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whale
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$103
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
876
2,071 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$28.6K
$102.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$62.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
50% 0% -$103
Sports
27% 65% +$2,893
Politics
20% 50% -$1
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,555 $12,020 98¢ $12.3K +$315 09-19 23:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +8,603 $8,261 98¢ $8.4K +$136 11-08 15:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,689 $7,399 98¢ $7.6K +$163 09-20 03:12
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,731 $7,393 89¢ $6.9K -$509 09-20 17:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,319 $4,167 97¢ $4.2K +$20 09-21 05:35
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +3,514 $3,359 98¢ $3.5K +$94 11-08 09:51
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,293 $3,086 94¢ $3.1K -$7 10-31 12:23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2,037 $1,984 98¢ $2.0K +$19 11-06 11:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,396 $2,174 82¢ $2.0K -$214 10-29 22:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,195 $1,871 72¢ $1.6K -$283 10-29 20:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,608 $1,469 92¢ $1.5K +$18 10-30 17:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,226 $1,192 98¢ $1.2K +$15 11-06 10:21
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +1,113 $1,081 98¢ $1.1K +$13 11-09 15:53
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,059 $1,029 98¢ $1.0K +$13 11-07 05:10
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +968 $935 98¢ $952 +$17 08-27 17:36
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,731 $348 11¢ $847 +$498 09-20 04:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +735 $643 92¢ $680 +$37 10-21 19:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +623 $592 99¢ $615 +$24 09-02 08:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,195 $332 28¢ $607 +$275 10-30 12:32
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +692 $616 87¢ $599 -$17 09-16 03:54
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,396 $222 18¢ $436 +$214 10-31 05:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +275 $256 96¢ $264 +$8 08-27 08:45
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,937 $243 6¢ $256 +$13 11-05 10:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +12,555 $547 2¢ $220 -$327 09-20 11:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +8,831 $359 2¢ $212 -$147 11-09 01:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,319 $162 3¢ $132 -$30 09-18 15:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,689 $299 2¢ $127 -$172 09-20 07:26
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,345 $117 8¢ $101 -$16 10-29 17:30
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +692 $76 13¢ $92 +$17 09-21 03:55
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +4,180 $173 2¢ $73 -$100 11-08 15:58