Realized P&L (7d)
-$72
Unrealized P&L
+$282
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
275
1,622 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.85K
$93.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$56.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
52% 0% -$72
Sports
28% 65% +$2,893
Politics
17% 0% -$1
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,555 $12,020 98¢ $12.3K +$278 09-19 23:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,689 $7,399 97¢ $7.4K +$29 09-20 03:12
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,731 $7,393 93¢ $7.2K -$207 09-20 17:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +4,298 $4,115 97¢ $4.2K +$50 11-02 06:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,319 $4,167 96¢ $4.1K -$23 09-21 05:35
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,293 $3,086 92¢ $3.0K -$39 10-31 12:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,509 $2,243 100¢ $2.5K +$258 09-10 02:23
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,273 $2,163 96¢ $2.2K +$25 11-01 01:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,396 $2,174 90¢ $2.2K -$24 10-29 22:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,195 $1,871 86¢ $1.9K +$9 10-29 20:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,608 $1,469 92¢ $1.5K +$18 10-30 17:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,021 $989 98¢ $997 +$8 11-01 00:15
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +968 $935 98¢ $952 +$17 08-27 17:36
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +679 $656 98¢ $669 +$13 10-22 03:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +735 $643 86¢ $636 -$7 10-21 19:38
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +653 $634 97¢ $634 $0 11-01 22:49
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +692 $616 88¢ $612 -$5 09-16 03:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +623 $592 97¢ $605 +$13 09-02 08:59
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,731 $348 7¢ $545 +$197 09-20 04:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +388 $375 97¢ $375 +$0 11-01 19:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,195 $332 14¢ $315 -$17 10-30 12:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,689 $299 3¢ $261 -$37 09-20 07:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +275 $256 94¢ $260 +$4 08-27 08:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +12,555 $547 2¢ $257 -$290 09-20 11:13
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,303 $199 8¢ $248 +$49 11-02 00:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,396 $222 10¢ $246 +$24 10-31 05:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,319 $162 4¢ $175 +$13 09-18 15:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +4,254 $188 3¢ $132 -$56 11-01 18:30
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,345 $117 8¢ $101 -$16 10-29 17:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +735 $100 14¢ $99 -$1 10-22 23:45