Realized P&L (30d)
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved (30d)
7
Trades (30d)
4
981 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$28
$2.22K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$194
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 10-27 20:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Sports
59% 15% -$63
Other
32% 30% -$94
Politics
8% 0% -$2
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +523 $76 17¢ $87 +$11 08-07 19:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +583 $58 13¢ $74 +$16 08-07 19:39
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +147 $16 4¢ $6 -$10 08-24 20:14
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +167 $1 3¢ $5 +$4 08-23 13:34
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +89 $18 6¢ $5 -$13 09-24 17:38
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +426 $12 1¢ $4 -$8 09-03 22:36
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +450 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 10-24 12:53
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +21 $2 10¢ $2 $0 08-03 19:01
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +74 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 08-17 20:02
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +377 $36 0¢ $1 -$35 09-03 22:06
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +368 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-07 19:11
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +16 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 08-07 16:38
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-19 15:50
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +90 $1 1¢ $0 $0 08-13 12:49
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-15 05:51
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-12 23:28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +20 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-01 13:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-30 21:05