35abb…
05-09 07:21:52	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	475	98¢	$467	0xe0d9e7…
04-25 07:19:36	Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	Brisbane Roar FC	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0x5cc4d6…
04-11 08:14:47	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	365	97¢	$354	0x5d4b9a…
04-05 07:17:55	lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Getafe CF	BUY	205	97¢	$199	0xd7ec93…