Grotesque-Siding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

+$228

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$165.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$360

Open exposure

$2.91K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-09 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

74% 75% +$97

Other

26% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	+1,248	$1,019	94¢	$1.2K	+$148	06-06 17:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	+1,486	$817	62¢	$929	+$112	06-09 17:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	-1,031	$-714	72¢	$-747	$-33	06-04 18:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+84	$69	82¢	$69	+$1	06-07 19:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	57	$24.3K	14,105	11,558	+2,547	open	—	05-30 23:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	22	$12.8K	7,193	7,193	+0	Yes	+$71	04-23 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$11.6K	5,990	5,990	+0	open	—	04-17 00:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	28	$11.0K	8,682	6,182	+2,500	open	—	04-01 16:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$10.1K	5,907	5,907	+0	open	—	04-12 10:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	15	$9.4K	5,703	4,454	+1,248	open	—	06-06 17:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	18	$8.4K	4,410	4,410	+0	open	—	04-27 14:13
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$5.7K	3,098	3,098	+0	open	—	04-22 15:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	14	$5.4K	3,256	3,256	+0	open	—	04-14 09:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$4.2K	2,374	2,374	+0	open	—	03-26 20:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$4.2K	2,380	2,380	+0	open	—	04-12 18:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	22	$3.3K	17,516	17,516	+0	open	—	04-08 16:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	7	$3.1K	3,196	1,865	+1,330	open	—	05-29 20:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$2.9K	1,518	1,518	+0	open	—	05-26 16:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	7	$2.8K	1,639	1,639	+0	open	—	06-09 14:48
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	10	$2.7K	4,718	4,718	+0	open	—	04-07 22:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	06-01 15:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$2.6K	2,720	374	+2,346	open	—	05-27 00:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	6	$2.6K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	06-06 16:50
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	17	$2.2K	2,447	2,480	-33	open	—	06-07 01:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$2.1K	1,300	1,216	+84	open	—	06-07 19:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$2.0K	1,346	1,346	+0	open	—	06-09 18:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,559	1,559	-0	Yes	+$0	03-20 12:38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$1.8K	940	940	+0	open	—	05-28 22:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	7	$1.5K	1,334	1,334	+0	open	—	06-05 18:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-10 22:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$1.5K	879	879	+0	open	—	04-02 06:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	8	$1.3K	1,503	0	+1,503	open	—	04-28 15:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	850	850	+0	open	—	05-29 15:15
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$1.2K	647	647	+0	open	—	04-17 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:48:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,346	78¢	$1,053	0xbb7ef0…
06-09 18:48:19	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	860	61¢	$525	0xe2de9f…
06-09 17:25:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x402810…
06-09 14:48:13	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	330	32¢	$106	0xdb7c7a…
06-09 14:48:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	909	88¢	$802	0xc5a510…
06-09 10:25:24	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	No	BUY	196	69¢	$135	0x6c38d5…
06-09 10:24:55	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	330	33¢	$108	0x708951…
06-08 06:06:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	682	88¢	$600	0x49a958…
06-08 06:04:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x30f6d1…
06-07 20:04:27	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	511	89¢	$455	0xee2811…
06-07 20:02:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	390	94¢	$367	0xc714cd…
06-07 19:58:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	988	81¢	$800	0xd1a9d8…
06-07 19:36:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xd8cea8…
06-07 19:36:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x4623cc…
06-07 19:35:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,216	83¢	$1,009	0x525fa1…
06-07 14:51:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	97	76¢	$74	0xf2df51…
06-07 01:13:57	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,486	5¢	$74	0x45fc9e…
06-07 00:46:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	180	65¢	$117	0xa4399e…
06-07 00:42:03	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	667	18¢	$117	0xf2d39f…
06-07 00:01:40	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	666	31¢	$205	0x16b4d4…
06-07 00:01:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	219	89¢	$195	0xd2f65e…
06-06 17:20:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	385	91¢	$350	0x19e41d…
06-06 16:51:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x7045ae…
06-06 16:50:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	682	98¢	$666	0xa0d535…
06-05 21:14:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x8030ee…
06-05 18:35:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	351	51¢	$179	0x8aacc0…
06-05 16:58:31	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	660	35¢	$231	0x48b68a…
06-05 16:55:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x6bd730…
