Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.01K

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

511

Trades

2,758

lifetime

Volume

$1.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$399

Open exposure

$23.6K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-07 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Politics

63% 81% -$22,503

Other

31% 95% -$17,356

Tech

3% 100% +$2,159

Crypto

1% 100% +$447

Sports

1% 95% +$1,868

Pop-Culture

1% 67% -$2,251

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+13,000	$12,440	98¢	$12.7K	+$235	10-20 22:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+6,000	$4,980	92¢	$5.5K	+$510	11-01 10:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,813	$4,271	96¢	$4.6K	+$362	11-07 22:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+1,300	$948	66¢	$852	-$96	10-26 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	16	$69.8K	70,123	0	+70,123	Yes	+$358	02-09 01:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	151	$37.8K	40,268	0	+40,268	Yes	+$2,507	02-26 21:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	17	$37.5K	37,655	0	+37,655	Yes	+$119	03-12 23:29
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	31	$24.8K	27,229	0	+27,229	No	+$2,386	02-18 14:28
will iran strike israel on march 10	4	$20.5K	20,500	500	+20,000	Yes	-$281	03-14 03:18
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	40	$19.6K	20,582	0	+20,582	No	+$1,009	01-31 08:45
bkcba sha2 gua2 2026 01 31	4	$19.5K	19,476	0	+19,476	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	+$24	02-03 22:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$19.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$763	03-19 03:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	175	$18.3K	28,509	28,920	-410	Yes	-$3,413	02-28 06:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	52	$18.1K	21,593	0	+21,593	No	+$3,452	02-01 06:37
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	25	$18.1K	11,064	7,598	+3,467	No	+$571	01-13 04:52
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	41	$17.2K	17,987	0	+17,987	Yes	+$737	02-02 03:57
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	38	$15.8K	17,418	0	+17,418	No	+$1,622	09-29 17:36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	14	$15.4K	15,676	0	+15,676	No	+$236	01-13 04:52
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	24	$14.9K	15,977	0	+15,977	No	+$1,036	02-02 07:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$14.4K	15,500	0	+15,500	Yes	+$1,140	11-03 01:51
will iran strike israel on march 6	19	$14.1K	14,379	0	+14,379	No	+$275	03-10 14:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$14.0K	22,000	12,000	+10,000	Yes	-$3,934	04-07 10:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	77	$13.6K	13,162	13,162	+0	Yes	-$5,014	02-28 19:47
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	37	$12.5K	12,902	0	+12,902	No	+$410	01-11 21:24
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$12.4K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	10-20 22:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$12.2K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$792	04-15 11:53
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	25	$12.1K	12,359	0	+12,359	No	+$250	10-22 21:01
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	34	$11.7K	10,523	4,000	+6,523	No	+$1,048	01-16 06:08
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	5	$10.4K	5,410	5,410	+0	No	+$428	02-26 05:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	03-06 04:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$9.4K	10,186	2,412	+7,774	Yes	-$1,372	02-28 19:52
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	23	$8.8K	10,137	0	+10,137	No	+$1,307	02-25 12:55
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	9	$8.7K	10,041	0	+10,041	No	+$1,300	01-14 19:26
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	23	$8.7K	10,269	1,067	+9,202	No	+$563	02-18 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 22:19:49	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	95¢	$418	0x4e6918…
11-07 21:14:04	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x49f75f…
11-07 19:07:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x05a251…
11-07 16:40:22	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xed159c…
11-07 14:29:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc3d91f…
11-07 13:42:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa11b85…
11-07 12:11:24	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	95¢	$1,234	0xaf9224…
11-07 11:51:12	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa6aebb…
11-07 09:15:03	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x9a496c…
11-07 08:15:45	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x8310cc…
11-07 04:26:12	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x5b99e0…
11-04 05:24:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	349	98¢	$342	0x4f2faa…
11-04 05:21:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,651	98¢	$1,620	0xc16efb…
11-04 00:22:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	748	76¢	$569	0x7e1925…
11-04 00:22:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	76¢	$94	0x6907c5…
11-04 00:21:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	76¢	$92	0xe8c23d…
11-04 00:20:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x263426…
11-03 19:32:51	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	77¢	$2,310	0x6b20bf…
11-03 01:51:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x4a59d0…
11-01 15:56:24	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xdad88a…
11-01 11:11:10	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	18¢	$540	0xacc137…
11-01 10:04:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x5d7ee0…
10-26 04:26:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x375c34…
10-23 20:32:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,500	92¢	$2,300	0xdb282b…
10-23 17:30:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4,000	83¢	$3,320	0xa84824…
