Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
39
lifetime
Volume
$98
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$35
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 06-14 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% 100% +$0
Politics
46%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No -12 $-11 84¢ $-10 +$1 06-02 15:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-0 06-14 22:14
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 06-10 23:24
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 +$0 06-10 23:23
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 07:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-14 21:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-12 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2 $-1 72¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 21:22