Flawless-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

15,391

Trades

48,891

lifetime

Volume

$184.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-27 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 60% -$972

Other

30% 52% -$673

Sports

13% 55% +$404

Politics

1% 33% -$9

Tech

0% 40% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	56	$289	340	340	+0	No	-$9	05-19 21:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	55	$283	255	233	+22	Thunder	-$4	05-21 03:02
Thunder vs. Spurs	57	$270	327	297	+30	Thunder	-$8	05-23 03:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$253	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	09-28 20:34
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$246	179	179	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$46	05-18 09:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$232	205	205	+0	No	+$42	06-12 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$200	938	0	+938	Up	-$200	05-20 14:34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	50	$198	236	186	+51	Knicks	+$17	05-20 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:35 UTC	2	$180	111	110	+1	Up	+$15	03-17 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	11	$174	205	0	+205	Up	+$31	02-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$172	603	564	+39	Down	-$78	05-22 08:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	36	$171	191	183	+8	Atlanta Braves	-$2	05-19 22:29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$168	171	142	+29	Knicks	-$1	05-22 02:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	43	$143	164	164	+0	Spurs	-$4	05-19 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	12	$139	179	0	+179	Down	+$8	03-01 02:19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	27	$136	104	86	+19	Colorado Rockies	+$30	06-02 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	11	$135	168	0	+168	Up	+$32	03-01 00:48
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$135	145	139	+6	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	10	$135	164	0	+164	Down	+$29	02-28 11:08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	24	$135	120	120	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$18	05-21 03:54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$134	144	118	+27	Yes	-$1	05-30 19:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	30	$133	135	130	+5	Thunder	+$6	05-21 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	12	$133	174	0	+174	Down	-$81	02-28 20:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	41	$132	177	98	+79	Matteo Arnaldi	+$14	06-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	10	$130	170	0	+170	Down	-$130	02-28 12:33
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$128	130	119	+10	No	+$3	05-19 22:47
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	23	$127	107	99	+8	Seattle Mariners	+$8	05-20 22:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	13	$125	113	84	+28	Team WE	+$44	05-30 15:59
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	36	$124	144	144	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$1	05-15 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	7	$123	158	0	+158	Up	+$35	02-28 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x6c842d…
10-27 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xcef697…
10-27 11:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x8e037f…
10-27 11:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x701f4a…
10-27 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x7467a3…
10-27 11:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xc0bbf6…
10-27 10:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x85fde0…
10-27 10:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70c71c…
10-27 09:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x194a5c…
10-27 09:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xaf2277…
10-27 09:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f8a16…
10-27 09:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb93d7b…
10-27 09:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x080c08…
10-27 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55f9a4…
10-27 09:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x456d96…
10-27 09:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe6486d…
10-27 08:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa23c12…
10-27 08:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x380ff0…
10-27 08:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b4393…
10-27 08:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x237ad5…
10-27 08:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc796ff…
10-27 07:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6fd2b8…
10-27 07:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x52ea78…
10-27 07:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x0ad9d8…
10-27 07:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x63f073…
10-27 06:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f55f6…
10-27 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xaf56a4…
10-27 06:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x146f06…
10-27 06:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xbe8ce2…
10-27 06:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xff87e6…
10-27 05:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7f5ad7…
10-27 05:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x7dbd4a…
10-27 05:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x27c70b…
10-27 05:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xab0672…
10-27 05:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xecdd9d…
10-27 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x1671fc…
10-27 03:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa7aa71…
10-27 03:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d7314…
10-27 02:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2489ee…
10-27 01:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xc8c39a…
10-27 01:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x20417e…
10-27 01:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x8d1837…
10-27 01:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8415f8…
10-27 01:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5cfa5b…
10-27 01:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5845f6…
10-27 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf3f57e…
10-27 00:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb43752…
10-26 23:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc9a62e…
10-26 23:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x417a84…
10-26 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xebf90a…
10-26 22:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x376d0c…
10-26 21:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xfb97aa…
10-26 20:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x73b87f…
10-26 20:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xc6e84b…
10-26 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x62a16c…
10-26 19:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x54e11b…
10-26 19:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x121b20…
10-26 19:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0d899e…
10-26 18:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xa687d5…
10-26 18:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc82ff…
10-26 18:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xea2ec3…
10-26 18:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x1026a0…
10-26 17:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb6cb3e…
10-26 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe01bbd…
10-26 17:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa623c5…
10-26 17:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xd12006…
10-26 17:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x982207…
10-26 16:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa81469…
10-26 15:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x0bb130…
10-26 14:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xae1a5f…
10-26 14:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa508ab…
10-26 14:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x957d04…
10-26 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x98ea0f…
10-26 14:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x8db16c…
10-26 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x289fa8…
10-26 13:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4f7eee…
10-26 13:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5cc021…
10-26 13:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4fa0bc…
10-26 13:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x9cf481…
10-26 13:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd7ae5e…
10-26 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc7a029…
10-26 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb25ea3…
10-26 12:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0xc53c97…
10-26 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x9e8626…
10-26 12:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xd6842a…
10-26 12:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xf9d709…
10-26 12:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x667e89…
10-26 11:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x44501f…
10-26 11:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x25df37…
10-26 11:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaebb95…
10-26 10:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x2b2201…
10-26 10:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xdd0d34…
10-26 09:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x17eefb…
10-26 06:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x5f557c…
10-26 06:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xcbb6aa…
10-26 06:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xcd6ab8…
10-26 06:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xb391d3…
10-26 06:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x4235ec…
10-26 05:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa3b771…
10-26 05:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d950f…