(anonymous) 0xba6fdc…aa0442 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$104
Unrealized P&L
+$219
Hit rate
2.3%
Resolved (90d)
4
Trades (90d)
1,961
1,995 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$86.5K
$97.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$63.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 10:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% -$103
Sports
27% 65% +$2,893
Politics
20% 50% -$1
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,555 $12,020 99¢ $12.4K +$353 09-19 23:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +8,734 $8,389 97¢ $8.5K +$79 11-10 15:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,689 $7,399 98¢ $7.6K +$156 09-20 03:12
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,731 $7,393 89¢ $6.9K -$509 09-20 17:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,319 $4,167 97¢ $4.2K +$16 09-21 05:35
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,198 $3,927 92¢ $3.9K -$44 11-11 02:46
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +3,514 $3,359 99¢ $3.5K +$109 11-08 09:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2,037 $1,984 98¢ $2.0K +$23 11-06 11:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,396 $2,174 83¢ $2.0K -$194 10-29 22:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,195 $1,871 73¢ $1.6K -$266 10-29 20:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,608 $1,469 92¢ $1.5K +$18 10-30 17:06
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +1,381 $1,344 98¢ $1.4K +$12 11-11 10:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,226 $1,192 98¢ $1.2K +$15 11-06 10:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,206 $1,173 98¢ $1.2K +$13 11-10 14:53
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +968 $935 98¢ $952 +$17 08-27 17:36
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,731 $348 11¢ $847 +$498 09-20 04:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +735 $643 94¢ $688 +$45 10-21 19:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +623 $592 99¢ $615 +$23 09-02 08:59
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +692 $616 88¢ $608 -$8 09-16 03:54
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,195 $332 27¢ $589 +$258 10-30 12:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,396 $222 17¢ $416 +$194 10-31 05:18
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,937 $243 8¢ $295 +$52 11-05 10:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +9,042 $365 3¢ $276 -$90 11-10 16:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +275 $256 97¢ $267 +$11 08-27 08:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +12,555 $547 1¢ $182 -$365 09-20 11:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,319 $162 3¢ $136 -$26 09-18 15:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,689 $299 2¢ $135 -$164 09-20 07:26
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,345 $117 8¢ $101 -$16 10-29 17:30
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +116 $95 82¢ $96 +$1 11-10 15:17
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +692 $76 12¢ $83 +$8 09-21 03:55