Grotesque-Siding — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$324

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

725 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$333.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$460

Open exposure

$8.45K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-04 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

81% 59% -$876

Other

19% 80% +$1,373

Sports

0% 100% +$22

Crypto

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+3,949	$3,173	88¢	$3.5K	+$322	09-16 09:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+2,322	$2,069	94¢	$2.2K	+$125	09-30 07:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,132	$1,880	84¢	$1.8K	-$79	11-04 19:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	+1,254	$1,005	76¢	$960	-$45	10-13 16:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	17	$30.0K	21,554	19,423	+2,132	open	—	11-04 19:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	39	$29.7K	15,843	15,843	+0	No	+$732	06-25 13:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	59	$26.8K	14,105	14,105	+0	No	+$625	05-31 00:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	19	$23.5K	16,265	16,265	+0	No	-$1,161	10-22 10:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	42	$18.7K	13,104	9,156	+3,949	open	—	09-16 09:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	8	$16.4K	8,657	8,657	+0	No	+$813	08-29 10:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	22	$12.8K	7,193	7,193	+0	Yes	+$71	04-23 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$11.6K	5,990	5,990	+0	No	+$135	04-17 00:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	28	$11.0K	8,682	6,182	+2,500	No	+$566	04-01 16:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$10.1K	5,907	5,907	+0	Yes	+$148	04-12 10:52
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	8	$9.0K	5,258	5,258	+0	No	+$22	05-16 23:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	18	$8.4K	4,410	4,410	+0	No	+$264	04-27 14:13
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$8.0K	4,011	4,011	+0	No	+$7	05-16 23:01
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$5.7K	3,098	3,098	+0	No	+$449	04-22 15:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	14	$5.4K	3,256	3,256	+0	Yes	-$38	04-14 09:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	14	$4.6K	2,421	2,421	+0	No	+$116	06-14 21:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$4.2K	2,485	2,485	+0	open	—	10-31 20:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$4.2K	2,374	2,374	+0	No	+$149	03-26 20:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$4.2K	2,380	2,380	+0	Yes	+$108	04-12 18:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	3	$4.0K	2,155	2,155	+0	Yes	+$39	06-20 15:01
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	17	$3.9K	3,560	3,560	+0	Yes	-$559	06-14 21:35
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	5	$3.7K	2,019	2,019	+0	No	+$232	08-30 12:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	22	$3.3K	17,516	17,516	+0	Yes	-$1,474	04-08 16:14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	7	$3.3K	3,222	421	+2,801	No	+$325	09-30 16:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	7	$3.1K	3,196	1,865	+1,330	No	+$841	05-29 20:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$2.9K	1,518	1,518	+0	No	+$75	05-26 16:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$2.8K	2,960	374	+2,586	No	+$479	05-27 00:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$2.8K	2,158	1,546	+612	Yes	+$174	06-15 00:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	10	$2.7K	4,718	4,718	+0	Yes	-$1,148	04-07 22:00
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	6	$2.6K	1,391	1,391	+0	No	+$78	06-06 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:56:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,048	84¢	$1,725	0xe0c78a…
11-03 12:31:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,158	95¢	$1,100	0x156cb6…
11-03 12:31:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x6d424b…
10-31 20:02:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	944	99¢	$931	0xf01528…
10-31 13:20:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	298	97¢	$291	0xd71c75…
10-27 13:07:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,304	84¢	$1,100	0xb869d0…
10-27 12:30:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,243	93¢	$1,156	0xd88c54…
10-22 10:48:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,134	74¢	$839	0x795e18…
10-22 10:48:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	844	98¢	$828	0x23b05c…
10-22 10:48:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0xb36910…
10-22 10:46:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,032	98¢	$1,011	0x973ea6…
10-13 16:22:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	651	78¢	$508	0x108a86…
10-13 16:22:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	529	96¢	$508	0x330756…
10-01 11:59:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,406	96¢	$2,309	0x785d2f…
10-01 10:24:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0x0db6e6…
09-30 16:40:50	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	638	94¢	$600	0x61810b…
09-30 16:40:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	SELL	805	76¢	$608	0x33a2e7…
09-30 07:45:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	587	84¢	$491	0xea7650…
09-30 07:44:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	805	75¢	$605	0x504cf0…
09-30 07:44:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x8429e8…
09-30 07:42:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,289	82¢	$1,887	0xbd7c78…
09-30 07:42:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,100	89¢	$1,869	0xa2da4c…
09-30 07:40:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,262	96¢	$5,051	0xd803b1…
09-17 08:46:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,572	93¢	$1,457	0x600a84…
09-16 09:23:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,687	83¢	$1,400	0x187d35…
09-15 09:52:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,301	92¢	$1,200	0xfd91a8…
09-12 17:43:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,332	76¢	$4,057	0x67dbba…
09-12 11:49:36	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	308	89¢	$275	0x806f56…
09-12 11:49:06	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	339	79¢	$266	0x51dabe…
