Vengeful-Plough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

920

lifetime

Volume

$120.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-30 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

32% 0% $-166

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No		-49	$-58	79¢	$-38	+$19	06-26 14:02
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes		-30	$-1	2¢	$-1	+$0	06-09 05:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$13.0K	12,900	12,900	+0	open	—	05-23 04:23
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	8	$8.0K	6,643	2,000	+4,643	open	—	06-23 04:40
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22 spread home 11pt5	10	$7.5K	11,641	3,641	+8,000	open	—	03-21 18:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	47	$6.6K	36,495	30,562	+5,933	open	—	05-24 05:17
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	31	$5.7K	6,694	4,694	+2,000	open	—	03-17 16:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	32	$4.9K	3,097	3,097	+0	open	—	05-08 01:59
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19 total 151pt5	8	$4.7K	4,454	5,000	-547	open	—	03-19 09:31
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22 total 147pt5	26	$4.6K	4,561	4,561	+0	open	—	03-22 15:29
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	32	$4.3K	4,351	4,351	+0	open	—	03-08 11:13
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22 spread home 10pt5	69	$3.9K	3,963	3,963	+0	open	—	03-22 23:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-25 12:29
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	8	$3.6K	3,422	3,422	+0	open	—	03-27 13:13
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 13 689 255	2	$3.1K	2,539	635	+1,904	open	—	03-08 07:36
James Comey arrested by May 15?	20	$3.0K	2,358	2,358	+0	open	—	04-29 11:47
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	7	$2.9K	1,626	1,626	+0	open	—	03-06 13:17
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	2	$2.8K	3,307	0	+3,307	open	—	05-25 13:16
cbb txam stmry 2026 03 19 spread home 2pt5	7	$2.5K	2,642	2,642	+0	open	—	03-19 12:10
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	14	$2.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-27 14:54
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-17 15:41
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	10	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$-80	05-08 05:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-23 16:19
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$1.7K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	03-25 16:09
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	35	$1.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-29 10:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-11 02:37
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	10	$1.2K	763	763	+0	open	—	06-30 17:02
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$1.2K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	03-02 09:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	3	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	03-07 20:32
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	102	$1.1K	27,596	27,626	-30	open	—	06-09 05:21
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	6	$1.1K	1,058	70	+988	open	—	06-22 15:03
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	4	$1.1K	2,157	2,157	+0	open	—	03-18 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:02:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	421	89¢	$375	0x16c25a…
06-30 15:47:56	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb10000…
06-30 12:07:26	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x63ae31…
06-30 08:38:26	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xb7e696…
06-30 07:55:11	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa067a3…
06-30 07:49:17	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	250	89¢	$222	0xbfd721…
06-30 07:24:43	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x695914…
06-30 06:24:14	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x7b6de9…
06-30 06:13:37	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x55b652…
06-27 06:59:52	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	66	49¢	$32	0x898e73…
06-27 06:57:50	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	99	48¢	$48	0x9dea62…
06-26 20:41:07	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x37322c…
06-26 20:16:49	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x885e39…
06-26 14:02:39	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	193	90¢	$173	0x1d7a96…
06-26 13:49:13	will googl dip to 335 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	364	14¢	$52	0xc823ed…
06-25 14:27:11	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x5c22cb…
06-23 04:40:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4636a5…
06-22 20:03:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x60767b…
06-22 19:58:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x0a8857…
06-22 18:33:05	will googl dip to 320 in june 2026	No	BUY	265	85¢	$225	0xe31bf2…
06-22 18:31:05	will googl dip to 335 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	364	65¢	$236	0x7f08a4…
06-22 17:31:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x52024b…
06-22 15:03:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	375	97¢	$363	0xc0a667…
06-22 14:52:19	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x79f560…
06-22 14:34:50	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0xeb1253…
06-22 14:34:49	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	332	97¢	$321	0xd24396…
06-22 11:43:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	600	94¢	$564	0x6dda34…
06-21 22:43:08	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x4b8af3…
06-21 02:22:32	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,500	3¢	$45	0x071080…
06-21 01:50:11	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,500	3¢	$45	0xc67a36…
06-20 15:38:29	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x00884c…
06-20 15:12:28	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	344	45¢	$155	0x8d2dfa…
06-20 11:05:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	31	96¢	$29	0xb0b3b6…
06-20 11:04:47	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x82f2e1…
06-19 17:07:52	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x8162c2…
06-19 15:58:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xbcad92…
06-19 15:58:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x0006d1…
06-19 15:58:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x7a0709…
06-19 15:58:04	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xdf3284…
06-19 15:57:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	198	96¢	$190	0xe3089c…
06-19 11:08:43	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x58d80f…
06-19 04:56:56	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	280	94¢	$264	0x3fc6e7…
06-18 14:33:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x74a44a…
06-17 12:00:56	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	763	73¢	$557	0xd085e5…
06-17 08:38:11	meta up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x92d3dd…
06-17 08:17:04	amzn up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x8db783…
06-17 08:13:44	googl up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x476081…
06-17 08:12:10	amzn up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xfb5be9…
06-17 08:10:41	aapl up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0b7628…
06-17 08:05:20	meta up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb57586…
06-17 07:53:28	aapl up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x4b383e…
06-17 07:46:32	aapl up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9a0434…
06-17 07:28:05	googl up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe6357d…
06-17 07:18:52	aapl up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x445701…
06-17 05:42:13	amzn up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x91760a…
06-17 05:33:02	amzn up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x06a7ba…
06-16 03:19:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xdccc48…
06-16 03:19:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x90aafe…
06-16 03:19:19	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	523	94¢	$491	0x926dde…
06-15 17:11:33	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x9043a7…
06-15 14:29:15	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x26b997…
06-15 12:20:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	805	2¢	$16	0x87b64e…
06-15 12:15:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x1a22e2…
06-15 12:12:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa1231b…
06-15 12:12:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x727e27…
06-15 12:07:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xd26a34…
06-15 12:07:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3b5d87…
06-15 12:07:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x279d80…
06-15 12:07:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xef7849…
06-15 12:07:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xdb7d81…
06-15 12:07:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x317814…
06-15 12:07:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x794193…
06-15 10:03:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0x584a90…
06-15 09:31:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0dbe5d…
06-15 09:24:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	179	2¢	$4	0x05dd9a…
06-15 09:23:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	635	2¢	$13	0xf8e5c4…
06-14 17:13:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$46	0x458a4e…
06-14 16:55:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xa2d98a…
06-14 16:06:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	372	4¢	$16	0x6103d5…
06-14 16:06:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7bda86…
06-14 15:52:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	578	4¢	$25	0x91340c…
06-14 11:56:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x86c04f…
06-14 11:49:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$44	0x5acbe1…
06-14 09:03:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$56	0x8c2575…
06-13 15:39:13	francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	No	SELL	60	57¢	$34	0x791176…
06-13 14:14:10	francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x92895d…
06-12 13:29:09	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd68f80…
06-12 13:26:15	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74e429…
06-12 13:20:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x798c38…
06-12 13:19:46	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x0a4fc6…
06-12 13:08:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x7b8a0c…
06-12 13:07:34	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x94f723…
06-12 04:13:01	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xad8359…
06-12 03:39:15	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x4970eb…
06-12 02:33:22	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x61bc3b…
06-11 17:09:54	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x3d01a3…
06-11 17:09:52	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xa1ca39…
06-11 17:07:19	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xa3897f…
06-11 17:02:03	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x29230a…
06-11 16:43:33	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9fbe1c…