Flawless-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$161

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved (30d)

1,484

Trades (30d)

2,108

49,640 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$12.3K

$189.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-06 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 59% -$1,036

Other

29% 52% -$673

Sports

13% 55% +$404

Politics

1% 31% -$9

Tech

0% 40% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	—	+22	$11	2¢	$0	-$11	11-06 17:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	56	$289	340	340	+0	No	-$9	05-19 21:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	55	$283	255	233	+22	Thunder	-$4	05-21 03:02
Thunder vs. Spurs	57	$270	327	297	+30	Thunder	-$8	05-23 03:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$253	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	09-28 20:34
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$246	179	179	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$46	05-18 09:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$232	205	205	+0	No	+$42	06-12 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$200	938	0	+938	Up	-$200	05-20 14:34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	50	$198	236	186	+51	Knicks	+$17	05-20 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:35 UTC	2	$180	111	110	+1	Up	+$15	03-17 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	11	$174	205	0	+205	Up	+$31	02-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$172	603	564	+39	Down	-$78	05-22 08:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	36	$171	191	183	+8	Atlanta Braves	-$2	05-19 22:29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$168	171	142	+29	Knicks	-$1	05-22 02:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	43	$143	164	164	+0	Spurs	-$4	05-19 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	12	$139	179	0	+179	Down	+$8	03-01 02:19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	27	$136	104	86	+19	Colorado Rockies	+$30	06-02 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	11	$135	168	0	+168	Up	+$32	03-01 00:48
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$135	145	139	+6	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	10	$135	164	0	+164	Down	+$29	02-28 11:08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	24	$135	120	120	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$18	05-21 03:54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$134	144	118	+27	Yes	-$1	05-30 19:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	30	$133	135	130	+5	Thunder	+$6	05-21 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	12	$133	174	0	+174	Down	-$81	02-28 20:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	41	$132	177	98	+79	Matteo Arnaldi	+$14	06-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	10	$130	170	0	+170	Down	-$130	02-28 12:33
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$128	130	119	+10	No	+$3	05-19 22:47
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	23	$127	107	99	+8	Seattle Mariners	+$8	05-20 22:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	13	$125	113	84	+28	Team WE	+$44	05-30 15:59
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	36	$124	144	144	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$1	05-15 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	7	$123	158	0	+158	Up	+$35	02-28 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 17:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x6dab8a…
11-06 16:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x0f87b6…
11-06 15:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x2f35ec…
11-06 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x318523…
11-06 15:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x839239…
11-06 14:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1be8f5…
11-06 14:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x96261f…
11-06 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xdd5ca4…
11-06 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x94a34d…
11-06 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x85575f…
11-06 12:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x4102a8…
11-06 12:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x9ef352…
11-06 11:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x70c362…
11-06 11:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xf1372a…
11-06 10:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xe5df43…
11-06 10:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xac2a5e…
11-06 10:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x72e0f0…
11-06 10:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd40ad2…
11-06 10:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xd4f05f…
11-06 09:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xfb9a62…
11-06 09:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x6631e6…
11-06 09:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf29287…
11-06 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x65a4b2…
11-06 08:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x04fb54…
11-06 07:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x55bfce…
11-06 07:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e4f5c…
11-06 07:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x2fff44…
11-06 07:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x037880…
11-06 07:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x00ce62…
11-06 07:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x39fd42…
11-06 07:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x343934…
11-06 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x38c79c…
11-06 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x0052b8…
11-06 07:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8fe266…
11-06 06:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x118915…
11-06 06:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x343089…
11-06 05:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x484770…
11-06 05:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xa696aa…
11-06 04:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x6bbbcd…
11-06 03:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xa64d12…
11-06 03:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xb104be…
11-06 01:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x503fc6…
11-06 00:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x92aa71…
11-06 00:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xcbca8b…
11-06 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xc5f447…
11-06 00:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x5c7c93…
11-06 00:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x2f20cc…
11-05 23:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xa5b273…
11-05 23:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0xadfa59…
11-05 23:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x3e58ce…
11-05 22:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x259291…
11-05 21:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x53a490…
11-05 21:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x8e0cef…
11-05 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x925312…
11-05 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x839aa7…
11-05 20:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xa87bb0…
11-05 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x2690ef…
11-05 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf787a0…
11-05 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3884c6…
11-05 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x46867e…
11-05 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x80ea84…
11-05 19:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x2998a1…
11-05 18:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x670d81…
11-05 18:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd6432b…
11-05 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x6a5e1c…
11-05 18:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x72a656…
11-05 18:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xce5e67…
11-05 18:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x28b460…
11-05 18:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x9c8a88…
11-05 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5613c0…
11-05 18:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x762c6e…
11-05 18:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1a1f6c…
11-05 18:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x837ec3…
11-05 18:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7e9d35…
11-05 18:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb9b0ab…
11-05 17:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xff102b…
11-05 17:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xf35f73…
11-05 16:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x8a4722…
11-05 16:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x92c1a6…
11-05 16:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x6726d2…
11-05 16:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xe7d42f…
11-05 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x9495ab…
11-05 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x6848f0…
11-05 15:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xea8c85…
11-05 15:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x3348e0…
11-05 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xaa57da…
11-05 15:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x71a46d…
11-05 14:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x67b4db…
11-05 13:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xce329e…
11-05 12:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xa6fd2a…
11-05 12:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x7272c9…
11-05 11:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x22d003…
11-05 10:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x3a0803…
11-05 10:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xf6655a…
11-05 10:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb82e41…
11-05 10:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb99b25…
11-05 10:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x05f741…
11-05 10:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xab7c5d…
11-05 08:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xdb69e6…
11-05 08:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xf8b4b0…