Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

100

915 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$151

$5.67K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 11-14 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

61% 28% -$368

Politics

25% 27% -$103

Crypto

6% 45% -$41

Tech

6% 27% -$4

Sports

1% 33% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another frontier math problem solved by september 30 2026 20260810094910132	25	$286	340	300	+40	Yes	-$16	08-16 18:05
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?	12	$181	113	113	+0	Yes	-$1	08-17 21:38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	20	$115	185	185	+0	Yes	-$20	08-19 15:16
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	08-16 05:17
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	9	$102	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-15 07:19
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	15	$89	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	08-23 19:43
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?	6	$73	80	80	+0	open	—	08-19 21:05
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?	14	$73	77	77	+0	No	-$6	08-15 07:35
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	7	$71	80	80	+0	open	—	08-15 07:19
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	8	$66	71	71	+0	No	-$4	08-17 16:35
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	3	$66	40	40	+0	Yes	-$5	08-19 11:00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	5	$66	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	08-18 02:52
will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	24	$64	57	57	+0	No	$0	08-20 05:42
pikachu ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817111	3	$64	40	40	+0	Under	-$9	08-15 14:04
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	9	$57	55	55	-0	open	—	08-17 16:35
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Katerina Siniakova	4	$56	333	167	+167	Naomi Osaka	-$4	09-03 17:04
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	5	$53	60	60	+0	No	-$17	08-15 07:19
Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	8	$53	80	80	+0	open	—	08-18 02:00
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	3	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	08-23 19:43
Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?	3	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	08-17 16:35
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	5	$52	60	60	+0	No	-$5	08-26 09:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	4	$51	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-15 07:18
Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?	6	$50	60	60	+0	Yes	-$17	08-18 05:25
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	7	$49	43	43	+0	open	—	08-15 07:20
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	3	$49	40	40	+0	No	-$3	08-12 17:17
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	6	$48	60	60	+0	Yes	-$6	08-23 05:30
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	3	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	08-16 18:05
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	9	$47	85	85	+0	Yes	-$4	08-19 14:35
Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	4	$42	40	40	+0	Yes	-$8	08-20 19:10
us iran hormuz agreement by september 30	4	$42	40	40	+0	No	-$8	08-19 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 10:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfce0ba…
11-14 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x41a298…
11-14 08:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc7f20e…
11-14 08:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd65625…
11-14 08:20:22	Will Chase Infiniti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x5f1eab…
11-14 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfde30b…
11-14 07:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3a851e…
11-13 20:38:06	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xbc343d…
11-13 17:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd4a0e2…
11-13 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x380bd3…
11-13 17:24:24	Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x69c054…
11-13 17:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaeedfb…
11-13 17:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xae13a8…
11-13 17:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6516e4…
11-13 15:43:06	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xb08867…
11-13 15:42:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd1f9e3…
11-13 15:42:46	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x283e1b…
11-13 15:42:36	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x6c46f4…
11-13 15:42:27	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x70ac83…
11-13 15:42:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x03fe53…
11-13 15:41:51	Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x1b961d…
11-13 15:41:37	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x55cc81…
11-13 15:41:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xb99903…
11-13 15:41:16	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xab13df…
11-13 15:41:01	Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xa29237…
11-13 15:40:46	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8a8d19…
11-13 15:39:57	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3db7ce…
11-13 15:39:48	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xb09ef7…
11-13 15:39:34	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xcbbc95…
11-13 15:39:21	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf91de9…
11-13 15:38:58	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7b5d57…
11-13 15:38:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1a7db1…
11-13 15:38:34	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x60a4f7…
11-13 15:38:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xedc423…
11-13 15:38:06	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x923e58…
11-13 15:37:48	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x68afa9…
11-13 15:37:36	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc1c4e4…
11-13 15:37:19	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x4de6b1…
11-13 15:37:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x0dafc1…
11-13 15:36:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xe232ca…
11-13 13:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3c05f1…
11-13 13:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xdd5d52…
11-13 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb334c5…
11-13 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x980c6a…
11-13 12:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa504bb…
11-13 12:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbcce6c…
11-13 11:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x79b6db…
11-13 11:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x095e5c…
11-13 11:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x738a71…
11-13 11:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd48634…
11-13 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x51a153…
11-13 10:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x327040…
11-13 10:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7985b6…
11-13 10:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x32760e…
11-13 10:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x93625b…
11-13 10:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9f4f5e…
11-13 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaf21e9…
11-13 09:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa7be22…
11-13 09:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfcdf20…
11-13 09:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7e909b…
11-13 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x18e519…
11-13 08:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd42b0d…
11-13 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x32acb1…
11-13 08:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x001073…
11-13 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x70696d…
11-13 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x28c04b…
11-13 08:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa02177…
11-13 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaffb1d…
11-13 08:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd0387d…
10-29 13:11:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x884aee…
10-28 00:14:24	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x320441…
10-27 11:51:14	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x535cf2…
10-27 10:37:38	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe53867…
10-26 21:32:20	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3bfb5f…
10-26 20:48:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x79dc26…
10-26 17:41:51	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2fa98e…
10-26 17:33:03	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x651eb9…
10-26 16:56:09	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x40359f…
10-26 14:50:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xe5a230…
10-25 20:03:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb80818…
10-25 19:35:11	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xa6b48a…
10-25 19:11:32	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc8521d…
10-25 19:07:33	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1dc6c0…
10-25 14:39:45	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8149aa…
10-23 23:18:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x82ef70…
10-23 22:11:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcd92f2…
10-23 19:31:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4d4fad…
10-23 19:10:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x987053…
10-23 17:22:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa4c011…
10-23 13:44:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf478e7…
10-23 13:21:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x12338d…
10-23 12:45:21	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x80107a…
10-23 09:50:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf19602…
10-23 08:20:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xecc930…
10-23 08:19:41	Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x90860d…
10-22 20:02:38	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x007133…
10-22 17:04:32	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc082d2…
10-22 16:44:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xcd166c…
10-22 16:42:20	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5cb46c…
10-22 14:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdb8bc1…