Flawless-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

16,208

Trades

50,137

lifetime

Volume

$193.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-14 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 59% -$1,109

Other

29% 51% -$673

Sports

13% 55% +$404

Politics

1% 31% -$9

Tech

0% 40% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	56	$289	340	340	+0	No	-$9	05-19 21:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	55	$283	255	233	+22	Thunder	-$4	05-21 03:02
Thunder vs. Spurs	57	$270	327	297	+30	Thunder	-$8	05-23 03:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	11	$253	2,872	2,872	+0	open	—	09-28 20:34
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$246	179	179	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$46	05-18 09:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$232	205	205	+0	No	+$42	06-12 20:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	7	$200	938	0	+938	Up	-$200	05-20 14:34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	50	$198	236	186	+51	Knicks	+$17	05-20 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:35 UTC	2	$180	111	110	+1	Up	+$15	03-17 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	11	$174	205	0	+205	Up	+$31	02-28 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$172	603	564	+39	Down	-$78	05-22 08:09
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	36	$171	191	183	+8	Atlanta Braves	-$2	05-19 22:29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$168	171	142	+29	Knicks	-$1	05-22 02:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	43	$143	164	164	+0	Spurs	-$4	05-19 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:15 UTC	12	$139	179	0	+179	Down	+$8	03-01 02:19
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	27	$136	104	86	+19	Colorado Rockies	+$30	06-02 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	11	$135	168	0	+168	Up	+$32	03-01 00:48
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$135	145	139	+6	Texas Rangers	+$15	05-20 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	10	$135	164	0	+164	Down	+$29	02-28 11:08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	24	$135	120	120	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$18	05-21 03:54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$134	144	118	+27	Yes	-$1	05-30 19:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	30	$133	135	130	+5	Thunder	+$6	05-21 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	12	$133	174	0	+174	Down	-$81	02-28 20:34
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	41	$132	177	98	+79	Matteo Arnaldi	+$14	06-01 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	10	$130	170	0	+170	Down	-$130	02-28 12:33
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	38	$128	130	119	+10	No	+$3	05-19 22:47
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	23	$127	107	99	+8	Seattle Mariners	+$8	05-20 22:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	13	$125	113	84	+28	Team WE	+$44	05-30 15:59
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	36	$124	144	144	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$1	05-15 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	7	$123	158	0	+158	Up	+$35	02-28 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 00:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x343ec3…
11-13 23:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xe8c086…
11-13 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x2e39b4…
11-13 22:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xf3e536…
11-13 21:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x87f0cf…
11-13 20:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x1078d9…
11-13 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x047d78…
11-13 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x42f56e…
11-13 19:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xe7b306…
11-13 19:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x126242…
11-13 19:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8d9119…
11-13 18:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x3dd3a9…
11-13 17:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x94b334…
11-13 16:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x37055a…
11-13 14:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xafa694…
11-13 13:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xf5cd2c…
11-13 13:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x48a500…
11-13 11:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xdea7d5…
11-13 11:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0994b4…
11-13 11:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x922a8c…
11-13 11:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb68e20…
11-13 11:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x7889d0…
11-13 10:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x21a717…
11-13 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1ade1f…
11-13 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa7eac2…
11-13 10:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2896dc…
11-13 10:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x772c4f…
11-13 10:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a27b3…
11-13 10:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1fa3c7…
11-13 09:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xaf76d7…
11-13 09:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x2b1c08…
11-13 09:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe119e8…
11-13 09:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x384650…
11-13 09:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf45fcd…
11-13 09:08:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb440a4…
11-13 09:07:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x254630…
11-13 09:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaa4656…
11-13 09:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x0dfccc…
11-13 08:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf730a8…
11-13 06:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x56e96a…
11-13 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x2865a2…
11-13 01:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x4d42d9…
11-13 00:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x05daaa…
11-13 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x427b57…
11-12 23:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf1de9c…
11-12 22:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb136f3…
11-12 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0a0828…
11-12 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xc97e90…
11-12 21:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x57652a…
11-12 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb9396b…
11-12 18:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa61d15…
11-12 18:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x158afd…
11-12 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x38de9d…
11-12 17:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5a7793…
11-12 17:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x8844cb…
11-12 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x723896…
11-12 16:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x1c5bc4…
11-12 15:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd148a8…
11-12 15:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x6842c1…
11-12 15:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xf77149…
11-12 15:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x88f3f1…
11-12 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x8fa0de…
11-12 14:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x075fbd…
11-12 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xcf5047…
11-12 12:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb86801…
11-12 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb46b04…
11-12 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x802173…
11-12 09:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x2376b9…
11-12 08:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xd32856…
11-12 07:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xe044a3…
11-12 06:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xb8dd56…
11-12 04:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x11322c…
11-12 04:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae04cc…
11-12 04:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf4ebcf…
11-12 03:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x418777…
11-12 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x275b53…
11-12 02:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x81ba04…
11-12 01:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xafceea…
11-12 01:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x017d89…
11-12 01:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x9a1972…
11-12 01:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09b15a…
11-12 00:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x7fde5e…
11-11 23:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xd116b0…
11-11 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8cee4…
11-11 21:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa73af3…
11-11 21:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc58f60…
11-11 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x8eb960…
11-11 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xdc26ae…
11-11 20:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2c5c5c…
11-11 20:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x56eaf1…
11-11 20:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc37402…
11-11 20:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xa1d2e8…
11-11 17:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xb5ff9e…
11-11 17:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x6190d9…
11-11 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x68f141…
11-11 15:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x1fb38a…
11-11 15:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x226369…
11-11 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xa4dcc5…
11-11 15:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e61ca…
11-11 15:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xceb1be…