Elementary-Pigpen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$220

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-10 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$14

Sports

15% 82% -$24

Politics

14% 0% -$2

Other

14% 92% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	$0	08-08 12:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$3.0K	1,521	1,521	+0	No	-$2	02-13 02:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	11	$2.1K	1,516	595	+921	No	+$1	02-12 14:30
bitcoin above 74k on february 20	1	$1.5K	1,546	0	+1,546	No	+$2	02-20 09:40
nba bkn cle 2026 02 19	2	$1.5K	1,546	0	+1,546	Cavaliers	+$2	02-20 01:34
ethereum above 2200 on february 16	1	$1.5K	1,541	0	+1,541	No	+$5	02-16 08:05
nba bkn okc 2026 02 20	1	$1.5K	1,538	0	+1,538	Thunder	+$6	02-21 03:16
will bitcoin reach 74k february 9 15	1	$1.5K	1,523	0	+1,523	No	+$2	02-16 01:20
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	1	$1.5K	1,509	0	+1,509	No	+$2	02-13 02:45
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 15	1	$1.5K	1,468	0	+1,468	No	+$1	02-14 01:35
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 18	1	$1.5K	1,462	0	+1,462	No	+$1	02-18 01:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	1	$1.2K	1,222	0	+1,222	No	+$1	02-19 01:08
solana above 120 on february 12	3	$594	595	0	+595	No	+$1	02-12 14:30
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	1	$315	316	0	+316	No	+$1	02-19 01:09
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	1	$313	314	0	+314	No	+$1	02-19 12:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 15	2	$130	65	65	+0	No	+$0	02-15 11:51
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$1	06-12 10:02
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 18	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-18 01:09
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	08-08 12:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$88	89	0	+89	No	+$1	09-10 13:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 0 19	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-12 13:36
nba den sas 2026 04 12	1	$40	49	0	+49	Nuggets	-$40	04-12 13:34
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 0 19	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-21 06:48
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 0 19	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-08 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-22 12:42
nba sac por 2026 04 12	1	$35	37	0	+37	Trail Blazers	+$2	04-12 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-16 13:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-22 12:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	03-08 13:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	02-21 01:29
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 0 19	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-17 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 13:47:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x35fed4…
09-10 13:32:19	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0abafc…
08-08 12:46:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdeca95…
08-08 12:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xac780e…
08-08 12:42:09	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fe2dd…
07-22 12:45:16	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x3968b3…
07-22 12:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9477a5…
07-22 12:42:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x977d13…
07-22 12:41:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2b12cc…
07-22 12:41:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x867f96…
06-12 10:02:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x6f7ed1…
06-12 08:49:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x2c206b…
06-12 08:48:37	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x05bb02…
06-12 08:48:22	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4b3a01…
06-12 08:32:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe68ef9…
05-30 14:00:11	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x528d50…
05-30 14:00:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbceb9…
05-30 13:59:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe47d0…
05-30 13:59:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0f8729…
05-30 13:59:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2fcf7e…
05-16 17:07:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xa02e32…
05-16 13:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x035263…
05-16 13:06:53	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ac840…
04-12 13:36:51	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 0 19	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x49e7d1…
04-12 13:36:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 420 439	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d67e3…
04-12 13:36:03	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ef46e…
04-12 13:35:49	nba sac por 2026 04 12	Trail Blazers	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x56d9df…
04-12 13:34:41	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Spurs	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xbcef92…
03-17 05:11:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb4d811…
03-17 05:11:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 0 19	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3e1024…
03-17 05:10:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x706df4…
03-17 05:10:41	nba phi den 2026 03 17	Nuggets	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3fdb29…
03-17 05:10:31	nba ind nyk 2026 03 17	Knicks	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x09237d…
03-08 13:51:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x1ce180…
03-08 13:51:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 20 39	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb1a55…