06-05 15:35:55	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	337	84¢	$283	0x3acf8e…
06-05 15:35:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	670	94¢	$630	0xd375bd…
06-04 21:25:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,391	91¢	$3,085	0x52e78e…
06-04 20:58:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x36e75b…
06-04 20:56:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x5fdc50…
06-04 20:56:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x42af8f…
06-04 20:55:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xc99cd1…
06-04 20:55:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x848066…
06-04 20:55:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	532	91¢	$484	0x12ef7a…
06-04 20:53:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf58512…
06-04 20:45:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x65d98d…
06-04 19:12:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	822	94¢	$773	0x2cfc87…
06-04 19:11:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,279	94¢	$1,202	0x966060…
06-04 19:10:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,523	94¢	$1,431	0xb9efc4…
06-04 18:30:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	783	70¢	$548	0xc97a34…
06-04 15:21:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	505	55¢	$278	0xe0f5a1…
06-04 15:21:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	209	55¢	$115	0xa85dcd…
06-04 15:21:43	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	146	55¢	$80	0xdfbb24…
06-04 15:20:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x542104…
06-04 11:48:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x253577…
06-04 11:46:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x631b3d…
06-04 11:45:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	695	94¢	$654	0xe1863c…
06-04 11:45:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	115	95¢	$110	0xa0e68a…
06-04 09:21:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	430	75¢	$322	0x4a105b…
06-02 23:04:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	390	87¢	$339	0x6f5c33…
06-02 23:04:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	583	59¢	$344	0xfcc31c…
06-02 10:04:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	366	88¢	$322	0xef07db…
06-02 10:04:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	333	96¢	$320	0x0d164c…
06-01 21:56:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	450	60¢	$270	0x56d922…
06-01 21:56:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	247	67¢	$166	0xb29a26…
06-01 21:55:40	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	SELL	130	79¢	$103	0x8c39df…
06-01 21:55:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0xa84d40…
06-01 18:41:58	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xbdfd79…
06-01 17:49:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0xe061f5…
06-01 17:21:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	400	44¢	$177	0xcb0bfc…
06-01 15:25:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0xf01d08…
06-01 15:23:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	66¢	$49	0x64fa6a…
06-01 15:22:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	795	92¢	$731	0xf5a0b8…
06-01 15:21:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,400	55¢	$1,320	0xc5cbc5…
06-01 15:19:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xf5dcc3…
06-01 13:46:46	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xc6195d…
06-01 13:46:43	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x029eee…
06-01 13:46:11	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	BUY	117	76¢	$89	0x9a8276…
06-01 13:45:43	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	SELL	285	98¢	$280	0x8d6019…
06-01 12:10:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	230	88¢	$202	0x772fd4…
06-01 11:24:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x78a640…
06-01 10:47:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	384	91¢	$350	0x28bdc8…
06-01 10:46:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x040c50…
06-01 08:37:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	460	65¢	$299	0x9ba209…
05-31 17:45:01	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x03b9a7…
05-31 17:00:09	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf40421…
05-31 15:58:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	170	62¢	$105	0x869f96…
05-31 15:18:13	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	837	85¢	$711	0xb8f9b3…
05-31 11:02:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0xf8e491…
05-31 11:02:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0x9f5ecc…
05-31 10:58:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x18bde2…
05-31 10:52:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9fb4b5…
05-31 10:32:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$43	0xfc32bf…
05-31 10:32:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0xfaf5a9…
05-31 10:32:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x83ac84…
05-31 10:32:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xa1aedf…
05-31 09:40:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	412	82¢	$338	0xa86384…
05-31 09:39:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xda45bf…
05-31 07:37:41	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa755f5…
05-30 23:15:19	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	BUY	155	95¢	$147	0x423e88…
05-30 23:11:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1,021	100¢	$1,016	0x6c10e2…
05-30 21:53:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x16eaf3…
05-30 20:14:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,400	57¢	$1,368	0xbc7577…
05-30 19:04:22	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x5bbc84…
05-30 19:01:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x2d28f4…
05-30 18:58:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xd4061d…
05-30 12:18:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	831	92¢	$764	0xd7b999…