Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$252

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

147

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

56% 40% -$11

Other

33% 51% +$217

Sports

8% 69% +$48

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+1	$2	6¢	$0	-$2	07-01 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	20	$61	47	47	+0	Yes	-$3	06-08 13:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$43	83	83	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 16:27
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	10	$37	34	34	+0	No	-$1	06-20 23:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$33	24	24	+0	No	-$1	06-19 20:41
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	10	$32	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-08 06:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	10	$30	20	20	+0	No	-$2	06-18 16:09
starmer out by july 31 2026	6	$29	50	20	+30	Yes	+$5	06-20 00:31
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	13	$28	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 16:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$28	80	80	+0	No	-$1	06-21 10:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 09:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	12	$24	61	61	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 23:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	6	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	07-01 02:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	-$2	06-14 08:47
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	11	$19	98	11	+87	Yes	-$6	06-14 22:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	7	$19	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-29 17:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	7	$18	15	15	+0	No	-$1	06-08 07:10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	6	$16	18	18	+0	No	-$1	06-13 04:21
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	6	$15	13	13	+0	No	-$4	06-17 11:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	6	$15	37	35	+2	Yes	+$1	06-21 03:28
nba mia tor 2026 04 09	1	$15	24	0	+24	Raptors	+$9	04-09 02:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	3	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	06-14 21:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 23:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$3	07-01 02:55
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	5	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	07-01 02:55
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 21:05
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	6	$13	18	18	+0	No	+$2	06-07 19:05
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	$0	06-15 19:10
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	4	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 22:30
israel closes its airspace by june 9	3	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-10 01:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	06-22 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:01:14	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xad06c6…
08-05 03:30:59	wnba phx atl 2026 08 05	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2c4808…
07-11 02:41:25	atp monteir herbert 2026 07 11	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd40fda…
07-01 03:00:52	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	OpenAI	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xed1b23…
07-01 02:55:43	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in july 20260626154217429	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe207d3…
07-01 02:55:41	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7addf0…
07-01 02:55:41	will trump meet with xi jinping in july 2026 20260626153701907	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65b27d…
07-01 02:55:40	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb240cc…
07-01 02:55:38	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x649079…
07-01 02:55:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x2c4b2c…
07-01 02:55:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x3004e7…
07-01 02:55:35	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x8c9b29…
07-01 02:55:35	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2066a5…
07-01 02:55:34	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0xea2eb7…
07-01 02:55:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x014e78…
07-01 02:55:32	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x55884f…
07-01 02:55:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0x1408b6…
07-01 02:55:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x84fdb4…
07-01 02:55:29	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x6cc5d7…
07-01 02:55:29	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x28df05…
07-01 02:55:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x87baef…
07-01 02:55:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x7c0242…
07-01 02:55:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x53fa6e…
07-01 02:55:26	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0x1a6369…
07-01 02:55:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xdc6044…
07-01 02:55:25	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x191703…
07-01 00:45:02	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1d24e9…
06-30 01:37:32	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xb09bb7…
06-29 21:07:44	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x479453…
06-29 19:18:14	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3d3f80…
06-29 19:18:10	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x02cbdd…
06-29 19:18:08	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa3ad6b…
06-29 17:18:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xee914c…
06-29 17:17:47	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0c1b3d…
06-29 15:03:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6819c1…
06-29 12:58:29	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x3b755a…
06-29 12:58:25	will mojtaba khamenei attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204736	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xa28cee…
06-29 11:04:26	will mojtaba khamenei attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204736	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x20e5e3…
06-28 23:48:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb63f28…
06-28 09:09:14	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xb090a6…
06-28 00:10:38	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc9faf9…
06-27 18:52:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x9a453c…
06-27 17:04:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x3a901b…
06-27 13:29:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xfc8d6c…
06-27 13:29:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6c177b…
06-27 09:57:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x46ddff…
06-27 06:26:08	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x02cd8e…
06-27 06:26:02	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa11784…
06-27 02:53:56	will trump meet with xi jinping in july 2026 20260626153701907	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1993d5…
06-27 02:53:56	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x089918…
06-27 02:53:47	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in july 20260626154217429	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x342e22…
06-26 23:21:17	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xab52b8…
06-26 19:49:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xc0aafe…
06-26 18:47:04	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x835d1f…
06-26 18:05:23	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe44bd4…
06-26 16:18:31	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x1e620d…
06-26 16:18:25	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd85f15…
06-26 14:33:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa65fb4…
06-26 14:33:04	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xdb4ec8…
06-26 14:32:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4555c8…
06-26 12:47:34	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x358ac9…
06-26 02:23:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x33299d…
06-26 00:39:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa70531…
06-26 00:39:49	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xafd4e7…
06-25 21:09:49	Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xedfa12…
06-25 19:25:11	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x74c5fb…
06-25 19:25:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4fdb9e…
06-25 19:25:07	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xfdb292…
06-25 17:40:44	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x111eec…
06-25 17:40:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x85020f…
06-25 17:03:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x875214…
06-25 14:09:52	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xadc1d6…
06-25 10:41:50	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x773c0f…
06-24 22:47:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xb6dc22…
06-24 09:06:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe6d514…
06-23 22:30:41	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x331f49…
06-23 20:46:55	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc2901f…
06-23 13:45:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc5c3cc…
06-23 12:01:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x617877…
06-22 13:58:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x6f3d9c…
06-22 13:58:52	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xdf5bdf…
06-22 12:18:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x795c21…
06-22 10:36:47	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x176a84…
06-22 05:12:49	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcf4a04…
06-21 21:54:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbadc22…
06-21 12:33:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5e6d2d…
06-21 10:43:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xbb28d4…
06-21 08:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x456a79…
06-21 03:28:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb53df0…
06-20 23:49:46	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x0807b7…
06-20 22:25:46	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xcad471…
06-20 22:15:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbeb3ba…
06-20 20:24:17	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc24f0c…
06-20 16:30:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x945f52…
06-20 10:52:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9f160e…
06-20 09:05:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x172bc0…
06-20 00:31:41	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x267703…
06-20 00:31:37	wnba tor conn 2026 06 19	Toronto Tempo	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4e2641…
06-19 23:30:35	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x31f0a5…
06-19 22:05:50	Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x2644aa…