Realized P&L
+$229
Unrealized P&L
+$350
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved
2,917
Trades
17,786
lifetime
Volume
$557.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$4.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 11-14 15:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
81% 65% -$567
Crypto
17% 90% +$368
Politics
1% 70% +$318
Sports
1% 64% +$110
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +682 $358 74¢ $501 +$143 11-13 14:58
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +496 $435 97¢ $482 +$47 09-22 14:17
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +500 $390 81¢ $405 +$15 09-05 22:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $290 79¢ $317 +$27 10-26 09:16
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +250 $223 97¢ $243 +$19 09-03 06:38
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +999 $168 22¢ $215 +$47 09-06 16:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +225 $206 92¢ $208 +$2 11-13 17:03
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? Yes +200 $189 95¢ $190 +$1 11-13 09:04
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +244 $210 78¢ $189 -$21 08-28 11:15
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +268 $134 64¢ $172 +$38 10-18 00:29
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +109 $85 97¢ $106 +$21 10-19 14:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +278 $133 36¢ $101 -$33 10-17 21:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $71 97¢ $97 +$26 10-27 19:33
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +98 $66 96¢ $94 +$28 10-13 06:57
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $77 85¢ $85 +$8 08-25 14:15
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +416 $102 19¢ $79 -$23 09-07 03:01
Modi out by June 30, 2027? No +75 $61 90¢ $67 +$6 10-10 11:59
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $41 65¢ $65 +$24 08-25 14:32
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? No +75 $44 76¢ $57 +$12 10-27 19:33
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? Yes +104 $68 54¢ $56 -$12 10-27 19:33
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +53 $38 98¢ $52 +$14 10-19 08:38
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026? No +50 $42 97¢ $49 +$7 10-09 19:28
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? No +104 $58 46¢ $48 -$9 10-10 00:17
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $39 96¢ $48 +$9 10-08 18:19
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? Yes +46 $43 66¢ $30 -$13 11-06 09:58
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +51 $18 37¢ $19 +$0 11-03 20:36
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +75 $33 24¢ $18 -$14 10-09 23:02
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? No +25 $34 72¢ $18 -$15 10-27 19:33
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in November? No +16 $14 93¢ $15 +$1 11-10 08:44
will microsoft launch a muse like personal agent before 2027 No +25 $20 56¢ $14 -$6 10-08 23:54