Troubled-Certificate 0xbc7784…5e66ff
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
22.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,490
lifetime
Volume
$3.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$61
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 06-10 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
63% — —
Sports
21% 100% +$2
Politics
15% 0% $-2
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +11 $6 66¢ $7 +$1 06-07 10:51
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +24 $6 29¢ $7 +$1 06-07 08:45
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 78¢ $7 +$1 06-03 20:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9 $6 72¢ $6 +$0 06-04 20:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-06 21:53
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +39 $6 15¢ $6 $-0 06-09 15:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-09 12:53
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 06-08 01:24
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +13 $4 28¢ $4 $-0 06-04 04:01
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-10 02:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +5 $4 64¢ $3 $-1 06-08 07:54
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 $-0 06-09 15:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 06-06 15:54
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-06 21:19