Realized P&L (7d)
-$184
Unrealized P&L
+$157
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved (7d)
35
Trades (7d)
138
17,572 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.92K
$550.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.54K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-04 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
82% 65% -$21
Crypto
17% 90% +$206
Politics
1% 70% +$319
Sports
1% 64% +$107
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 2251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +496 $435 96¢ $476 +$41 09-22 14:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $290 70¢ $278 -$12 10-26 09:16
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +268 $134 68¢ $181 +$47 10-18 00:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +278 $133 43¢ $119 -$14 10-17 21:34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? Yes +404 $50 26¢ $103 +$53 11-04 05:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $71 83¢ $83 +$12 10-27 19:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $77 83¢ $83 +$6 08-25 14:15
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +47 $46 99¢ $47 +$0 11-04 23:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? No +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$5 11-04 03:00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 +$0 10-08 18:19
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +156 $27 22¢ $34 +$6 10-29 13:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $30 17¢ $17 -$13 10-08 17:24
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? Yes +80 $18 16¢ $13 -$4 10-31 19:54
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 10-21 09:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +4 -$43 88¢ $4 +$47 11-02 00:37
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? Yes +28 $15 12¢ $3 -$12 11-04 22:45
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +29 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 10-01 09:53
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 08-25 16:46