Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
384
lifetime
Volume
$928
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$61
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-30 01:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59%
Other
31%
Sports
9%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-05 02:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$0 06-21 21:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +8 $6 75¢ $6 +$0 06-27 02:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 06-23 13:45
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-28 00:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$1 06-19 20:41
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 06-17 17:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +9 $4 48¢ $4 $-0 06-16 00:48
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-17 14:57
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $-0 06-18 20:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $5 18¢ $4 $-2 06-07 02:19
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? OpenAI +23 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-13 09:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 14¢ $2 $-0 06-19 03:07
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-25 10:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6 $0 $-0 $-0 06-21 10:43