Juvenile-Rosemary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

230

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$510

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-01 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

43% 6% -$3

Politics

32% 15% -$1

Crypto

18% 30% -$1

Tech

5% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Sports

1% 33% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-03 02:42
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-14 01:41
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 03:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-22 03:11
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 07:02
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-13 07:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:11
will pheu thai party pt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-29 07:56
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:09
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-23 02:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:08
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 03:20
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 08:00
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 01:53
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 01:53
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:07
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 01:48
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:29
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:40
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 01:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-21 01:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-01 02:57
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:53
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 01:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:12:23	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa12c8d…
08-01 07:03:20	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b04cc…
08-01 06:55:35	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeb9a07…
08-01 06:50:36	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x71cd5e…
07-31 03:25:20	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf48dec…
07-31 03:22:29	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a8a44…
07-31 03:12:32	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2c33de…
07-31 02:59:45	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ec789…
07-30 06:06:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x774e9a…
07-30 04:13:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2b0211…
07-30 03:41:51	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcf011c…
07-30 03:07:21	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9bd94b…
07-29 04:48:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8907bc…
07-29 04:30:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd545dd…
07-29 04:24:48	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x303471…
07-29 04:16:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x93386a…
07-28 04:14:28	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9f5092…
07-28 03:35:39	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xda5be8…
07-28 03:32:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0672cd…
07-28 03:23:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x818b3a…
07-27 02:53:24	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7fa773…
07-27 02:43:54	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x04ba42…
07-27 02:39:37	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd78c88…
07-27 02:34:15	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x359fb6…
07-25 04:22:31	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4d8497…
07-25 04:09:39	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0e55f6…
07-25 03:51:15	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdcb74f…
07-25 03:37:39	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8ef5d1…
07-24 04:02:28	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x311d99…
07-24 03:50:54	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2a2542…
07-24 03:42:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xdfe610…
07-24 03:22:52	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4a088e…
07-23 03:13:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5bbdab…
07-23 03:04:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2c0616…
07-23 03:02:25	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7ff705…
07-23 02:57:27	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9c4ab…
07-22 03:11:21	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9d5de1…
07-22 03:03:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24923e…
07-22 02:58:15	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x893867…
07-22 02:50:10	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x32c012…
07-21 02:58:42	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf836fe…
07-21 02:52:40	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfacc5e…
07-21 02:48:19	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbb6e64…
07-21 02:36:31	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf23d43…
07-20 04:52:40	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x39cfc3…
07-20 04:39:06	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x28a6f1…
07-20 04:34:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5e9ddf…
07-20 04:21:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x949d32…
07-18 04:35:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x74b0b8…
07-18 04:25:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1f6749…
07-18 04:01:04	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x6ad969…
07-18 03:52:57	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1b57b7…
07-18 03:46:15	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe17b58…
07-18 03:24:10	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb613e…
07-17 03:11:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d3477…
07-17 02:57:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f9c1e…
07-17 02:52:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf8338b…
07-17 02:45:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x33be84…
07-16 03:00:02	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbcda55…
07-16 02:41:13	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaedeb0…
07-16 02:37:35	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb3d5ce…
07-16 02:31:01	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfca477…
07-15 02:53:19	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1b3fa0…
07-15 02:45:35	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa6f4bb…
07-15 02:39:35	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a8ac8…
07-15 02:29:05	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64137c…
07-14 03:58:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x40d95c…
07-14 03:54:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdaa6cf…
07-14 03:50:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x24a286…
07-14 03:30:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9313e…
07-13 03:38:41	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaee794…
07-13 03:28:44	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9a6f33…
07-13 03:25:50	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x653799…
07-13 03:17:11	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x996d1f…
07-11 03:08:50	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6fdd2c…
07-11 03:02:14	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x23de32…
07-11 02:56:34	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe887c7…
07-11 02:52:44	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x325535…
07-10 03:36:44	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7dddbd…
07-10 03:13:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1fe264…
07-10 03:09:10	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9ab11f…
07-10 03:07:55	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x652db6…
07-09 03:13:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5859d7…
07-09 03:02:26	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x12a1d2…
07-09 02:46:46	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2bf7b4…
07-09 02:39:20	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x55570f…
07-08 03:20:52	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcbf70c…
07-08 03:16:05	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x603871…
07-08 03:10:25	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x501b54…
07-08 02:35:56	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbbd93d…
07-07 03:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6f3aa5…
07-07 03:32:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x754389…
07-07 03:24:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd17072…
07-07 03:16:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x23adb7…
07-06 03:09:55	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xa5f5ae…
07-06 02:59:52	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2ec654…
07-06 02:56:35	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x49a4a4…
07-06 02:47:53	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7840de…
07-04 02:54:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x141d60…
07-04 02:36:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b342d…