Flawless-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved (90d)

2,501

Trades (90d)

3,501

49,859 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$20.3K

$191.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-09 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 59% -$879

Other

29% 52% -$673

Sports

13% 55% +$404

Politics

1% 31% -$9

Tech

0% 40% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	56	$289	340	340	+0	No	-$9	05-19 21:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	55	$283	255	233	+22	Thunder	-$4	05-21 03:02
Thunder vs. Spurs	57	$270	327	297	+30	Thunder	-$8	05-23 03:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$253	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	09-28 20:34
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$246	179	179	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$46	05-18 09:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$232	205	205	+0	No	+$42	06-12 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$200	938	0	+938	Up	-$200	05-20 14:34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	50	$198	236	186	+51	Knicks	+$17	05-20 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:35 UTC	2	$180	111	110	+1	Up	+$15	03-17 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	11	$174	205	0	+205	Up	+$31	02-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$172	603	564	+39	Down	-$78	05-22 08:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	36	$171	191	183	+8	Atlanta Braves	-$2	05-19 22:29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$168	171	142	+29	Knicks	-$1	05-22 02:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	43	$143	164	164	+0	Spurs	-$4	05-19 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	12	$139	179	0	+179	Down	+$8	03-01 02:19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	27	$136	104	86	+19	Colorado Rockies	+$30	06-02 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	11	$135	168	0	+168	Up	+$32	03-01 00:48
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$135	145	139	+6	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	10	$135	164	0	+164	Down	+$29	02-28 11:08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	24	$135	120	120	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$18	05-21 03:54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$134	144	118	+27	Yes	-$1	05-30 19:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	30	$133	135	130	+5	Thunder	+$6	05-21 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	12	$133	174	0	+174	Down	-$81	02-28 20:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	41	$132	177	98	+79	Matteo Arnaldi	+$14	06-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	10	$130	170	0	+170	Down	-$130	02-28 12:33
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$128	130	119	+10	No	+$3	05-19 22:47
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	23	$127	107	99	+8	Seattle Mariners	+$8	05-20 22:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	13	$125	113	84	+28	Team WE	+$44	05-30 15:59
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	36	$124	144	144	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$1	05-15 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	7	$123	158	0	+158	Up	+$35	02-28 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x5c8b56…
11-09 17:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x25e9dd…
11-09 17:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xe3cabd…
11-09 15:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x731eba…
11-09 15:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4db349…
11-09 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x612cc8…
11-09 15:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe4c725…
11-09 14:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x632167…
11-09 14:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xde2c4e…
11-09 14:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x38d786…
11-09 12:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x12bc9f…
11-09 12:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x90734b…
11-09 12:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6abb5c…
11-09 11:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xca76de…
11-09 11:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xc22e4a…
11-09 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xf04958…
11-09 10:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf0601f…
11-09 10:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9fe9d6…
11-09 10:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9d971c…
11-09 10:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a917b…
11-09 10:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb67bb7…
11-09 08:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x357e6d…
11-09 08:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x62504d…
11-09 07:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xaa88c7…
11-09 05:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xea0914…
11-09 05:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x0f23b3…
11-09 05:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x5b00b4…
11-09 04:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xd2211c…
11-09 04:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x9f2a80…
11-09 04:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc4b398…
11-09 03:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x57f5f0…
11-09 01:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x00ef21…
11-09 01:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x4fde86…
11-09 01:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x93d692…
11-09 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x70fc2c…
11-09 01:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x936f8c…
11-09 01:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c9e05…
11-09 01:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xcdf477…
11-08 23:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xa1ed16…
11-08 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc7c287…
11-08 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x5bb139…
11-08 21:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x824ff2…
11-08 21:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xbc5083…
11-08 20:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x60facc…
11-08 20:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x7605b9…
11-08 20:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd87fc2…
11-08 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f832f…
11-08 20:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xcf55d9…
11-08 19:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x9a1e73…
11-08 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x70dcc0…
11-08 19:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x605eac…
11-08 19:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x3327e2…
11-08 19:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c03ba…
11-08 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d5e36…
11-08 19:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd979a8…
11-08 19:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4fab27…
11-08 19:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x597548…
11-08 19:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x993856…
11-08 19:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x317b43…
11-08 19:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x39dbd5…
11-08 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd5eacd…
11-08 18:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9c972d…
11-08 18:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb8eda8…
11-08 16:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x62b6bc…
11-08 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x286716…
11-08 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x406c6e…
11-08 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xd0440f…
11-08 16:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xebd034…
11-08 16:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x995e7d…
11-08 15:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x337b36…
11-08 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0xf03112…
11-08 15:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x272dc1…
11-08 14:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x6bb7b2…
11-08 14:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x28d6fa…
11-08 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x89ada5…
11-08 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde3cf7…
11-08 14:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd2c58c…
11-08 14:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xfb522c…
11-08 14:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc72a89…
11-08 13:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09e663…
11-08 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x306c8e…
11-08 13:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x2a47a2…
11-08 13:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5aa5d3…
11-08 13:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xa608de…
11-08 13:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x1bb9fb…
11-08 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xd6828b…
11-08 12:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x574c95…
11-08 12:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xc4518d…
11-08 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x3bd372…
11-08 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x60fe2b…
11-08 12:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc01f20…
11-08 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x4ade9a…
11-08 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x197dd8…
11-08 12:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x04a1f8…
11-08 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0b794…
11-08 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa3eea1…
11-08 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c5113…
11-08 12:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1c7df9…
11-08 11:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xcafd42…
11-08 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b26c0…