Sympathetic-Cap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

58% 71% +$9

Sports

21% 52% -$37

Politics

11% 100% +$6

Crypto

10% 78% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		-115	-$110	96¢	$-110	+$0	10-31 02:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$141	79	79	+0	No	+$7	03-30 04:07
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$110	0	115	-115	open	—	10-31 02:30
nba dal bkn 2026 02 24	3	$86	44	44	+0	Mavericks	+$3	02-25 05:01
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$84	47	47	+0	No	+$2	04-12 03:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$73	56	55	+1	No	+$15	04-22 15:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$72	57	24	+32	No	+$5	04-14 01:09
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$72	43	43	+0	Yes	+$12	02-25 02:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$1	03-31 10:26
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$1	02-20 15:06
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	02-19 08:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-23 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$39	23	23	+0	No	+$1	04-29 08:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$36	37	0	+37	Yes	+$1	03-09 04:57
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	2	$29	20	19	+1	No	+$5	04-25 13:33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	06-08 14:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$2	03-31 15:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$28	220	0	+220	Yes	-$28	05-01 15:15
val nrg g21 2026 02 08	2	$25	13	13	+0	G2 Esports	+$1	02-08 03:24
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$1	03-30 10:26
nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	3	$25	35	27	+8	Lakers	$0	02-08 03:28
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$22	31	31	+0	No	$0	02-08 02:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$21	30	30	+0	No	+$4	05-06 08:11
nba orl lal 2026 02 24 total 229pt5	2	$21	11	11	+0	Under	+$1	02-25 06:04
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	6	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-30 17:16
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$19	30	0	+30	Rockets	-$19	04-29 11:54
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	5	$19	10	10	+0	Under	+$1	05-07 01:01
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	01-29 15:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	04-07 23:30
nba uta mia 2026 02 09	1	$12	16	0	+16	Jazz	-$12	02-09 08:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	01-03 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:30:37	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	115	96¢	$110	0xffbf27…
06-22 11:43:08	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xbe65b3…
06-22 11:42:49	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2060bc…
06-11 00:52:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x999f03…
06-08 16:36:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x112694…
06-08 14:58:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2c2bcf…
06-08 14:58:31	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x481d05…
06-08 14:58:21	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xb7f739…
06-08 14:57:58	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	182	2¢	$4	0x931ef6…
06-08 14:49:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3c8992…
06-08 14:23:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x364c31…
05-30 15:42:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0b092f…
05-19 13:29:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa09a10…
05-19 11:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1c3f9f…
05-16 12:52:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x32df3b…
05-15 13:18:58	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x6df133…
05-15 12:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1b3de4…
05-15 02:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0f58f0…
05-15 00:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4c18b…
05-14 07:08:01	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6fc9a5…
05-13 02:05:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1e6f82…
05-13 01:40:59	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x6707b2…
05-12 19:05:23	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xa614a5…
05-08 09:16:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x347c8a…
05-07 01:01:08	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x259efb…
05-07 01:01:03	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf1dd3d…
05-07 01:00:47	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc2226e…
05-07 01:00:42	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa4e782…
05-07 00:03:58	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa086c4…
05-06 08:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0xdfa7c2…
05-05 14:17:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeabbc4…
05-05 14:12:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xb99ff8…
05-03 13:03:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x61a780…
05-02 02:32:12	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xaa965b…
05-01 15:23:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xa501b8…
05-01 15:22:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x5803ed…
05-01 15:15:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	220	13¢	$28	0x741b5c…
04-30 17:16:18	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa8b4e0…
04-29 11:54:16	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x23ba37…
04-29 10:27:50	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x781020…
04-29 10:13:02	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xae4b4b…
04-29 10:02:18	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xcb83f0…
04-29 08:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xd906d1…
04-29 07:57:34	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x35ff5d…
04-28 09:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x5f55da…
04-25 13:33:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0x043c4e…
04-24 13:47:12	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9de338…
04-24 13:32:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4cd9f1…
04-23 17:25:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x7f9262…
04-22 15:56:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x97e3eb…
04-22 15:53:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xa0b741…
04-15 13:27:00	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Invictus Gaming	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x2dab60…
04-15 01:50:42	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe098df…
04-15 01:50:36	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6052ac…
04-14 01:09:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xb729ec…
04-14 01:09:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x654de8…
04-13 08:52:39	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa1aa49…
04-13 08:51:29	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x96f134…
04-12 03:33:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0x7ea0fd…
04-12 03:32:19	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x69f408…
04-10 16:02:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0xbe4315…
04-07 23:31:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x90ec67…
04-07 23:30:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x08872b…
04-03 00:07:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x58e237…
04-03 00:06:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xa67158…
04-03 00:06:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfd6502…
04-03 00:06:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x99b2d0…
03-31 15:51:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x6c454a…
03-31 10:26:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xf02dc6…
03-30 10:32:48	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x64a4c2…
03-30 10:26:26	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x57dbdf…
03-30 04:13:00	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x1ed058…
03-30 04:07:38	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xc3ce94…
03-27 04:33:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x9d3c52…
03-27 04:32:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x5fe3c5…
03-26 14:48:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	23	92¢	$22	0x65e37b…
03-23 13:57:37	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	23	88¢	$21	0xe42fd8…
03-19 06:02:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0xbbbf44…
03-09 04:57:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x0a8cbc…
03-09 04:24:01	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x4afc63…
03-09 02:54:19	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x48f3e5…
02-28 00:56:45	nba cle det 2026 02 27	Cavaliers	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xbb38b3…
02-28 00:22:17	nba cle det 2026 02 27	Cavaliers	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x40aeb0…
02-25 06:04:40	nba orl lal 2026 02 24 total 229pt5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7ac589…
02-25 05:04:40	nba orl lal 2026 02 24 total 229pt5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5133a1…
02-25 05:01:14	nba dal bkn 2026 02 24	Mavericks	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x142954…
02-25 02:48:32	nba dal bkn 2026 02 24	Mavericks	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x788dc3…
02-25 02:40:04	nba dal bkn 2026 02 24	Mavericks	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe9e341…
02-25 02:01:04	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x7079c5…
02-22 01:40:22	nba sac sas 2026 02 21	Kings	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x42c058…
02-21 04:00:44	nba lac lal 2026 02 20	Lakers	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x2b09fa…
02-21 02:46:34	nba lac lal 2026 02 20	Lakers	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe42a5b…
02-20 15:06:54	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf78e22…
02-20 15:06:26	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x39c90a…
02-19 08:28:28	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc07f3d…
02-19 08:17:52	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x8b97b7…
02-13 08:17:33	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe087dd…
02-13 08:00:07	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x217752…
02-12 09:38:25	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Lakers	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xab5c9f…
02-11 13:52:57	nba chi bos 2026 02 11	Celtics	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x034024…