Flawless-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$232

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved (90d)

2,483

Trades (90d)

3,461

49,773 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$19.7K

$191.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-08 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 59% -$911

Other

29% 52% -$673

Sports

13% 55% +$404

Politics

1% 31% -$9

Tech

0% 40% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	56	$289	340	340	+0	No	-$9	05-19 21:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	55	$283	255	233	+22	Thunder	-$4	05-21 03:02
Thunder vs. Spurs	57	$270	327	297	+30	Thunder	-$8	05-23 03:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$253	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	09-28 20:34
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$246	179	179	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$46	05-18 09:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$232	205	205	+0	No	+$42	06-12 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$200	938	0	+938	Up	-$200	05-20 14:34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	50	$198	236	186	+51	Knicks	+$17	05-20 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:35 UTC	2	$180	111	110	+1	Up	+$15	03-17 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	11	$174	205	0	+205	Up	+$31	02-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$172	603	564	+39	Down	-$78	05-22 08:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	36	$171	191	183	+8	Atlanta Braves	-$2	05-19 22:29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$168	171	142	+29	Knicks	-$1	05-22 02:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	43	$143	164	164	+0	Spurs	-$4	05-19 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	12	$139	179	0	+179	Down	+$8	03-01 02:19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	27	$136	104	86	+19	Colorado Rockies	+$30	06-02 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	11	$135	168	0	+168	Up	+$32	03-01 00:48
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$135	145	139	+6	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	10	$135	164	0	+164	Down	+$29	02-28 11:08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	24	$135	120	120	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$18	05-21 03:54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$134	144	118	+27	Yes	-$1	05-30 19:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	30	$133	135	130	+5	Thunder	+$6	05-21 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	12	$133	174	0	+174	Down	-$81	02-28 20:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	41	$132	177	98	+79	Matteo Arnaldi	+$14	06-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	10	$130	170	0	+170	Down	-$130	02-28 12:33
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$128	130	119	+10	No	+$3	05-19 22:47
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	23	$127	107	99	+8	Seattle Mariners	+$8	05-20 22:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	13	$125	113	84	+28	Team WE	+$44	05-30 15:59
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	36	$124	144	144	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$1	05-15 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	7	$123	158	0	+158	Up	+$35	02-28 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 12:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x574c95…
11-08 12:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xc4518d…
11-08 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x3bd372…
11-08 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x60fe2b…
11-08 12:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc01f20…
11-08 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x4ade9a…
11-08 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x197dd8…
11-08 12:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x04a1f8…
11-08 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0b794…
11-08 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa3eea1…
11-08 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c5113…
11-08 12:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1c7df9…
11-08 11:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xcafd42…
11-08 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b26c0…
11-08 11:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd77bd7…
11-08 11:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xb3850d…
11-08 11:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6bff0d…
11-08 10:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xabdbad…
11-08 10:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xd05db8…
11-08 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x4dd886…
11-08 10:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfc7ce…
11-08 10:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xad5626…
11-08 09:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x29cf4b…
11-08 09:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x64f05a…
11-08 07:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd0620e…
11-08 07:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7a755…
11-08 07:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x453dff…
11-08 05:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd90180…
11-08 05:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xc3d2ca…
11-08 05:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf704f4…
11-08 05:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x032d05…
11-08 04:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xffbda3…
11-08 04:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x703f91…
11-08 03:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xed91d7…
11-08 03:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x181b46…
11-08 03:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xce38a1…
11-08 03:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb14ae5…
11-08 03:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa07e78…
11-08 03:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xec9b65…
11-08 03:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1246a…
11-08 02:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xad5116…
11-08 01:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xad8a64…
11-08 01:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x675f58…
11-08 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x64bcf0…
11-08 00:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x83aac6…
11-07 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x51f9ed…
11-07 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x00e348…
11-07 23:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0xf56eb0…
11-07 23:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xf11c3e…
11-07 23:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x74e1ee…
11-07 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x46b3ef…
11-07 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x05c77f…
11-07 22:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xfc9376…
11-07 22:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7d05ca…
11-07 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x77b971…
11-07 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x2121e4…
11-07 18:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xe6128c…
11-07 18:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x46f18d…
11-07 18:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x664ca8…
11-07 18:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xddbd74…
11-07 18:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x814169…
11-07 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda207e…
11-07 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd8809f…
11-07 16:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xf4ce7a…
11-07 16:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x47314e…
11-07 16:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb5354…
11-07 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xc3ac1c…
11-07 15:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xdec6d3…
11-07 14:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x5d4c1a…
11-07 14:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x07ee8a…
11-07 14:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x9e8b76…
11-07 14:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xe2842b…
11-07 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x039b8f…
11-07 14:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x354a38…
11-07 14:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x762529…
11-07 14:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x0d0648…
11-07 14:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x699676…
11-07 14:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x87547a…
11-07 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x59efd6…
11-07 13:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x12cd89…
11-07 13:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x79ff78…
11-07 13:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x88bd33…
11-07 13:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x6e8548…
11-07 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x87123c…
11-07 13:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x4c6b4b…
11-07 13:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x00c343…
11-07 12:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x2e6fbf…
11-07 12:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x9a4325…
11-07 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x1baa39…
11-07 11:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd098c9…
11-07 11:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb884b3…
11-07 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x942d7e…
11-07 11:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf83950…
11-07 11:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x36c8b0…
11-07 10:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xa9878a…
11-07 10:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xc83d85…
11-07 10:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x34aac2…
11-07 09:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb1bf98…
11-07 09:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x9c98e0…
11-07 09:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x852ca8…