Realized P&L (90d)
+$385
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,869
Trades (90d)
15,479
17,519 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$447.0K
$551.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$3.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-06 12:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
82% 65% -$21
Crypto
17% 90% +$206
Politics
1% 71% +$325
Sports
1% 64% +$107
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 2251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +496 $435 96¢ $477 +$42 09-22 14:17
Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? No +414 $345 97¢ $403 +$58 10-18 09:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $290 78¢ $311 +$21 10-26 09:16
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +568 $275 42¢ $241 -$33 11-03 10:32
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? No +540 $369 42¢ $227 -$142 11-01 08:07
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes — +999 $168 21¢ $210 +$42 09-06 16:57
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +244 $210 84¢ $205 -$5 08-28 11:15
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +268 $134 63¢ $169 +$35 10-18 00:29
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? No +201 $141 74¢ $148 +$7 11-06 07:32
Sweden snap election called in 2026? No +126 $95 86¢ $108 +$13 11-05 14:26
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +109 $85 94¢ $102 +$17 10-19 14:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +278 $133 34¢ $94 -$39 10-17 21:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $71 92¢ $92 +$21 10-27 19:33
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +479 $58 18¢ $84 +$26 11-06 11:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $77 80¢ $80 +$3 08-25 14:15
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +98 $66 74¢ $73 +$7 10-13 06:57
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? No +80 $63 91¢ $73 +$10 10-16 04:59
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? No +83 $46 64¢ $53 +$7 11-01 14:28
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? Yes +104 $68 50¢ $52 -$15 10-27 19:33
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? No +104 $58 50¢ $51 -$6 10-10 00:17
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? Yes +907 $124 6¢ $50 -$74 11-05 02:09
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +53 $38 90¢ $48 +$10 10-19 08:38
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +75 $44 64¢ $48 +$3 10-27 19:33
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No +101 $70 44¢ $44 -$26 10-22 15:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? No +50 $41 78¢ $39 -$2 11-04 03:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? Yes +404 $50 10¢ $38 -$12 11-04 05:59
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +156 $27 24¢ $38 +$11 10-29 13:23
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $39 76¢ $38 -$1 10-08 18:19
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? Yes +46 $43 77¢ $35 -$8 11-06 09:58
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +75 $33 36¢ $27 -$5 10-09 23:02