Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
1
759 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10
$3.43K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$36
17 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 11-12 06:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
85% 34% -$230
Crypto
11% 31% -$75
Politics
4% 29% +$5
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? No +25 $10 40¢ $10 +$0 11-12 06:04
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No +20 $12 38¢ $8 -$4 10-04 17:46
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +10 $1 38¢ $4 +$3 10-26 17:35
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $6 3¢ $3 -$3 10-04 17:20
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +20 $3 10¢ $2 -$1 10-05 07:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-04 17:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-04 17:55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-04 17:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-04 17:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +10 $4 10¢ $1 -$3 10-02 09:14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +70 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-04 17:55
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-05 07:31
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-05 07:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 10-01 02:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 10-14 13:10
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +24 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-09 01:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-26 17:13