Healthy-Creation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

678

Trades

712

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$61

12 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-30 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Politics

52% 88% -$90

Other

47% 94% -$6

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	No	+6	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	10-16 04:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+6	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	10-16 06:10
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-16 10:25
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	09-21 21:40
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	09-27 22:40
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-15 07:10
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-16 04:40
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-01 19:10
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-08 00:55
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	09-22 20:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	10-16 02:10
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	No	+5	$5	81¢	$4	-$1	10-16 06:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$23	16	11	+5	No	-$2	06-11 18:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 00:27
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-18 00:27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-18 00:27
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-18 00:27
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-17 05:10
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	2	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-18 00:27
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 00:27
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	06-01 00:09
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	06-04 15:09
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	-$1	06-12 19:39
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	-$2	06-15 19:54
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	-$2	06-14 21:54
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$3	06-01 00:09
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	-$4	06-16 07:39
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-30 23:10
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-16 04:40
will there be houthi military action against israel by september 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-18 07:40
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-26 05:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-04 06:10
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-01 09:10
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-16 10:25
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-18 07:55
russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-05 11:40
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-08 18:40
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-20 18:25
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-15 06:10
houthis seize an oil tanker by september 15 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-12 07:55
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-07 09:55
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-16 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:10:27	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf417a3…
10-30 02:40:28	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc8d14…
10-29 19:10:30	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa702de…
10-29 19:10:30	Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5ec114…
10-28 20:10:34	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x46da8c…
10-27 13:10:29	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x73f635…
10-27 04:25:26	Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4d4ec6…
10-27 04:10:26	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b1d46…
10-27 03:10:27	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe1e53a…
10-27 03:10:27	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0236c3…
10-26 05:40:26	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2daaee…
10-26 05:40:24	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa351f8…
10-26 05:10:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa4c870…
10-23 12:40:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x20e311…
10-22 18:55:26	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaf96a8…
10-22 14:10:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd517fc…
10-22 14:10:26	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1154f9…
10-21 15:10:26	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8e0710…
10-20 22:55:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2e9605…
10-20 19:55:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa64d9f…
10-20 19:55:32	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x39f5af…
10-20 18:25:32	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4215ec…
10-20 18:25:30	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfca887…
10-20 18:25:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xca6f63…
10-20 18:25:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x490c06…
10-20 18:25:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x187371…
10-20 13:40:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xaacc21…
10-19 00:40:21	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb454ba…
10-18 12:55:26	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbd4e43…
10-18 09:10:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x38ba4f…
10-18 09:10:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x10ece8…
10-18 08:55:21	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0e83b9…
10-16 15:40:25	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x506e0c…
10-16 15:40:24	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe45985…
10-16 14:55:24	Will United Torah Judaism win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x539543…
10-16 13:40:25	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5b917c…
10-16 10:25:24	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x12f981…
10-16 09:25:25	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9df40d…
10-16 08:40:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd5d544…
10-16 07:55:24	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5f5501…
10-16 07:25:25	will iran target an arab country by october 22 2026 20261015	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x289bae…
10-16 06:10:24	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb037ff…
10-16 06:10:22	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x840809…
10-16 04:40:24	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe041a8…
10-16 04:40:24	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa0a3a0…
10-16 03:55:24	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x138c55…
10-16 02:10:22	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x51701a…
10-15 07:55:23	Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x05c6f0…
10-15 07:10:23	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x809856…
10-14 14:55:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb9fac5…
10-14 14:55:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8d9d30…
10-14 14:55:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4ff6e6…
10-13 11:40:26	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4c1812…
10-12 20:55:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf335d5…
10-12 04:40:18	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f2a11…
10-11 17:25:24	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc99564…
10-11 14:10:22	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8a1eac…
10-10 20:40:24	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc70883…
10-10 19:25:27	Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf33e09…
10-10 18:55:25	Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa5daf9…
10-10 18:25:30	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc9e2e0…
10-10 12:25:28	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1c4208…
10-10 05:55:19	Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7e0533…
10-10 03:55:19	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9dbde8…
10-09 23:55:17	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x577df0…
10-09 13:10:21	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc2085a…
10-09 11:55:24	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x78674b…
10-09 07:25:21	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa0ba58…
10-08 23:10:23	Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xa910b1…
10-08 18:40:27	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdc3492…
10-08 18:40:27	Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcc45be…
10-08 18:40:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x693ca7…
10-08 12:25:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6b5de3…
10-08 07:40:21	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x363673…
10-08 00:55:20	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6880b6…
10-07 17:55:24	Will Lukáš Hegner be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x527069…
10-07 13:10:31	Houthis enter Aden by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e9bdb…
10-07 09:55:24	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1bdb41…
10-06 21:55:21	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf90755…
10-06 17:55:24	Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1cfcf0…
10-06 15:40:27	Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x633838…
10-06 14:25:26	Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37ce5b…
10-06 00:55:19	Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x445c69…
10-06 00:10:29	Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfb6a47…
10-06 00:10:28	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe08f1e…
10-05 13:40:25	Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb725fd…
10-05 11:40:25	russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2beee7…
10-05 08:10:31	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3fd4a…
10-05 07:10:26	saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 10 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa75bf3…
10-05 04:55:20	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xebe788…
10-05 04:55:20	Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xab9f18…
10-05 02:55:22	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe427b8…
10-04 09:55:20	Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd70cf6…
10-04 07:40:19	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaea241…
10-04 06:10:20	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x71a90f…
10-02 18:40:30	Will João Roma win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x23f12c…
10-02 08:40:24	Will Rui Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6a8d7c…
10-01 20:10:24	Will Jaques Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3329d…
10-01 19:10:27	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x62ff63…
10-01 16:25:24	Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6873d5…