Flawless-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved (7d)

312

Trades (7d)

529

49,445 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.66K

$188.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-03 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 59% -$846

Other

29% 52% -$673

Sports

13% 55% +$404

Politics

1% 33% -$9

Tech

0% 40% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	56	$289	340	340	+0	No	-$9	05-19 21:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	55	$283	255	233	+22	Thunder	-$4	05-21 03:02
Thunder vs. Spurs	57	$270	327	297	+30	Thunder	-$8	05-23 03:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$253	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	09-28 20:34
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$246	179	179	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$46	05-18 09:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$232	205	205	+0	No	+$42	06-12 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$200	938	0	+938	Up	-$200	05-20 14:34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	50	$198	236	186	+51	Knicks	+$17	05-20 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:35 UTC	2	$180	111	110	+1	Up	+$15	03-17 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	11	$174	205	0	+205	Up	+$31	02-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$172	603	564	+39	Down	-$78	05-22 08:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	36	$171	191	183	+8	Atlanta Braves	-$2	05-19 22:29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$168	171	142	+29	Knicks	-$1	05-22 02:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	43	$143	164	164	+0	Spurs	-$4	05-19 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	12	$139	179	0	+179	Down	+$8	03-01 02:19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	27	$136	104	86	+19	Colorado Rockies	+$30	06-02 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	11	$135	168	0	+168	Up	+$32	03-01 00:48
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$135	145	139	+6	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	10	$135	164	0	+164	Down	+$29	02-28 11:08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	24	$135	120	120	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$18	05-21 03:54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$134	144	118	+27	Yes	-$1	05-30 19:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	30	$133	135	130	+5	Thunder	+$6	05-21 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	12	$133	174	0	+174	Down	-$81	02-28 20:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	41	$132	177	98	+79	Matteo Arnaldi	+$14	06-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	10	$130	170	0	+170	Down	-$130	02-28 12:33
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$128	130	119	+10	No	+$3	05-19 22:47
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	23	$127	107	99	+8	Seattle Mariners	+$8	05-20 22:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	13	$125	113	84	+28	Team WE	+$44	05-30 15:59
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	36	$124	144	144	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$1	05-15 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	7	$123	158	0	+158	Up	+$35	02-28 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 21:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x92825c…
11-03 21:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x4cd582…
11-03 21:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x3be019…
11-03 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x0167d5…
11-03 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x593a0c…
11-03 20:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa95181…
11-03 20:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8ea69d…
11-03 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xb0bf78…
11-03 20:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbcd195…
11-03 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6143f3…
11-03 20:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x25fc5e…
11-03 18:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x2361be…
11-03 18:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x910efb…
11-03 18:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2089b3…
11-03 18:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe16edc…
11-03 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0d7e2e…
11-03 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf1d146…
11-03 17:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x8f9330…
11-03 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x49a40b…
11-03 16:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xdfead4…
11-03 15:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x17015c…
11-03 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x86a4d5…
11-03 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x350af0…
11-03 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x2cab29…
11-03 12:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x14bc4a…
11-03 12:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x825951…
11-03 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xdf0b8c…
11-03 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd4fd22…
11-03 12:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x3dc9b5…
11-03 12:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd30abb…
11-03 12:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x50d6bf…
11-03 11:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x652fb5…
11-03 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe3a58b…
11-03 11:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x879c22…
11-03 11:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xa0f6ac…
11-03 11:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf34d4e…
11-03 11:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x699a18…
11-03 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x65ec80…
11-03 11:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b8b01…
11-03 11:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfdeeeb…
11-03 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c8e52…
11-03 11:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x41d97e…
11-03 11:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8ede07…
11-03 11:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb333ac…
11-03 10:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf1a73b…
11-03 10:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xeec988…
11-03 10:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x2e34a4…
11-03 09:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x3283e7…
11-03 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xb4b103…
11-03 09:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x94df20…
11-03 09:13:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x34034e…
11-03 09:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a6cf6…
11-03 07:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xdbeb52…
11-03 07:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1c8856…
11-03 07:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6780d3…
11-03 06:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9057bd…
11-03 06:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5fb6dd…
11-03 05:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0632e0…
11-03 05:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf72a4f…
11-03 05:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xed2f25…
11-03 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x18e222…
11-03 04:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa52aba…
11-03 04:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x0ccbc4…
11-03 03:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xe166c7…
11-03 02:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x23631b…
11-03 02:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfd3eef…
11-03 01:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x30469a…
11-03 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xbfaaff…
11-03 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb5d43f…
11-03 01:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa111eb…
11-03 01:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbf4129…
11-03 01:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf7e823…
11-03 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x566f93…
11-03 00:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x050fb8…
11-02 23:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xfa0e55…
11-02 23:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x856791…
11-02 23:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35fc77…
11-02 22:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xeda326…
11-02 22:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x316352…
11-02 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xb27130…
11-02 20:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xed9e6f…
11-02 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x72344d…
11-02 20:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b18fc…
11-02 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa287e0…
11-02 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x956801…
11-02 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x593cc2…
11-02 20:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x984e6b…
11-02 19:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x3997fa…
11-02 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18711f…
11-02 18:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x40396c…
11-02 17:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x9ca436…
11-02 17:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdefeb7…
11-02 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc38df…
11-02 17:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa5a8e4…
11-02 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x3328a0…
11-02 14:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xcf1255…
11-02 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x68fbd4…
11-02 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd56a63…
11-02 14:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xff2e79…
11-02 14:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4722ed…