Realized P&L
-$63
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved
256
Trades
635
lifetime
Volume
$1.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$24
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-30 16:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
72% 34% -$8
Crypto
20% 31% -$75
Politics
7% 60% +$18
Sports
1% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +10 $4 38¢ $4 $0 10-04 14:07
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +20 $3 14¢ $3 $0 10-05 07:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $2 28¢ $3 +$1 10-14 13:10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 10-04 17:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $2 6¢ $2 -$1 10-05 13:59
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-04 17:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-05 07:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-04 17:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-04 17:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20 $2 6¢ $1 $0 10-05 14:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +10 $4 11¢ $1 -$3 10-02 09:14
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-04 17:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-01 02:36
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-26 17:35
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-12 12:45
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +24 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-09 01:21
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-05 07:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-26 17:13