09-09 15:43:45	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4e272d…
09-06 17:58:52	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	339	88¢	$300	0xf0935b…
09-06 17:57:52	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	327	92¢	$301	0x55db61…
09-06 17:57:07	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfeaca2…
09-06 16:19:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,389	87¢	$2,090	0x5a346d…
09-06 10:35:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,724	73¢	$2,000	0x9de12d…
09-06 08:40:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,608	77¢	$2,000	0xede89f…
09-05 09:46:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6,675	87¢	$5,800	0x78a788…
09-05 08:13:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	975	25¢	$244	0xc164f0…
09-05 08:13:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,001	12¢	$467	0xd5da88…
09-04 21:33:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	527	34¢	$179	0xb31486…
09-04 21:33:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	473	34¢	$161	0x9c4872…
09-04 20:43:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	975	47¢	$458	0x87c97f…
09-04 20:38:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,001	33¢	$1,000	0xb54b6a…
09-04 20:34:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,308	72¢	$2,380	0xf00b57…
09-04 20:34:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,973	76¢	$4,515	0x2001e4…
09-04 19:30:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0xca34d9…
09-04 18:07:33	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe2292c…
08-30 12:01:16	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	1,680	88¢	$1,477	0xdff04c…
08-30 12:00:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	SELL	1,494	99¢	$1,475	0x424abf…
08-29 10:16:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,308	92¢	$3,030	0x065f68…
08-29 10:16:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,044	99¢	$3,022	0x612164…
08-29 10:16:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,810	83¢	$4,000	0x3cb691…
08-29 10:15:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,035	99¢	$4,010	0x293d0f…
08-29 10:10:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	597	86¢	$513	0x4b5bad…
08-29 10:09:48	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	SELL	525	98¢	$513	0x9ad4d1…
08-27 08:43:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	843	76¢	$638	0x857b7c…
08-27 08:42:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,852	77¢	$1,430	0xc500ff…
08-25 21:52:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,658	75¢	$2,000	0x6114b4…
08-24 22:44:57	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	1,099	96¢	$1,050	0x3deff3…
08-24 22:44:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,058	99¢	$1,051	0x04a6e2…
08-19 20:49:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	570	89¢	$507	0x2b0c90…
08-19 20:48:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	519	98¢	$510	0x010768…
07-25 20:24:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf501f6…
07-23 21:27:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,206	91¢	$2,000	0xfa8b23…
07-21 18:21:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,150	93¢	$2,000	0x99a08d…
07-16 23:15:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	350	57¢	$199	0xa5e173…
07-16 23:12:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	258	78¢	$201	0xf069e6…
07-14 14:22:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	258	76¢	$196	0x48e564…
07-14 14:21:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x7645b2…
07-13 19:08:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	60¢	$720	0x01116a…
07-13 19:08:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	158	83¢	$131	0x5db26f…
07-13 19:08:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	42	82¢	$35	0x057675…
07-13 19:04:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	932	97¢	$908	0xba4a4c…
07-11 21:53:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x74750a…
07-11 21:53:10	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	111	41¢	$46	0x74f670…
07-08 23:50:49	France to score first vs. Morocco?	Yes	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x6199b5…
07-08 23:45:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0xf68192…
07-08 23:45:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x2f95a4…
07-08 23:45:04	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xdca2d1…
07-06 22:23:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	991	91¢	$902	0xd001de…
07-06 10:07:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	926	98¢	$910	0x1a68a8…
07-01 19:43:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	352	88¢	$310	0x904363…
06-29 14:30:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	574	81¢	$465	0x7ee7ce…
06-29 14:29:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	808	58¢	$465	0xec8d23…
06-28 19:24:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	605	67¢	$404	0x5923fb…
06-28 19:23:58	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	428	95¢	$405	0xa384f8…
06-28 19:23:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	203	66¢	$134	0xdd3a44…
06-27 10:32:58	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xab6c87…
06-25 13:27:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4,210	88¢	$3,700	0x80a551…
06-25 13:26:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,810	99¢	$3,778	0x41c5cb…
06-23 22:49:50	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	104	95¢	$99	0x255ef1…
06-23 22:49:16	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x2b52a4…
06-23 22:49:07	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc3c6b1…
06-23 22:48:10	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	718	98¢	$701	0x04da73…
06-21 15:14:49	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	SELL	1,111	13¢	$144	0x7df60c…
06-21 15:14:43	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	366	34¢	$125	0xef51a0…
06-21 11:21:10	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xb16f53…
06-21 11:21:02	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	366	27¢	$100	0xdda174…
06-20 21:01:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	813	9¢	$77	0x4bbae1…
06-20 15:32:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	813	12¢	$100	0x39e081…