03-08 13:50:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 0 19	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x192318…
03-08 13:50:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb525d0…
02-26 06:14:44	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd58af6…
02-26 06:14:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x422cea…
02-26 06:14:12	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2449ae…
02-21 06:51:28	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x98f38b…
02-21 06:48:26	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 0 19	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x14d97e…
02-21 06:48:04	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x223295…
02-21 06:47:32	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf02020…
02-21 06:47:18	will bitcoin reach 78k february 16 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x37434f…
02-21 03:16:48	nba bkn okc 2026 02 20	Thunder	BUY	1,538	100¢	$1,532	0x1dd667…
02-21 01:29:20	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x355929…
02-20 09:40:14	bitcoin above 74k on february 20	No	BUY	1,546	100¢	$1,545	0x904a52…
02-20 08:25:00	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on february 20	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x155329…
02-20 01:34:30	nba bkn cle 2026 02 19	Cavaliers	BUY	1,543	100¢	$1,542	0x3c79d6…
02-20 01:22:54	xrp above 1pt1 on february 20	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb562b1…
02-19 12:15:58	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x5840ff…
02-19 12:09:46	nba bkn cle 2026 02 19	Cavaliers	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8cb614…
02-19 01:09:24	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	No	BUY	316	100¢	$315	0x2cab1e…
02-19 01:08:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,222	100¢	$1,221	0xde8486…
02-19 01:08:24	ethereum above 2600 on february 20	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x367cd6…
02-19 01:08:10	xrp above 1pt1 on february 19	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5b35f5…
02-18 01:09:15	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 18	No	BUY	1,462	100¢	$1,460	0xdf5807…
02-18 01:09:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x524f24…
02-16 08:05:01	ethereum above 2200 on february 16	No	BUY	1,541	100¢	$1,536	0x8393d9…
02-16 08:02:31	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on february 16	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60fff7…
02-16 08:00:43	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on february 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafdd5c…
02-16 01:20:33	will bitcoin reach 74k february 9 15	No	BUY	1,523	100¢	$1,522	0x8b996c…
02-16 01:20:05	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2fe33f…
02-15 11:51:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 15	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xa83f1c…
02-15 01:21:07	will xrp dip to 0pt9 february 9 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x73c25a…
02-14 01:35:59	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 15	No	BUY	1,468	100¢	$1,466	0xf60686…
02-14 01:35:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 15	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x4e9a95…
02-13 02:45:17	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	No	BUY	1,509	100¢	$1,508	0x27892e…
02-13 02:44:55	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d955b…
02-13 02:37:45	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,521	100¢	$1,518	0x753d8c…
02-13 01:28:27	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,521	100¢	$1,519	0xdf3cd3…
02-13 01:25:47	xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc4d734…
02-12 14:30:51	solana above 120 on february 12	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x38172a…
02-12 14:30:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa31244…
02-12 14:30:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa010fa…
02-12 14:30:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3f4242…
02-12 14:30:37	solana above 120 on february 12	No	BUY	466	100¢	$466	0xde71d6…
02-12 14:30:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	354	100¢	$353	0x10816d…
02-12 14:27:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd7f165…
02-12 14:24:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2603f7…
02-12 14:18:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3facd9…
02-12 14:09:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9f33…
02-12 14:08:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4aaa08…
02-12 14:07:41	solana above 120 on february 12	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x489cfa…
02-12 14:07:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xb9a010…
02-12 12:06:03	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt70 on february 12	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x382e42…
02-12 12:04:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	No	BUY	1,516	100¢	$1,514	0xe1d03c…
02-12 11:53:37	solana above 140 on february 14	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87f745…
02-12 11:53:11	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dc805…
02-12 11:52:57	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt70 on february 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x395bdc…
01-30 08:40:40	nba por nyk 2026 01 30	Knicks	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x78fbff…
01-30 08:40:28	nba sac bos 2026 01 30	Celtics	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1b6550…
01-30 08:40:20	nba lal was 2026 01 30	Lakers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xafbba9…
01-30 08:40:12	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 740plus	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x89d38a…
01-30 08:40:02	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 100 119	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x88b96d…