10-22 21:01:26	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	891	100¢	$889	0x444769…
10-22 17:51:06	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x8c7fde…
10-22 17:11:35	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,207	100¢	$2,200	0x84adb4…
10-22 17:04:32	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73b6d1…
10-22 16:15:59	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x16eb25…
10-22 14:46:57	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0xe07f7a…
10-22 04:37:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x4bc3ee…
10-22 03:02:48	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x573dc8…
10-22 02:08:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,760	0xb3f8fe…
10-21 23:46:17	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7bf77…
10-21 23:44:33	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4757d…
10-21 23:44:26	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	877	100¢	$874	0x9017df…
10-21 23:44:26	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01e7a0…
10-21 22:57:35	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x4c746d…
10-20 22:45:59	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	8,000	96¢	$7,640	0x5c00e5…
10-20 22:45:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	70¢	$1,750	0xb482ec…
10-20 22:44:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x21d4c4…
10-19 19:37:50	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,091	61¢	$666	0x91ac1c…
10-19 19:15:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	513	61¢	$313	0x4294bb…
10-19 18:16:35	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xebeeca…
10-19 18:09:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xa5525a…
10-19 18:05:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	380	61¢	$232	0x311032…
10-19 01:35:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0xeb18b6…
10-08 17:46:02	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,234	66¢	$814	0x252ee8…
10-08 17:28:17	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	66¢	$396	0x460ff0…
10-08 17:13:41	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	66¢	$396	0xcdebb3…
10-08 16:27:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x19c813…
10-08 15:23:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x622800…
10-08 14:26:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	66¢	$396	0xcf8a1a…
10-08 14:25:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	66¢	$295	0x5dfd06…
10-08 12:56:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,936	71¢	$1,374	0x5d1abc…
10-08 12:54:44	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x60824e…
10-08 12:50:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x55d4b9…
10-08 12:31:23	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0xe103c9…
10-08 12:30:54	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$51	0xd7972e…
10-08 12:30:54	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x7f3b9f…
10-08 12:18:47	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x6c752d…
10-08 12:17:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xd41513…
10-08 12:10:56	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x69e31e…
10-08 12:04:54	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x5fe444…
10-08 11:58:11	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x1503c9…
10-08 11:57:32	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x0c64e3…
10-08 11:55:02	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0xafd9cb…
10-08 11:48:57	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x14f003…
10-08 11:48:24	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	308	71¢	$218	0x8d401e…
10-08 11:42:20	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0xa119e1…
10-08 11:42:20	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x025f26…
10-08 11:26:42	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4145b0…
10-08 11:13:50	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xbb8e34…
10-08 11:13:21	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa91c8e…
10-08 11:12:21	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x506492…
10-08 11:08:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x6d73cc…
10-08 10:52:45	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x206c30…
10-08 10:49:47	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x83a9cb…
10-08 10:49:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0xbf02a7…
10-08 10:30:38	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	67	71¢	$48	0x73b2bf…
10-08 10:28:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x341821…
10-08 09:27:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,027	66¢	$678	0xea892a…
10-08 09:23:35	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0x63a02d…
10-08 09:08:17	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe67a42…
10-08 09:08:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x92e1fa…
10-08 09:05:20	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	92	71¢	$66	0x24800c…
10-08 08:48:02	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	276	71¢	$196	0x2c9291…
10-08 08:46:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	66¢	$254	0xc0242f…
09-29 17:36:30	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	254	98¢	$248	0xb6b842…
09-29 17:11:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,328	97¢	$3,216	0xbb8ef2…
09-29 17:11:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x778743…
09-28 21:48:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,036	98¢	$1,995	0x7aaed0…
09-28 19:39:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	70¢	$2,450	0x329909…
09-28 17:01:06	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	964	98¢	$945	0xb2e510…
09-27 15:56:59	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x1883ab…
09-27 15:12:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,007	97¢	$2,926	0xcaffd5…
09-26 04:50:03	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	545	96¢	$523	0xae46b9…
09-26 04:49:35	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x2e04f5…
09-24 23:30:57	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	634	94¢	$595	0x18f3ff…