Realized P&L (30d)
-$798
Unrealized P&L
+$384
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved (30d)
227
Trades (30d)
996
17,652 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$29.1K
$553.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$4.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-08 02:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Other
81% 65% -$520
Crypto
17% 90% +$206
Politics
1% 71% +$325
Sports
1% 65% +$114
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 2251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? No +1,132 $917 84¢ $945 +$28 11-06 14:52
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +496 $435 96¢ $477 +$42 09-22 14:17
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +568 $275 80¢ $455 +$180 11-03 10:32
Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? No +414 $345 98¢ $405 +$60 10-18 09:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $290 82¢ $326 +$36 10-26 09:16
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? No +401 $275 68¢ $273 -$2 11-08 02:08
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +999 $168 24¢ $240 +$72 09-06 16:57
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +268 $134 81¢ $217 +$83 10-18 00:29
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +244 $210 76¢ $187 -$23 08-28 11:15
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +109 $85 94¢ $102 +$17 10-19 14:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +278 $133 34¢ $94 -$39 10-17 21:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $71 94¢ $94 +$23 10-27 19:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $77 82¢ $82 +$6 08-25 14:15
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? No +80 $63 92¢ $73 +$10 10-16 04:59
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +98 $66 74¢ $73 +$7 10-13 06:57
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +75 $44 80¢ $60 +$15 10-27 19:33
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? Yes +104 $68 52¢ $54 -$14 10-27 19:33
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? No +104 $58 48¢ $50 -$8 10-10 00:17
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +53 $38 90¢ $47 +$10 10-19 08:38
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? Yes +907 $124 4¢ $41 -$83 11-05 02:09
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $39 76¢ $38 -$1 10-08 18:19
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +156 $27 24¢ $37 +$9 10-29 13:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? Yes +404 $50 8¢ $34 -$16 11-04 05:59
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? Yes +46 $43 64¢ $29 -$14 11-06 09:58
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? No +31 $22 80¢ $25 +$3 11-04 02:02
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? No +29 $16 73¢ $21 +$5 10-30 02:20
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +51 $18 36¢ $19 +$0 11-03 20:36
will microsoft launch a muse like personal agent before 2027 No +25 $20 67¢ $17 -$3 10-08 23:54
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +75 $33 20¢ $15 -$17 10-09 23:02
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Yes +25 $16 58¢ $14 -$1 10-10 19:03