Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

$315

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-03 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

58% 77% -$1,186

Other

40% 32% -$751

Sports

2% 33% -$164

Crypto

1% 58% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-364	-$302	86¢	$-315	-$13	06-13 18:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$2.5K	5,177	0	+5,177	No	-$2,500	04-28 23:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$1.9K	1,770	1,493	+278	Yes	-$182	04-04 23:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$1.6K	2,441	2,441	+0	No	-$358	04-06 12:23
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$1.6K	2,051	0	+2,051	Yes	+$451	04-10 14:12
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$1.0K	964	964	+0	Yes	+$6	04-27 16:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$994	2,026	2,026	+0	No	-$306	04-06 12:23
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$581	362	362	+0	Yes	+$131	03-09 08:26
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$534	0	536	-536	No	-$2	01-02 01:04
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$500	1,111	0	+1,111	Yes	+$611	02-22 20:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$498	917	917	+0	No	-$2	01-13 23:37
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$451	291	291	+0	Yes	+$51	09-20 16:07
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$450	769	0	+769	Spain	+$319	07-19 19:08
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$397	253	253	+0	No	+$97	03-09 08:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$326	307	307	+0	open	—	10-27 23:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$302	0	364	-364	open	—	06-13 18:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	1	$300	359	0	+359	Yes	+$59	11-03 23:36
will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$300	432	0	+432	Yes	+$132	02-15 14:03
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$300	353	0	+353	Yes	+$53	11-03 23:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	3	$294	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	11-03 23:37
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$237	387	387	+0	No	-$63	03-22 16:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$201	349	174	+174	Yes	+$75	01-18 17:20
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$200	267	0	+267	Yes	+$67	03-22 16:31
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$200	266	0	+266	Argentina	+$66	07-11 23:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	4	$160	1,071	0	+1,071	No	-$160	09-20 16:21
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$150	280	0	+280	No	-$150	03-08 11:00
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$150	283	0	+283	No	-$150	07-09 19:55
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	2	$144	149	149	+0	No	-$56	09-06 16:07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$136	86	86	+0	Yes	+$36	07-19 23:33
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	1	$100	202	0	+202	open	—	09-19 23:32
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$100	186	0	+186	Argentina	-$100	07-15 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:48:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xffafe1…
11-03 23:37:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,374	4¢	$52	0x37224d…
11-03 23:36:13	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	359	84¢	$300	0x482657…
11-03 23:35:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xa4a4f4…
10-27 23:22:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	307	41¢	$126	0xd8ea2b…
10-27 14:03:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	307	65¢	$200	0xc0f564…
09-20 19:59:59	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x73feb1…
09-20 16:21:28	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	13¢	$25	0xb32600…
09-20 16:21:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	16¢	$42	0xeeb3bc…
09-20 16:16:07	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	18¢	$50	0x38a54c…
09-20 16:07:15	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	291	86¢	$251	0x60cb78…
09-20 16:02:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	16¢	$50	0x2dd697…
09-20 16:00:25	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xcb1d53…
09-20 16:00:15	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x0bb4f1…
09-20 15:55:13	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xb1c55f…
09-20 15:47:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	13¢	$35	0xe5b2d5…
09-19 23:32:16	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xacfe54…
09-14 13:03:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0xdbde88…
09-06 16:07:43	Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	149	29¢	$44	0x4521f6…
09-06 11:24:45	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x96f4bc…
09-06 11:19:51	Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x313af7…
09-06 11:19:03	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x3848ac…
07-19 23:33:39	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x12df2a…
07-19 19:08:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xd45811…
07-19 18:10:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x65d3e5…
07-15 18:56:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x7b87ea…
07-15 18:54:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x661db2…
07-14 19:03:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x9585ec…
07-11 23:36:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	266	75¢	$200	0xca8433…
07-10 19:09:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x2db687…
07-09 19:58:55	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xc8ddd9…
07-09 19:55:38	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x536bc7…
06-13 18:31:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	364	83¢	$302	0x85ebb0…
04-28 23:33:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	585	51¢	$300	0xd9e8de…
04-28 23:33:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	384	52¢	$200	0x0d78f0…
04-27 23:26:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xc312c4…
04-27 23:23:28	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,047	48¢	$500	0xd7783a…
04-27 22:58:48	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2,120	47¢	$1,000	0xcd70b2…
04-27 16:15:20	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	964	53¢	$506	0x612bea…
04-19 10:35:48	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	964	52¢	$500	0x5f6ad4…
04-10 14:12:25	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2,051	78¢	$1,600	0xbcfad1…
04-06 12:23:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,026	16¢	$164	0x262af1…
04-06 12:23:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	470	27¢	$127	0x4728f3…
04-04 23:12:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x79e701…
04-04 23:10:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	470	26¢	$122	0x717180…
04-04 23:09:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	18¢	$180	0xf13869…
04-03 00:39:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x252c2a…
04-03 00:38:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	591	11¢	$65	0x714b93…
03-31 17:47:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$122	0x103afb…
03-31 17:43:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0x3572ed…
03-31 17:41:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,493	56¢	$843	0x46cbd7…
03-30 16:07:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x514e75…
03-30 11:16:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0x50cf0a…
03-30 10:53:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x9b0cd5…
03-30 10:49:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x411577…
03-30 10:47:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,441	41¢	$1,000	0xf5dcf1…
03-29 10:04:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	889	34¢	$300	0x04ba60…
03-22 16:53:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f9609…
03-22 16:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x58b22c…
03-22 16:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3cbf3f…
03-22 16:31:41	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x0f50b7…
03-22 16:30:53	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	387	23¢	$87	0xec2b28…
03-22 16:21:51	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	387	39¢	$150	0xeadb39…
03-17 19:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa7302a…
03-17 19:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcf0955…
03-09 08:26:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	362	98¢	$356	0x9a1364…
03-09 08:25:59	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	253	98¢	$247	0xc65aa9…
03-09 08:24:43	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x5445cb…
03-08 11:00:25	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	280	54¢	$150	0x980429…
03-06 16:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5e04d8…
03-06 16:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fea72…
03-06 16:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x270186…
03-02 23:23:43	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	253	59¢	$150	0x745221…
03-02 23:21:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	362	62¢	$225	0x99f4cb…
02-22 20:39:12	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x384e74…
02-15 14:03:49	will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	432	69¢	$300	0xdf9464…
01-18 17:20:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	174	29¢	$51	0x64b3c4…
01-13 23:45:22	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x6ef7c6…
01-13 23:37:34	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	917	27¢	$248	0x7e5bf4…
01-13 23:21:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x7b799d…
01-13 22:53:42	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	917	27¢	$250	0x027bdc…
01-03 17:34:27	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xeec14c…
01-03 17:28:43	us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x386805…
01-03 16:02:53	ethereum up or down on january 4	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xdc9ab2…
01-03 16:02:37	bitcoin up or down on january 4	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x96a4fc…
01-02 01:07:45	ethereum up or down on january 3	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6f8818…
01-02 01:07:19	bitcoin up or down on january 3	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe00dcb…
01-02 01:04:29	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	SELL	536	100¢	$534	0xb407a5…
01-02 01:04:13	us strikes yemen by december 31	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa620fd…