Stimulating-Wetsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$197

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-12 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

56% 24% -$131

Sports

25% 44% -$35

Politics

18% 24% -$23

Crypto

1% 40% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes		-2	-$2	20¢	$-0	+$1	04-28 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	90	$335	169	169	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 12:16
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	47	$119	505	453	+52	Lakers	-$18	05-01 23:07
Lightning vs. Canadiens	43	$101	292	159	+133	Lightning	+$94	04-27 01:15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$65	544	0	+544	No	-$65	05-03 04:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	14	$63	98	88	+10	Yes	+$7	04-30 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	19	$59	6,603	6,603	+0	No	-$20	04-28 12:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	14	$57	1,399	1,399	+0	No	-$1	04-27 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	11	$57	575	452	+123	No	-$1	04-29 23:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	18	$48	288	288	+0	No	+$2	04-27 08:21
Trump out as President before 2027?	11	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	04-30 09:20
Oilers vs. Ducks	13	$40	63	61	+2	Ducks	+$4	04-27 03:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$36	60	60	+0	No	$0	04-27 08:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	13	$33	157	157	+0	No	-$1	04-27 07:34
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?	8	$30	26	26	+0	No	$0	04-27 08:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	6	$29	34	33	+1	Yes	-$6	04-27 08:33
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?	8	$25	33	18	+15	No	+$6	05-01 05:05
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Akira Santillan	20	$24	23,800	0	+23,800	Mark Lajal	-$24	04-27 07:39
Will ENPPI win on 2026-04-27?	5	$21	76	74	+2	No	-$2	04-27 08:21
Will Zamalek SC vs. ENPPI end in a draw?	8	$19	35	34	+1	Yes	$0	04-27 08:21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	8	$18	40	0	+40	Chicago Cubs	-$18	05-01 12:30
nhl las car 2026 06 11	1	$16	162	0	+162	Hurricanes	-$16	06-12 02:03
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-26?	4	$15	15,200	0	+15,200	No	-$15	04-27 04:55
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-04-27?	3	$15	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-27 06:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 02:02
Lakers vs. Rockets	12	$14	14,280	0	+14,280	Rockets	-$14	04-27 07:37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	4	$14	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 08:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$12	169	0	+169	No	-$10	05-07 07:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$12	33	5	+28	No	-$3	05-07 08:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	6	$12	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-28 12:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	7	$11	26	0	+26	Yes	-$7	05-08 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:03:01	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Golden Knights	BUY	162	10¢	$16	0xcc2426…
06-12 02:02:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xb10eb2…
06-12 02:02:33	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x851739…
06-12 02:02:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x6a0ffe…
06-12 02:02:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x32d343…
05-11 17:17:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x7ee7f5…
05-10 15:27:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb519ae…
05-10 15:27:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc3a834…
05-10 15:25:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6d6ac9…
05-10 15:25:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x522c5a…
05-10 15:25:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x81fca3…
05-08 02:23:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe4fcb8…
05-08 02:18:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbdbaa6…
05-08 01:36:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd2d114…
05-08 01:15:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9d11e6…
05-08 01:10:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x669b21…
05-08 01:09:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xa76227…
05-08 01:00:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xcebef1…
05-07 08:10:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x63f117…
05-07 07:35:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa8a6d…
05-07 07:33:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe5b45b…
05-07 07:20:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x117e9c…
05-07 07:16:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xc40608…
05-07 07:06:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1ddcb2…
05-07 07:05:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8bb403…
05-07 04:24:38	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16e50e…
05-07 00:24:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xf49ca5…
05-07 00:08:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x7a2499…
05-06 09:13:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcca9cf…
05-06 09:12:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x836135…
05-06 04:29:26	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0xfb5817…
05-04 21:30:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4f9cbd…
05-04 21:30:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x08d60e…
05-03 17:56:06	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x0794fc…
05-03 17:34:06	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc26c5c…
05-03 17:08:10	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xe02191…
05-03 17:07:10	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x06666c…
05-03 04:35:58	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	339	15¢	$50	0xa005d8…
05-02 15:31:58	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x5dcecb…
05-02 15:31:56	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x9d6fcc…
05-02 15:05:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x5c4a6a…
05-02 00:33:16	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0xa4caf4…
05-01 23:07:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x9f70fe…
05-01 23:07:34	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	205	7¢	$15	0x2fa345…
05-01 22:26:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3b3f73…
05-01 14:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbdae56…
05-01 14:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x9e396d…
05-01 14:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x3a4285…
05-01 12:30:50	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4ff547…
05-01 12:30:48	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfcaac8…
05-01 12:26:30	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe0532c…
05-01 12:20:18	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x021761…
05-01 12:20:16	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd6eb75…
05-01 12:08:26	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x66ee82…
05-01 11:40:22	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1bc9d4…
05-01 11:39:16	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0e9552…
05-01 07:14:36	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3cae2d…
05-01 05:05:24	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x1ee7c3…
05-01 00:01:12	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-02?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0e50b8…
04-30 23:10:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d44c7…
04-30 20:08:36	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe169da…
04-30 17:22:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88097b…
04-30 14:05:26	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23529e…
04-30 11:07:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc00ac1…
04-30 09:20:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0x43423b…
04-30 09:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x0d575a…
04-30 06:15:24	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5add9e…
04-30 04:53:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x362103…
04-30 04:15:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1aadf…
04-30 04:15:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x291753…
04-30 04:15:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1e25f3…
04-30 04:15:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x84308d…
04-30 03:42:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1c6a29…
04-30 03:41:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x17f014…
04-30 03:41:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x4e2af4…
04-30 03:39:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x49486d…
04-30 03:39:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xef70c8…
04-30 03:38:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf8cb19…
04-30 03:37:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1331e4…
04-30 03:31:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xca1f68…
04-30 03:13:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x417ba7…
04-30 01:33:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x1d3cd5…
04-30 01:15:56	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc5f6d6…
04-30 00:40:14	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9ef18b…
04-30 00:18:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2699ed…
04-30 00:11:40	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xef93cd…
04-30 00:01:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0x7f56c9…
04-30 00:01:30	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0a4f8…
04-29 23:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x72834c…
04-29 23:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	109	5¢	$5	0x49ecb4…
04-29 22:13:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f8bda…
04-29 19:45:24	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc07394…
04-29 18:34:00	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x387805…
04-29 18:25:34	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd044f5…
04-29 18:25:32	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa48fb6…
04-29 13:39:48	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5803e4…
04-29 13:39:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$2	0xff17fd…
04-29 13:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0x81f942…
04-29 13:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0x7d6350…
04-29 13:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$2	0x4aa1b8…