Realized P&L (90d)
-$996
Unrealized P&L
+$262
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved (90d)
1,816
Trades (90d)
15,370
17,577 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$438.8K
$553.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$5.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-09 05:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
81% 65% -$520
Crypto
17% 90% +$206
Politics
1% 71% +$325
Sports
1% 64% +$110
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 2251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? No +1,132 $917 83¢ $940 +$22 11-06 14:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? No +577 $537 94¢ $545 +$9 11-08 16:11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +496 $435 97¢ $482 +$47 09-22 14:17
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +500 $390 82¢ $408 +$18 09-05 22:20
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +568 $275 72¢ $406 +$131 11-03 10:32
Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? No +414 $345 98¢ $405 +$60 10-18 09:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $290 73¢ $294 +$4 10-26 09:16
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +999 $168 23¢ $230 +$62 09-06 16:57
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? No +419 $283 49¢ $205 -$78 11-09 05:42
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +268 $134 76¢ $205 +$71 10-18 00:29
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +244 $210 78¢ $190 -$20 08-28 11:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +278 $133 39¢ $109 -$24 10-17 21:34
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +109 $85 94¢ $102 +$17 10-19 14:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $71 94¢ $94 +$23 10-27 19:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $77 82¢ $82 +$6 08-25 14:15
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +98 $66 82¢ $80 +$15 10-13 06:57
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +416 $102 18¢ $77 -$25 09-07 03:01
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? No +80 $63 91¢ $73 +$10 10-16 04:59
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +75 $44 80¢ $60 +$15 10-27 19:33
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $41 60¢ $60 +$18 08-25 14:32
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? Yes +104 $68 52¢ $54 -$14 10-27 19:33
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? No +104 $58 48¢ $50 -$8 10-10 00:17
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +53 $38 88¢ $47 +$9 10-19 08:38
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $39 80¢ $40 +$1 10-08 18:19
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? Yes +46 $43 78¢ $36 -$7 11-06 09:58
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +156 $27 20¢ $32 +$5 10-29 13:23
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? Yes +907 $124 3¢ $31 -$93 11-05 02:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? Yes +404 $50 8¢ $30 -$20 11-04 05:59
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? No +31 $22 80¢ $25 +$3 11-04 02:02
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? No +29 $16 75¢ $22 +$6 10-30 02:20