Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-22 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

48% 11% +$43

Other

45% 0% -$74

Sports

5% 0% -$15

Crypto

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+169	$18	6¢	$11	-$7	10-22 15:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+56	$5	8¢	$5	$0	10-21 19:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+45	$4	4¢	$2	-$3	06-15 13:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$100	142	94	+48	Yes	+$69	06-15 13:06
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	1	$37	1,288	0	+1,288	No	-$37	05-09 17:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$26	247	247	+0	open	—	09-11 06:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$18	169	0	+169	open	—	10-22 15:47
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$8	87	0	+87	No	-$8	04-25 07:00
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5	312	0	+312	Yes	-$5	04-25 06:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	10-21 19:24
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	96	0	+96	No	-$5	05-09 17:05
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	143	0	+143	No	-$5	05-09 17:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$5	71	0	+71	No	-$5	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	04-25 06:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	81	0	+81	Yes	-$5	06-15 13:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$4	45	0	+45	open	—	06-15 13:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$4	222	0	+222	No	-$4	06-19 21:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	206	0	+206	No	-$2	09-11 06:36
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	05-09 20:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$2	05-09 20:48
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	27	0	+27	No	-$2	07-05 13:01
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	1	$2	41	0	+41	No	-$2	06-15 13:10
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	1	$2	233	0	+233	No	-$2	06-15 13:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	1	$2	56	0	+56	Yes	-$2	06-15 13:07
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	07-05 13:00
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 17:07
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	07-05 13:00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 17:07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	05-09 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 17:06
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 17:07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 15:47:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcb1987…
10-21 19:24:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa968d1…
10-21 19:23:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	13¢	$13	0xf7b24a…
09-11 06:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0x8567b3…
09-11 06:36:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	206	1¢	$2	0x269143…
09-11 06:32:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xef902a…
09-11 06:32:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x216f09…
09-11 06:31:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	3¢	$6	0x2ca022…
07-05 13:02:31	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x30996c…
07-05 13:01:59	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xdc20b7…
07-05 13:01:35	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x14322e…
07-05 13:01:29	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xc67cac…
07-05 13:01:04	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x6b3bf2…
07-05 13:00:56	Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x469b43…
07-05 13:00:52	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x06b909…
07-05 13:00:31	Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9d1cb1…
06-19 21:05:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0x8f908c…
06-15 13:10:37	Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$2	0x98577d…
06-15 13:10:33	Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xbd4539…
06-15 13:07:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x075bff…
06-15 13:07:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x3256c3…
06-15 13:06:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x9c9be5…
06-15 13:04:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xa22847…
06-15 12:58:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	94	90¢	$84	0x84db88…
06-14 14:53:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	94	12¢	$11	0xd0bd66…
05-11 13:55:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1e5902…
05-11 13:55:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb5ae50…
05-11 13:54:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfa2084…
05-09 20:48:09	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b4d7a…
05-09 20:48:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9ccc24…
05-09 20:47:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9c35fc…
05-09 20:47:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f404e…
05-09 20:47:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x70584c…
05-09 20:47:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x123e00…
05-09 20:47:39	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xded9ea…
05-09 17:07:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f80b8…
05-09 17:07:30	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1eefe4…
05-09 17:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd4c6d4…
05-09 17:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x61b205…
05-09 17:07:20	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb9e894…
05-09 17:07:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7af3f8…
05-09 17:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c4bcb…
05-09 17:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc7b848…
05-09 17:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3483dc…
05-09 17:06:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x337ac1…
05-09 17:05:19	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xaf0f8f…
05-09 17:05:07	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xc826e2…
05-09 17:01:37	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,288	3¢	$37	0xc83f64…
05-09 17:00:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	8¢	$20	0xf971f1…
04-25 07:00:20	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0x89c47a…
04-25 06:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5af6ce…
04-25 06:05:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xd5e0fe…