Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$153

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-31 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

50% 54% +$13

Other

48% 62% +$5

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No		-8	-$7	88¢	$-7	$0	08-15 03:00
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes		-6	-$6	95¢	$-6	$0	08-15 03:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	08-15 03:00
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	08-15 03:00
will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	$0	08-15 03:00
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	09-07 23:17
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	-$5	09-14 20:58
Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	10-07 12:58
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	09-09 23:15
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	10-06 13:13
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	09-09 23:33
will micron say nvidia during earnings call september 30	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	09-29 22:09
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	08-28 22:23
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	09-10 23:15
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	09-03 02:49
Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	+$2	08-27 13:35
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	10-31 13:05
Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	09-16 09:26
Will Trump post "Sanction" on Truth Social this week?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	09-17 09:34
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $17B?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	09-01 03:05
state d4 drought 2026 09 01 mo	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-01 05:56
Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	09-15 09:24
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-25 13:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	09-29 21:23
will trump say blockade during his rally with darline graham	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	08-21 12:57
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	10-26 20:57
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-27 13:27
will trump say border 10 times during his rally with darline graham	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	08-21 05:17
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-31 05:14
where will it rain on august 31 2026 denver co	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	08-31 22:05
Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 21:30
Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	09-23 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:40:39	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xde8942…
10-31 13:05:31	Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7566fd…
10-31 11:37:54	Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x0bd3eb…
10-31 09:43:07	Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0fb672…
10-31 09:16:52	Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3039a6…
10-31 07:30:19	Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe2c422…
10-31 07:09:54	Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x822319…
10-31 06:30:39	Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x21f7e4…
10-31 05:14:33	Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x10ad0e…
10-31 00:16:48	Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x9f7356…
10-29 23:41:54	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.2M?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0f5ae2…
10-29 04:41:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x282051…
10-28 14:15:32	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c64f1…
10-27 14:53:44	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7543ef…
10-27 14:25:33	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf9200d…
10-26 20:57:18	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1a4000…
10-21 21:09:15	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x16ea33…
10-21 20:55:24	Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf16c0f…
10-19 18:58:48	Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0e5cf1…
10-07 12:58:08	Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaff860…
10-06 13:13:51	Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbdf1bf…
10-06 12:55:15	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe88fc7…
10-02 12:31:57	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x46e5e2…
09-30 12:47:50	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xf23583…
09-29 22:09:30	will micron say nvidia during earnings call september 30	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x781516…
09-29 21:23:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x6e3e09…
09-23 19:10:20	Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x14c9d3…
09-22 21:30:37	Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x681178…
09-17 09:34:49	Will Trump post "Sanction" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x27c32a…
09-17 09:27:27	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 18?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeee660…
09-16 09:44:04	Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4a8049…
09-16 09:26:15	Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x48a567…
09-16 09:19:39	Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcb1b66…
09-15 09:24:48	Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdcc9b5…
09-14 20:58:21	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa19461…
09-10 23:28:36	Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x803207…
09-10 23:22:12	Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5de4f4…
09-10 23:15:58	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x504c75…
09-09 23:33:36	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9674dd…
09-09 23:15:40	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x809ab8…
09-07 23:17:42	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa5b6b0…
09-07 23:05:13	Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x61f27d…
09-06 22:56:22	Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xef54c7…
09-03 02:55:37	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 5?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x457580…
09-03 02:49:15	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5f8523…
09-01 14:36:27	Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 1?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x176a11…
09-01 05:56:51	state d4 drought 2026 09 01 mo	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe5e3e0…
09-01 04:55:46	where will it rain on september 1 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2e3def…
09-01 03:05:34	Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $17B?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5bb6fa…
08-31 22:05:00	where will it rain on august 31 2026 denver co	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbaba6a…
08-28 22:23:45	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe96e64…
08-27 13:35:43	Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x6f405e…
08-27 13:27:04	Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x97b290…
08-27 13:19:43	will trump say moon base during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdb5c9d…
08-26 13:32:06	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf1badf…
08-26 13:16:34	will trump say iss or international space station during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x796760…
08-26 13:10:06	will trump say spacex during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x82e698…
08-26 13:02:57	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x268a70…
08-25 13:27:06	Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xc8e7a2…
08-25 13:15:57	Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1d08d7…
08-23 12:56:22	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5e9770…
08-21 12:57:34	will trump say blockade during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc5f9b2…
08-21 05:17:39	will trump say border 10 times during his rally with darline graham	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5ab932…
08-20 21:51:55	will trump say border 10 times during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xaac6c8…
08-15 03:00:22	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	No	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x661a38…
08-15 03:00:19	Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xdedfdd…
08-15 03:00:19	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xccb54f…
08-14 22:27:52	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x77931e…
08-09 03:35:34	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048101	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x340936…