Realized P&L (7d)
-$53
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
3.7%
Resolved (7d)
26
Trades (7d)
0
846 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$5.58K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$45
28 positions
First seen
2026-07-31
last 10-29 13:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
62% 29% -$346
Politics
26% 29% -$98
Crypto
6% 52% -$30
Tech
5% 27% -$4
Sports
1% 33% -$23
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +4 $2 83¢ $3 +$1 09-13 16:59
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$1 09-12 14:13
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +8 $2 34¢ $3 +$1 10-22 17:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 10-22 16:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +4 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 09-15 07:17
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 10-22 16:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-23 23:18
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 73¢ $2 +$0 10-23 08:19
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 10-25 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 10-25 20:03
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-25 19:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-19 05:16
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 09-12 03:08
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +3 $2 73¢ $2 $0 10-26 17:33
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 10-27 11:51
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 10-22 20:02
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? Yes — +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 09-14 11:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6 $2 17¢ $1 -$1 09-16 19:05
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 21¢ $1 -$1 09-12 12:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +57 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-18 21:25
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 19¢ $1 -$1 09-14 22:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +7 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 09-11 12:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 09-11 23:25
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 09-17 14:12
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +27 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-25 19:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +4 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-29 13:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +7 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-22 14:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +7 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-23 22:11