Realized P&L (24h)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
25.4%
Resolved (24h)
13
Trades (24h)
11
114 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$24
$255 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-09
last 11-06 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
49% 49% +$10
Other
48% 48% -$11
Tech
2% 100% +$2
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$7 92¢ $-8 -$1 08-15 03:00
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 08-15 03:00
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$0 11-04 06:11
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? Yes +6 $2 38¢ $2 $0 11-06 00:52
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? No +4 $2 55¢ $2 +$0 11-05 23:09
Will Trump say "Drone" at Cape Canaveral? No +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 11-05 05:31
Will Trump say "Space Force" at Cape Canaveral? No +6 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 11-05 04:56
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? No +3 $1 39¢ $1 +$0 11-05 23:44
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 5? No — +9 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 11-02 19:56
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at Cape Canaveral? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-05 15:21
Will Trump say "Moon" at Cape Canaveral? No +3 $2 18¢ $1 -$2 11-05 05:05
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" at Cape Canaveral? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 11-05 16:03
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on November 6, 2026? No +7 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-03 03:25
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +3 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-31 05:14